This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Giants at Rockies – Kevin Gausman is visiting German Marquez. If pitching was scarce tonight, I’d consider using Marquez. The Rotoworld Player Projections consider him one of the best pitchers available, but I’d rather avoid dreaded Coors Field. Gausman has some positive traits, but an inability to avoid hard, line drive contact could turn this into a rout.
Nationals vs Steven Matz – Juan Soto makes his 2020 debut, but it’s the array of solid righty bats you’ll most want to consider stacking. After a superb first outing, Matz looked wrong in his second appearance.
Kyle Hendricks – Cubs (vs Royals) – Yahoo: $42, DK: $7700, FD: $8300
Across the three sites, Hendricks has the best combination of affordability and ceiling. Other pitchers may offer more strikeouts per inning, but nobody has the same potential to spin a long outing. The winds are once again blowing in at Wrigley Field (don’t forget to confirm this detail), and the Royals offense is one of the weakest in the league.
After homering in two consecutive games, everybody is hoping to see this bargain catcher in tonight’s slate. If Tromp happens to sit, then shift your attention to a pricier Scott Heineman. Tromp appears to have broken out last season in the Reds farm system. He added power by accepting a heftier strikeout rate. Marquez is a difficult matchup for Tromp, even at Coors Field. This price is far too attractive. Without any other juicy catchers on the docket, this is probably the chalk pick.
Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud, Kurt Suzuki, Dalton Varsho (if finally starting)
Murphy figures to be a seldom-used component of an extremely popular Rockies lineup. As such, there’s a sense of GPP pivot to this pick without leaving the comfort of a chalky stack. Since the start of 2019, Gausman has struggled mightily with allowing high quality contact. He hangs far too many pitches over the heart of the plate, leading to extreme line drive rates. Altitude reduces pitch movement, increasing the risk of mistakes. As a sprayer of line drives, Murphy figures to benefit from this matchup. The Giants bullpen is terrible.
This is another down-ballot Rockie who won’t be one of the most popular for stacking. However, his rostership will probably be on the high side due to bargain basement pricing. Owings is seemingly custom-built for Coors Field. Unsurprisingly, he’s drawn starts in the last three games. Like Murphy, he’s a line drive machine and all-fields hitter who matches up incredibly well with Gausman. While Owings popped a homer yesterday, you’re really chasing multiple hits and run production with this play. He works well as a cost-saving one-off in case you avoid the Rockies stack but still want a piece of Coors Field.
There’s a risk he won’t start.
One should never sleep on the Astros lineup – even against a mid-tier pitcher like Bumgarner. Bregman is a favorite of our Lineup Optimizer which uses him in nearly half of the top 50 lineups. Although some worried a post-trash can Bregman might decline, there’s no signs of such through 45 plate appearances. The only blemish is a .200 average on balls in play (BABIP), a figure which will certainly improve. Bumgarner isn’t a pushover opponent, but neither is he the ace of yore. He’s just a guy with a funky delivery, strong command, and too much hard contact allowed.
Nolan Arenado is the top third baseman and one of the better values at the position. It’ll be hard to go cheap at third base tonight.
I think we all know Trevor Story is the top shortstop tonight, but Turner ranks at a not-distant second with a better price tag. His rostership will be lower too, making him a savvy GPP pivot. Turner has a largely neutral matchup against Matz and a shaky Mets bullpen. He’s likely to deliver a hit (high floor), and he has enough pop to offer a home run potential too (high ceiling). As an added bonus, Mets catcher Wilson Ramos is one of the most stolen base prone. Steals aren’t worth much in DFS, but a little extra icing never hurt a cake.
A hot start has Yastrzemski priced like a superstar. He tweaked his swing to make more consistent contact. He remains extremely pull-side oriented. The early results as the Giants leadoff man have been revelatory for an offense that was supposed to sputter from start to finish. San Francisco has the 11th-best offense to date and Yastrzemski is a big reason why. This particular matchup would be one to avoid at sea level. However, Coors Field adds enough to make him attractive. Besides, the Rockies bullpen is a hot mess. If you can afford him, his rostership should be relatively low.
Gamel is one of the Brewers hottest hitters in the early going. Mechanical changes made over the long offseason appear to have unlocked a more powerful contact profile. At the very least, the standard scouting report for Gamel is broken. He remains strikeout prone, making this a risky play against a high strikeout rate pitcher. However, even during his breakout 2019, Giolito has struggled with allowing home runs. Miller Park is extremely friendly to left-handed hitters for both home runs and triples.