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Daily Games

MLB DFS Stacks: Thursday 4/1

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: April 1, 2021, 1:36 pm ET

Welcome to the MLB DFS Stacks article - where we’ll be looking to highlight the best hitting stacks of the day. These recommendations are categorized as “Cash Game Stacks” and “Tournament Stacks” while outlining risk/reward situations. We will add additional context with other hitting/pitching options throughout the article. 

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

We will be looking at the 11-game main slate beginning at 1:05 ET.

CASH GAME STACKS

LA Dodgers (at Colorado - RHP German Marquez)

Marquez was actually pretty good last year, holding a 3.75 ERA and 3.88 xFIP. However, that’s likely an aberration more than a sign of things to come. Marquez is projected to regress closer to his career average around a 4.50 ERA. He has a .348 wOBA split to left-handed bats at home throughout his career. Even though Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, and Corey Seager have modest numbers against Marquez, I’m still considering them all legitimate plays through all formats. Gavin Lux is a cheap extension for $3,800 on DK - $3,000 on FD and $15 on Yahoo. 

Boston Red Sox (vs. Baltimore - LHP John Means

I actually don’t mind John Means as a pitcher, but this is not a great spot for him. Means had issues with consistency last year en route to a 4.53 ERA and 5.60 FIP. As we all know, Fenway Park is kind to right-handed bats, so JD Martinez and Xander Bogaerts are top (but expensive) lifts here. I’m loving the salaries for Enrique Hernandez and Hunter Renfroe in this spot. Bobby Dalbec is the tournament wild card. 

**UPDATE: Red Sox-Orioles has been postponed. 

Chicago Cubs (vs. Pittsburgh - RHP Chad Kuhl

We’ll need to double-check this line, as it will likely move up or down depending on which way the wind blows at Wrigley Field. No matter how you slice it, the Cubbies will be looking to score some runs on RHP Chad Kuhl, who has a low strikeout rate, inflated walk rate (5.44 BB/9 in 2020), and 5.48 FIP from last season. Lefties hold a .361 wOBA mark against him, so Anthony Rizzo, Jason Heyward, Ian Happ, and Joc Pederson are the main lifts here. In case you needed more rationale: the Pirates’ bullpen ranks 29th in WAR entering this season. 

**UPDATE: The line has opened around 7 total runs at several outlets. This is an obvious downgrade to a CHC stack, as Cleveland (and San Diego) overtake them as a cash game bundle. 

Also Consider: Cleveland (vs. Detroit / LHP Matt Boyd) 

Top Plays: Cody Bellinger (1B - LAD), Anthony Rizzo (1B - CHC), Jose Ramirez (3B - CLE), Corey Seager (SS - LAD), Xander Bogaerts (SS- BOS), JD Martinez (OF - BOS)

Top Value: Enrique Hernandez (2B - BOS), Hunter Renfroe (OF - BOS), Ian Happ (OF - CHC), Jordan Luplow (OF - CLE)

Wild Cards: Alex Verdugo (OF - BOS), Rafael Devers (3B - BOS), Joc Pederson (OF - CHC), Franmil Reyes (OF - CLE)  

TOURNAMENT STACKS

Kansas City (vs. Texas / RHP Kyle Gibson

Most people won’t target this game due to an unremarkable hitting environment. However, there’s still potential for Kansas City’s new-look offense to score some runs. Texas RHP Kyle Gibson got blown-up from both sides of the plate last season (5.35 ERA), and guys like Jorge Soler (2.8k on DK), Carlos Santana, and Whit Merrifield should lead the way. Hunter Dozier, Salvador Perez, and Andrew Benintendi don’t have good numbers against Gibson, but I’m not intimidated by “Gibby” at this stage in his career. If anything, that could be a blessing with fewer people taking this well-aligned Kansas City offense ... P.S. - The Rangers bullpen ranks 17th in WAR entering the season. 

Baltimore (at Boston - RHP Nathan Eovaldi

This is my favorite underrated stack of the day. The Orioles are not good, but they will find themselves in some high-scoring battles occasionally. That could be the case in this opening game at hitter-friendly Fenway Park. The MLB DFS Optimizer loves Trey Mancini and Austin Hays. I’ll cosign that while adding Maikel Franco and Anthony Santander to the mix. Remember, Fenway Park boosts right-handed power, and Nathan Eovaldi had a .408 wOBA split to righties last season to go along with a .355 number in 2019. 

**UPDATE: Red Sox-Orioles has been postponed. 

San Diego (vs. Arizona - LHP Madison Bumgarner)

Will the Padres actually be underrated? They have the fourth-highest run projection of this slate, and building a stack of San Diego sluggers is pretty expensive. In other words, I believe the aforementioned “top stacks” will be more popular. Bumgarner noticed a dip in strikeout rate while seeing his FIP balloon to 7.18 through 41.2 innings last season. Is he completely washed? I’m not sure. The Padres could easily get to him here, as they posted nine runs in 7.2 IP against him last season. Stack Fernando Tatis Jr. Tommy Pham, Wil Myers, and Manny Machado against him. You’ll likely have to go cheap at other roster spots (hello, Baltimore? K.Hendricks?), but the upside could pay off. In case you were curious - the Diamondbacks’ bullpen ranks 24th in WAR entering 2021

8.7.2

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.