Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 14-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Merrill Kelly – Arizona (at Toronto)
Kelly has been up-and-down this season while currently holding a pedestrian 4.41 ERA. However, there’s plenty to like when looking at his DFS prospects tonight. Kelly is coming off his best outing of the year while racking up 10 strikeouts (one earned run) through 7.2 innings against the Mets last Sunday. That momentum could carry into tonight’s road start at Toronto, as the Blue Jays currently rank 27th in wRC+ (77) with the sixth-highest strikeout rate at 24.7%.
Tyler White – Houston (vs. Baltimore)
Is this finally the spot where White breaks out? He has been getting regular plate appearances for the injury-plagued Astros, but the game log is spotty at best. White is coming off a three-hit performance yesterday at Seattle, so maybe that will serve as a catalyst moving forward. It doesn’t hurt that he’ll be facing the worst pitching staff in the league tonight, as Baltimore RHP Gabriel Ynoa will take the bump with a brutal Orioles' bullpen backing up him. Ynoa carries a vulnerable .432 wOBA split to right-handed bats for White to finally post some upside.
Derek Dietrich – Cincinnati (at Philadelphia)
You already know what this recommendation is about, as Dietrich has flexed serviceable power while smacking 17 homers on the season. He’s facing a mediocre right-handed pitcher in a hitter-friendly ballpark, which warrants consideration through all DFS formats. Philadelphia RHP Zach Eflin is coming off a back injury that landed him on the injured list, and he holds a .355 wOBA split to left-handed bats.
Colin Moran – Pittsburgh (at Milwaukee)
Moran has been sneaky-good lately with 10 hits and four homers over his past seven starts. That’s impressive considering almost all of those games were played at pitcher-friendly PNC Park. Moran will see a park upgrade in Milwaukee tonight, which could extend his impressive run. He’ll face Brewers’ RHP Brandon Woodruff, who allowed six earned runs and 10 hits at Pittsburgh in his last start.
Orlando Arcia – Milwaukee (vs. Pittsburgh)
Let’s look to the other dugout of this same matchup, as Milwaukee checks in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night. Arcia could be an underrated asset within that, profiling as an interesting GPP Pivot at a shortstop position that doesn’t carry much cheap upside. Arcia has notched three multi-hit performances with four homers over the past two weeks, and this is a confident draw against Pittsburgh spot-starter Rookie Davis.
Michael Conforto – NY Mets (vs. Colorado)
Alex Gordon – Kansas City (vs. Chicago White Sox)
The outfield position is loaded tonight, and I’m expecting both of these guys to be underrated despite holding confident matchups. Conforto came off the injured list on May 26, and he has really been heating up since then with eight hits, two homers, seven RBIs, and one stolen base over his past 10 games. Tonight’s matchup is a good one against Colorado RHP Antonio Senzatela and his .356 wOBA split to left-handed hitters.
As for Gordon, he may have a stigma around the DFS community after struggling for three straight seasons. However, the KC outfielder has really picked it up this year, already launching 10 homers with 39 RBIs while holding a .284 average. For comparison, he hit 13 homers last season with 54 RBIs and a .245 average across 141 games. A modified approach at the plate has resurrected his career, and he is heating up with five hits, two doubles, one homer, and four runs over his past three starts. Gordon has an excellent chance to keep producing against White Sox RHP Ivan Nova, who carries a generous .376 wOBA split to left-handed bats.