Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 15-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Jose Urena – Miami (at San Diego)
Urena has been labeled as a subpar pitcher by the DFS community over the past few seasons. Because of that, he’ll likely be ignored in tonight’s slate. That comes despite several factors working in his favor. Urena has quietly pieced together four straight quality starts that actually extends to seven of his past eight appearances. He has allowed just six earned runs across 26 innings over his past four games. Urena still doesn’t have much strikeout upside, but facing San Diego could help him out, as the Padres carry the highest strikeout rate in MLB at 27.1%. Don’t sleep on Urena as a tournament bargain!
Paul Goldschmidt – St. Louis (vs. Chicago Cubs)
I’m not expecting Goldschmidt to be fully ignored tonight, but this is an interesting leverage opportunity to consider. We all know “Goldy” is an elite hitter against left-handed pitching, carrying a .423 wOBA and 165 wRC+ split through his career. Cubs’ southpaw Jose Quintana has name recognition as a quality hurler, but he has been somewhat generous lately while allowing five earned runs and 12 hits through 5.1 innings last Sunday against the Reds. If those issues persist, Goldschmidt will be the first to take advantage. I’m expecting most people to gravitate towards the first basemen in Coors Field (Murphy and Smoak) for a similar salary.
Enrique Hernandez – LA Dodgers (vs. Philadelphia)
Truth be told, Hernandez is more than just a GPP Pivot tonight. You could utilize him as a mid-range pick through all formats, as the matchup is that good. Hernandez is a confident platoon bat who will step in against Philadelphia LHP Cole Irvin, who was destroyed for seven earned runs at the Cubs in his last start. Hernandez is one of the few second basemen with some “pop” in this evening slate (9 HR), furthering his rationale as a tournament choice in this favorable draw.
Rafael Devers – Boston (at NY Yankees)
This is not a good matchup against Yankee RHP Domingo German, and most people will avoid Devers (and his teammates) as a result. However, German ran into trouble in his last start while coughing up seven earned runs through five innings at Kansas City last Sunday. There’s a chance his confidence has taken a hit (no pun intended), and the Red Sox will be looking to take advantage. Devers has been outstanding lately while riding an 11-game hitting streak to raise his average to .324 with eight homers and 32 RBIs. He could run into a homer (or another multi-hit outing) with Yankee Stadium being very kind to left-handed power.
Corey Seager – LA Dodgers (vs Philadelphia)
Most people will avoid the lefty/lefty matchup here, but that would be a mistake. Seager doesn’t really care about the dominant hand of the opposing pitcher, he’s a hitter who can get the job done. His splits don’t really drop off too much while facing lefties, holding a 111 wRC+ against southpaws. As mentioned earlier, Philadelphia LHP Cole Irvin got lit up in his last start. Left-handed bats like Kyle Schwarber and Anthony Rizzo were able to take advantage, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Corey Seager and Cody Bellinger followed suit tonight.
Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs (at St. Louis)
That serves as a nice transition to Schwarber, who has been on fire with four homers over his past eight games. He has looked good in the Cubbies’ leadoff spot, holding excellent lineup security in front of Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Javier Baez. St. Louis RHP Jack Flaherty is no slouch, but Schwarber poses a difficult matchup for any “non-elite” right-handed pitcher when he’s in the zone.
Harold Ramirez – Miami (at San Diego)
Ramirez will hold a tiny ownership rate because he has no name recognition while playing for the worst offense in MLB. However, he’ll hold the platoon advantage over San Diego LHP Nick Margevicius, who has allowed 16 hits and 11 earned runs through nine innings over his past two starts. Ramirez has looked really good over the past few weeks, where he piled up a 10-game hitting streak that ended last night. He’s currently hitting .368 on the season, a number that could rise after facing a contact-oriented southpaw this evening.