Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned popular picks contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:10 ET.
Zack Godley – Arizona (vs San Diego)
Godley was a revelation in 2017, owning a 3.37 ERA (backed by a 3.32 xFIP) with a pleasant 9.58 K/9 strikeout rate through 155 innings. Regression took hold last season, as the D-Backs hurler posted a 4.74 ERA over 178 innings. However, his xFIP looked better at 3.96, and the strikeout rate didn’t see a noticeable change. That’s basically a longwinded way of saying that Godley is still a respectable pitcher even though he’s not in his 2017 headline-grabbing form. After getting roughed-up against the Dodgers in the season-opener, Godley bounced-back with a nice showing against Boston (5.2 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 5 K, W). His numbers over the past two years are dramatically better at home, and I’m expecting that to hold with Chase Field transforming into a neutral park instead of the hitter-friendly atmosphere of previous years. Godley checks in as a respectable home favorite who will look to carry the momentum from his last start. We could see a quality performance with the D-Backs offense giving him enough run support to earn the win bonus.
Rowdy Tellez – Toronto (at Boston)
Boston RHP Nathan Eovaldi is a polarizing option on tonight’s slate – he could get shelled or realistically post one of the better fantasy performances from a pitcher on this slate. Eovaldi has struggled by allowing nine earned runs and 12 hits through 10 innings in his first two starts of the year. He was more than serviceable last season, and there’s a reason to believe he’ll settle into that role eventually. However, Toronto’s offense has the ability to get to him if command remains an issue. The boost to Fenway Park doesn’t hurt, and Tellez is a cheap tournament choice who is looking for his third homer of the year. Plus, how do you not gravitate towards a cleanup hitter with power named “Rowdy”?
Robinson Cano – New York Mets (at Atlanta)
I’m assuming Kevin Gausman will be a reasonably popular DFS choice at pitcher. I’m not necessarily sold, as he’s facing a capable Mets’ lineup that will make it difficult to repeat his gem from last Friday. Robinson Cano is a mid-range pick to lead the charge for New York, holding a nice power and contact combination. The second base position is somewhat shallow on this slate, so finding a mid-range pick with upside and a likely low ownership rate makes for a nice tournament recipe.
Jung Ho Kang – Pittsburgh (at Chicago Cubs)
Kang is a boom-or-bust pick, but he’s cheap while seeing a nice boost in Wrigley Field. He’ll hold the platoon advantage over Cubs RHP Jose Quintana, who was shelled for eight earned runs and eight hits through three innings at Milwaukee last Friday. Kang has displayed nice power upside throughout his career, and this seems like a situation to flex it.
Freddy Galvis – Toronto (at Boston)
Back to the Jays. Some people may have sticker-shock when it comes to Galvis, but his salary has deservedly risen while heating up with seven hits, two homers, five RBIs, and one stolen base over a five-game hitting streak. As mentioned earlier, this Toronto offense has appealing DFS potential if Boston RHP Eovaldi continues to struggle.
Charlie Blackmon – Colorado (at San Francisco)
The Rockies are playing away from Coors Field, meaning a majority of the DFS population will ignore them. Not only that, but they are transitioning from one of the best park factors to one of the worst for hitters in San Francisco. However, we can’t ignore this matchup for Blackmon. He’s stepping in against Jeff Samardzija, who holds a .383 wOBA to left-handed bats over the last two years. I don’t really care where they are playing this game, I’ll take Blackmon in that matchup regardless.
Randal Grichuk – Toronto (at Boston)
Grichuk is the type of guy who could help you win a tournament. He has multi-homer upside, as displayed earlier this month against Baltimore. However, he doesn’t do much outside of that, creating a boom-or-bust DFS situation. As mentioned earlier, Nathan Eovaldi has really struggled to begin the season. Grichuk has been better against right-handed hurlers than lefties throughout his career (111 wRC+ split), and Fenway Park is kind to right-handed power bats. Maybe Grichuk can flip one over the Green Monster tonight.