Walker Buehler - Los Angeles Dodgers (@ Hou) - DK: $11,300 FD: $10,500 Yahoo: $50
**Update: limited to 75 pitches tonight*
The last time Walker Buehler faced the Houston Astros was in 2018 where he allowed four hits over 5.1 IP and struck out eight batters. In this game, he held the Astros to a team .211 batting average. Right-handed batters could have a rough time seeing Buehler tonight, as he allowed a .231 BA to opposing righties in 2019 and a .191 BA to opposing right-handed batters in 2018. Houston righties who have tough matchups tonight include: Springer, Altuve, Correa and Gurriel. I think the Dodgers starter is worth his salary and we should roster him tonight against the Houston Astros. The Dodgers are favored by -136 with a 9.0 under/over.
Yonny Chirinos - Tampa Bay Rays (vs. Atl) - DK: N/A FD: $7,400 Yahoo: N/A
The Atlanta Braves are starting off with many highs and lows. They started their season getting shut out by the Mets’ Jacob deGrom. deGrom struck out 15 batters in this matchup. Games two and three went much better for the Braves, totaling 19 runs off of 25 total hits. And last night, they totaled 19 team strikeouts while allowing 14 runs to the Rays. The only consistency for Atlanta is their strikeout numbers. Over their first four games, the Atlanta Braves have stuck out 52 times over 140 at-bats. Tonight, they face Yonny Chirinos. This play is only available on FanDuel because this is the 6:40 EST game, but with all this said, I think Chirinos can be a sneaky GPP play with upside! The Tampa Bay Rays are favored by -137 with a 9.0 under/over.
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Other Pitchers: Merrill Kelly & Homer Bailey
Sean Murphy - Oakland A’s (vs. Col) - DK: $3,400 FD: $2,100 Yahoo: $14
The Oakland A’s are taking on Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela. Colorado’s starter had a 6.71 ERA in 2019 and struggled against left-handed batters as well as right-handed batters. Lefties were batting .327 over 251 at-bats, and righties batted .300 over 263 at-bats. The Oakland A’s are another one of my top stacks for tonight. The under/over is at 9.5, favoring the A’s by -165.
Other Option: Salvador Perez - Kansas City Royals (vs. Det) - DK: $2,800 FD: $2,700 Yahoo: $15
Eric Hosmer DTD - San Diego Padres (@ SF) - DK: $3,200 FD: $3,200 Yahoo: $13
If Eric Hosmer plays tonight, he could be a great GPP pivot. Hosmer has been held out for two consecutive games with an illness. Apparently, this is a non-COVID related illness. Therefore, I am optimistic Hosmer will play tonight. I am intrigued by a San Diego stack tonight, which you’ll see as you keep reading, but Hosmer is a big part of this equation. If he’s in, you’ll see me investing heavily in the San Diego Padres, who are currently 3-1 with 21 runs already on the year. Potential late-night hammer in the San Diego Padres stack!
Ketel Marte - Arizona Diamondbacks (@ Tex) - DK: $4,800 FD: $3,600 Yahoo: $23
At this point, Marte is cash game safe on most nights. He has hits in each of his last three, and tonight, he faces Texas SP Kyle Gibson. Gibson tends to get the best of Marte, as Marte is 1-for-6 against Gibson with one strikeout and no walks. Well, here’s your ultimate “one-off” pivot. I can see Gibson being pretty popular tonight, as Arizona can give up major games to opposing pitchers. Well, if that’s the case, let’s be contrarian and pivot. Yes, Gibson can toss a fine game, but if he doesn’t, investing in Ketel Marte and the rest of the Diamondback bats could be a contrarian GPP move. The under/over is at 9.5, slightly favoring Texas at -116.
Other option: Jonathan Schoop - Detroit Tigers (vs. KC) - DK: $3,400 FD: $2,600 Yahoo: $14
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Fernando Tatis Jr. - San Diego Padres (@ SF) - DK: $4,600 FD: $3,500 Yahoo: $21
Top play for me. Fernando Tatis Jr. faces Jeff Samardzija and the San Francisco Giants. Tatis Jr. is batting .364 against opposing right handed pitchers this season and in 2019 Tatis showed real power against righties as he totaled 17 home runs in 217 at bats. Remember, Samardzija is now 35 years old. He actually has solid numbers against San Diego, and because of that, I think he might be rostered in more lineups than you’d think. With that said, Tatis makes a great pivot. We want to take advantage of contrarian plays, and I believe Tatis is a contrarian play with tons of upside. Considering the plethora of stats he’s capable of producing, Fernando Tatis Jr. is my pivot play of the day!
J.D. Davis 3B/OF - New York Mets (@ Bos) - DK: $4,400 FD: $2,200 Yahoo: $17
Davis faces left-handed pitcher Matt Hall. I love rostering right-handed batters against left-handed pitchers in Fenway Park! Why? Because of the Green Monster! Most people don’t realize the true effects of the Green Monster. Yes, it’s 37 feet tall. It’s also only 310 feet away from home plate. This benefits right-handed batters significantly. Normal pop-ups often turn into home runs. Davis is facing Matt Hall, a lefty who had a 7.71 ERA over 16 games played in 2019. Right-handed batters hit .279 against Hall with three home runs. Sample sizes are very small, but as a starting pitcher tonight, Hall will have some major problems against a Mets team that has been struggling thus far. They are looking to get on track for the first time this season. The Mets will not be a popular play. GPP only.
Matt Chapman - Oakland A’s (vs. Col) - DK: $4,300 FD: $3,500 Yahoo: $17
As I mentioned above, “Colorado’s starter had a 6.71 ERA in 2019 and struggled against left-handed batters as well as right-handed batters. Lefties were batting .327 over 251 at-bats, and righties batted .300 over 263 at-bats.” Chapman has a .250 BA so far this season and has yet to hit a home run; tonight, that changes. In 2019, Chapman played well against right-handed pitching, ending the year with a .254 BA and 25 home runs. I expect Antonio Senzatela to struggle tonight against an Oakland team that has won three of their first four to start the season.
Make sure to check out the Player Projection page to get an idea of who the “chalk” players are and where you can find value for both stacking and one-offs.
Yoenis Cespedes - New York Mets (@ Bos) - DK: $4,400 FD: $2,600 Yahoo: $17
As I mentioned in J.D. Davis’ write up, referring to the Green Monster, “It’s only 310 feet away from home plate. This benefits right-handed batters significantly. Normal pop-ups often turn into home runs.” Yoenis Cespedes is another Mets batter who will benefit from facing a left-handed pitcher in Fenway tonight. Cespedes’ salary is criminally low at the moment. Invest now before he’s at premium pricing on all sites.
Trent Grisham - San Diego Padres (@ SF) - DK: $3,500 FD: $2,600 Yahoo: $10
Trent Grisham hits right-handed pitching much better than left-handed pitching. Last night, Grisham started the game off with a home run in his first at-bat against Luke Weaver. Tonight, San Diego will face Jeff Samardzija. I love the San Diego team stack tonight, specifically the lefties. San Diego has some hard-hitting lefties including: Eric Hosmer, Jurickson Profar (switch), Trent Grisham and Francisco Mejia (switch). This could be a sneaky stack tonight. I am curious to see what Jeff Samardzija has now that he’s at the age of 35. The Padres are favored at -143 with an 8.0 under/over.