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Coby White
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Daily Games

Monday NBA DFS Bargains

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 28, 2019, 12:59 pm ET

It’s a busy 11-game evening in the NBA this Monday, offering tons of DFS value. From guys you almost must target to potential punt plays, we're here to break down the biggest values. Keep in mind I’m looking primarily for players with salaries around $6,000 or cheaper. Let's start with a quick look at Vegas' expectations for today’s slate.

 

Matchup

Over/Under

Spread

Pacers at Pistons

213.5

Pacers -2.0

Bulls at Knicks

223.5

Bulls -1.0

Magic at Raptors

211

Raptors -4.5

Sixers at Hawks

223.5

Sixers -5.0

Cavs at Bucks

224

Bucks -15.0

Warriors at Pelicans

237.5

Pelicans -4.5

Thunder at Rockets

226

Rockets -10.0

Blazers at Spurs

221.5

Spurs -5.5

Nuggets at Kings

218

Nuggets -5.5

Jazz at Suns

216

Jazz -4.5

Hornets at Clippers

228

Clippers -16.0

Remember that injuries and lineups are subject to change at any moment! For the very latest news, stay tuned to Rotoworld’s injury report and player news pages!

 

FanDuel/DraftKings Bargains

 

Point Guard

Coby White (FD $5,100 – DK $5,000)

The Bulls’ rookie point guard has excelled as a score-first option off the bench, and coach Jim Boylen seems comfortable letting him run. He averaged 19.2 points in the preseason and is currently at 16.7 points through Chicago’s first three games. The Knicks’ defense isn’t scary and this game should come down to the wire – with a one-point spread, it’s projected to be the closest game on the slate. Overtime would be a bonus, but either way White should fill it up enough to hit 5-6x value.

 

George Hill (FD $4,000 – DK $3,300)

This is mostly about Eric Bledsoe looking awful to begin the year, presumably due to the fractured rib cartilage he sustained prior to the season. Bledsoe has been ineffective in just 24.7 minutes per game, and Hill is outplaying him with 6.5 points, 5.5 dimes, 1.5 steals and 1.0 rebounds in almost 30 minutes. His usage is in the single-digits, but that’s fine – he’s hitting value anyway, and if he gets going offensively against a bad Cavs’ defense tonight, he’ll crush this ultra-low price point.

 

Also consider: Dennis Schroder (FD $4,600 – DK $5,000)

 

Shooting Guard

Derrick Rose (FD $6,500 – DK $5,400)

Rose’s fantasy potential has been undermined by injuries, poor 3-point shooting and a lack of steals – but in DFS, that doesn’t really matter. He’s healthy right now and has balled out in the first three games with 25.3 points, 5.0 dimes, 2.0 assists and 1.0 steals. His price has spiked into the mid-range, but he’s still a likely value with Detroit banged up and desperate for playmakers.

 

Also consider: Josh Hart (FD $5,800 – DK $4,800)…he’s a better value in DK and I might avoid him if Jrue Holiday is healthy, but Jrue is currently questionable with a sprained knee.

 

Small Forward

Luke Kennard (FD $4,900 – DK $5,000)

The Pistons are stumbling out of the gate with a 1-2 record, playing without Blake Griffin (hamstring, knee). They’re also expected to be without Reggie Jackson (back) tonight, opening a big opportunity for Derrick Rose (see above), Kennard, and even Tim Frazier. I’m inclined to think they get Kennard’s scoring and ball-handling into the starting lineup tonight, but even if he’s coming off the bench he’s poised for success in what should be a close game with overtime potential.

 

Also consider: Dillon Brooks (FD $3,900 - DK $3,600), Rodney Hood (FD $4,000 – DK $3,800)

 

Power Forward

Omari Spellman (FD $3,800 – DK $3,100)

Blowouts have been a big part of Spellman’s early-season success, since he’s had extended run in garbage time. The key is that he’s taking advantage of those minutes to the tune of 8.5 points, 6.5 boards, 1.0 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks in just 17.9 minutes. The key here is that he looked so good in the Warriors’ blowout loss on Sunday, that I’m hopeful coach Steve Kerr finds ways to keep him on the court longer. It obviously helps that Kevon Looney (hamstring) and Willie Cauley-Stein (foot) are sidelined, while Alen Smailagic (ankle) remains day-to-day.

 

Frank Kaminsky (FD $5,200 – DK $5,300)

I wish Kaminsky’s price hadn’t spiked on both sites yesterday, but the rise was more than justified after his 18 points, eight boards and six assists over the weekend. If he’d tossed in a few defensive stats, that would have been a slate-winning performance, and at the moment his price equates to 5.6x value based on recent production. The bad news is that Utah’s defense has bounced back after a bizarrely awful preseason, so this isn’t a desirable matchup to target. Still, the price is right.

 

Also consider: Nemanja Bjelica (FD $4,100 – DK $4,200)

 

Center

Aron Baynes (FD $4,800 – DK $5,100)

The Suns are without Deandre Ayton for 25 games, assuming the NBA Player Association plea for a reduction doesn’t work. That resulted in Baynes playing 23 minutes as a starter on Saturday, and he might need to go higher with Rudy Gobert on the court for Utah – Baynes is actually a solid 3-point threat, too, and playing a stretch-five is key against Gobert.

 

Also consider: Dewayne Dedmon (FD $4,100 – DK $4,500)

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.