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Evan Fournier
AP
Daily Games

Monday NBA DFS Bargains 11/25

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: November 25, 2019, 1:24 pm ET

It’s a bustling 11-game evening in the NBA this Monday, meaning there’s a ton of DFS value to be mined. From guys you almost must target to potential punt plays, we're here to break down the biggest values. In this column, I’m looking primarily for players with salaries around $6,000 or cheaper. Let's start with a quick look at Vegas' expectations for today’s slate.

 

Matchup

Over/Under

Spread

Nets at Cavs

217.5

Even

Magic at Pistons

206.5

Pistons -4.5

Grizzlies at Pacers

217.5

Pacers -9.5

Hornets at Heat

213.5

Heat -10.5

Kings at Celtics

207.5

Celtics -6.5

Wolves at Hawks

236

Wolves -4.0

Sixers at Raptors

211.5

Sixers -1.5

Blazers at Bulls

226.5

Even

Jazz at Bucks

223

Bucks -7.0

Lakers at Spurs

223

Lakers -5.0

Thunder at Warriors

216

Thunder -6.0

Remember that injuries and lineups are subject to change at any moment! For the very latest news, stay tuned to Rotoworld’s injury report and player news pages!

 

FanDuel/DraftKings Bargains

 

Point Guard

Brad Wanamaker (FD $4,000 – DK $4,300)

Wanamaker’s price has crept up, but he’s still in the ‘punt’ range for point guards. Kemba Walker is doubtful for this game due to his neck injury, and my money is on Wanamaker to assume most of his minutes and playmaking duties. He was already getting minutes in the mid-20s and coach Brad Stevens has praised his steady presence off the bench, and the only likely alternatives are rookies Carson Edwards and Tremont Waters, the latter of whom was just recalled from the G League. I’ll try to wait until the Celtics’ starting five is announced, but for now I’m penciling in Wanamaker.

Also Consider: Ky Bowman (FD $4,600 – DK $5,800), Cory Joseph (FD $4,700 – DK $4,900)

 

Shooting Guard

Evan Fournier (FD $5,900 – DK $6,400)

He’s a better play in FanDuel tonight, where his price actually decreased a bit, whereas in DraftKings he’s at his season-high for price. Nevertheless, Fournier is rolling lately and has a bigger offensive burden without Nikola Vucevic (ankle) and Aaron Gordon (ankle) – Gordon has already been ruled out for Monday. Jonathan Isaac will be an extremely popular play, but he can’t do it all himself and the Magic don’t have many other reliable scorers beyond Terrence Ross, so Fournier looks like the clear No. 2 option. He’s had at least 33 fantasy points in six of his past seven games, too, and that was mostly with Vuc and Gordon active.

Also Consider: DeAndre’ Bembry (FD $4,600 – DK $5,300) if Cam Reddish is out

 

Small Forward

Jarrett Culver (FD $4,000 – DK $4,400)

There’s nothing wrong with being opportunistic in DFS, targeting guys who stand to benefit due to teammates’ misfortune. That’s the case with Culver tonight, as he’s poised for extra minutes in the likely absence of Shabazz Napier (doubtful - hamstring), Jake Layman (toe), and possibly Josh Okogie (questionable – knee). It does sound like Minnesota will get back Treveon Graham and Robert Covington tonight, but that doesn’t dissuade me as long as Okogie is out. Keep an eye on the Wolves’ injury report as we get closer to lineup locks. In the seven games when Culver has played 26+ minutes this season, he’s averaging 26.3 FanDuel points, good enough for 6.5x value. Plus, he’d give you cheap exposure to the game with the highest over/under of the night.

 

Power Forward

Nerlens Noel (FD $5,200 – DK $4,500)

Noel is expected to return from an absence that sidelined him on Friday. With the weekend to recover he should be fine, and the key is that he gets a matchup vs. Golden State’s last-ranked defense tonight. They’re giving up 115.9 points per 100 possessions, have a terrible rebound rate, and have been routinely torched by opposing big men. Steven Adams looked good on Friday but he’s still dealing with a lingering knee injury, so his minutes may be constrained to the mid-20s. Assuming Noel picks up around 22-24 minutes, he’ll do enough damage to reward owners.

Also Consider: Omari Spellman (FD $3,700 – DK $4,900), Eric Paschall (FD $6,000 – DK $5,900) if Draymond Green is out

 

Center

Tony Bradley (FD $4,000 – DK $4,000)

This is purely in case Rudy Gobert is ruled out again with his sprained ankle. Bradley had 25.8 fantasy points as a fill-in starter on Saturday and would be an easy DFS play. The biggest issue might be over-ownership, turning him into a fade in tournaments. Not much else to say here, so let’s discuss another option in case Gobert does play.

Jakob Poeltl (FD $3,900 – DK $4,800)

Once again, a player who jumps out in FanDuel with a lower price-point. He’s a solid value either way, now that he’s assumed the starting center job and earned rave reviews from both coaches and teammates for his recent play. He had a dud vs. Joel Embiid and the Sixers last week, but in the games before and after that he averaged 28.8 fantasy points. The Lakers defense has been good this season, but at least minutes shouldn’t be an issue for Poeltl, since L.A.’s size ensures he’ll need to be out there more often than not.  

 

 

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.