It’s a busy 11-game slate in the NBA this Monday, offering more than enough DFS value. From guys you almost must target to potential punt plays, we're here to break down the biggest values to be found. Let's start with a quick look at Vegas' expectations for today’s slate.
Warriors at Hornets
Blazers at Cavs
Pacers at Pistons
Spurs at Nets
Suns at Heat
Bucks at Bulls
Hawks at Rockets
Lakers at Grizzlies
Kings at Wolves
Sixers at Pelicans
Mavs at Clippers
Kent Bazemore (SG, $5.6k FanDuel … SG/SF, $5.4k DraftKings) – The Hawks’ wing position is thinned out tonight due to the absence of Taurean Prince (personal) and the fact that starter Kevin Huerter will be on a minute-limit. DeAndre Bembry is also dealing with a quad bruise, though he’s been cleared to play and should also see an uptick in playing time. This game has one of the highest over/under totals of the evening, and both Bazemore and Bembry are in play for me tonight – Bembry in particular would benefit if Houston turns it into a blowout.
Shaq Harrison (PG, $3.6k FanDuel … PG/SF, $3.1k DraftKings) – The Bulls have listed both Kris Dunn (migraine) and Otto Porter (leg strain) as doubtful for tonight’s game vs. Milwaukee. That suggests Shaq Harrison could earn the start, as he filled in for Otto after halftime in Chicago’s last game – Ryan Arcidiacono is likely to get the nod at PG if Dunn is out. Wayne Selden and Timothe Luwawu should also get a bump, but Harrison’s ability to play three positions gives him the edge for me, and he has the superior per-minute potential. He’s priced like a pure punt play, but the past two times he hit at least 25 minutes he recorded 31.4 and 20.4 FanDuel points. I’ll take those odds.
Boban Marjanovic (C, $5.4k FanDuel … C, $5.5k DraftKings) – I’m torn between Boban and Kyle O’Quinn, who is still just $3.9k on FanDuel and $4.3k on DK. Both of them are great per-minute producers with fill-in starting jobs – Marjanovic will definitely start with Joel Embiid already ruled out, while O’Quinn is likely to start if Myles Turner sits again (as seems likely). The matchups for Boban are always of critical importance, but Philly should simply need his size on the court vs. a frontcourt that includes Anthony Davis, Julius Randle and Jahlil Okafor. If you just need a safe cash-game play, though, I’d lean toward KOQ in his matchup vs. the Pistons.
Healthy Heat players! Justise Winslow (sore left knee), Rodney McGruder (bruised right knee) and James Johnson (shoulder) are all expected to sit out tonight, opening 60+ minutes in Miami’s rotation. They do have Goran Dragic back in the rotation but he’s on a minute-limit, which implies that Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., and Kelly Olynyk will pick up the slack. The pace of this game may not be blistering, with the second-lowest over/under of the night, but there’s still a lot of potential value here – it helps that Phoenix has been the second-most lenient fantasy opponent for the past month, ahead of only the Lakers. Here are the numbers for the three guys I mentioned above:
Dion Waiters: SG, $5.5k FanDuel … SG/SF, $4.7k DraftKings
Derrick Jones Jr.: SF, $3.5k FanDuel … SF/PF, $3.4k DraftKings
Kelly Olynyk: PF, $4.6k FanDuel … PF/C, $3.9k DraftKings
Other punt/bargain players to consider tonight include Joakim Noah and Ivan Rabb, who are up against a Lakers team that’s been shredded lately…Elfrid Payton, who is cheap enough and in a solid position to hit value…Robin Lopez has been rock-solid and is yet another cheap center in play tonight…DeMarre Carroll has gone off a few times in recent weeks, but I’m more attracted by his solid floor in the 24-28 range…good luck tonight!