We have a solid eight-game night in the NBA this Monday, leaving plenty of DFS value to mined. From guys you almost must target to potential punt plays, we're here to break down the biggest values to be found. Let's start with a quick look at Vegas' expectations for tonight's slate:
Bucks at Pistons
Suns at Knicks
Jazz at Rockets
Kings at Wolves
Bulls at Thunder
Sixers at Spurs
Grizzlies at Warriors
Blazers at Clippers
We open with a look at tonight's bargains in DRAFT leagues!
Enes Kanter (Center, DRAFT projection: 36.1) – Kanter dropped 20 & 10 on Sunday and although he didn’t have any supporting stats, that should be the norm going forward. Mitchell Robinson is out indefinitely with an ankle sprain and New York won’t rush him back at less than 100%. That leaves Luke Kornet playing backup center and it’s easy to see Kanter thriving with unchallenged minutes, especially against tonight’s opponent – the Suns. Deandre Ayton has been a ghost defensively and the Suns are getting pummeled by centers on a nightly basis, with only the Nets yielding more DFS value per game.
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Tim Hardaway Jr. & Kevin Knox (Forwards, DRAFT projections: 29.4 and 27.2) – The Suns just traded away Trevor Ariza and they won’t have Kelly Oubre and Austin Rivers in uniform tonight. A weak team gets weaker, with one of their better defenders (Ariza) off the court, which makes this matchup irresistible. I’m a bit leery of Emmanuel Mudiay simply due to the recent return of Trey Burke, allowing coach David Fizdale to play the hot hand at PG if he so desires, but THJ and Knox should be locked into high-minute, high-usage roles no matter what happens. This should be a close game with a fast pace and I’ll have multiple Knicks on most of my DRAFT rosters.
Kris Dunn (Guard, DRAFT Projection: 32.9) – We saw Dunn erupt vs. the Spurs on Saturday with 24 points, seven rebounds, three assists and two steals in 36 minutes. Any minute-limit has been lifted and Chicago will be playing without Zach LaVine tonight (more on that below), which leaves Dunn with a golden opportunity as the engine of the offense. This is a situation where the opportunity outweighs the negative matchups, because guards haven’t fared well at all vs. OKC this season. I’d still rather gamble on Dunn’s upside than go after ‘safer’ guys like Klay Thompson (vs. Memphis), Buddy Hield or Jeff Teague.
Justin Holiday (SG, $5.8k FanDuel … SG/SF, $5.8k DraftKings) – As with Dunn above, Holiday is a huge beneficiary of Zach LaVine’s absence. He also gains ground with Jabari Parker apparently out of coach Jim Boylen’s rotation, reducing the threat of Parker taking minutes at SF. Holiday averaged 39.5 minutes over the past two games and reached 34 and 28.4 fantasy points – the latter total coming despite a ridiculous 1-of-12 shooting display. His price is essentially a projection of >30 points and I’d be shocked if he doesn’t exceed that mark with huge minutes and extra offensive usage coming his way.
Mikal Bridges (SF, $4.6k FanDuel … SG/SF, $4.1k DraftKings) – Trevor Ariza is gone and the incoming players (Kelly Oubre and Austin Rivers) won’t be available until Wednesday in Boston. That leaves a ton of opportunity for the existing core of wing players, and Bridges is poised to hit 5-6x value tonight. He logged 40 minutes on Saturday and finished with 35.0 fantasy points, but even a tidy 25 would get the job done.
Nemanja Bjelica (SF, $5.2k FanDuel … SF/PF, $4.4k DraftKings) – The price-point is almost too nice for Bjelica on both sites. Marvin Bagley III is out 10-14 days minimum and that frees Bjelica to log 30+ minutes with ease – he got 35 on Sunday. The Wolves have actually been an easy matchup for opposing forwards from a DFS perspective (particularly SFs, but PFs are doing well too).
Malcolm Brogdon (SG, $5.2k FanDuel … PG/SG, $5.8k DraftKings) – This is a site-specific recommendation. I’m not loving Brogdon’s price on DK (he’s still worth considering) but I do like him on FanDuel. He missed a game this weekend with a hamstring issue but it’s not serious and he’s probable for tonight’s matchup vs. the Pistons, a team that’s lenient against both PGs and SGs. His ownership will be low due to the recent injury but when he’s in his usual role, he’s super consistent for DFS value.