NBA DFS Bargains: Thursday
Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. Depending on the size of your DRAFT league, you may not need to dig into the Bargain Bin, but we’ll also highlight a couple guys whose projections seem lower than they should be—potential game changers that your opponents may overlook.
Thursday brings four games to the DFS slate. All are reasonably close, high scoring games, with all eyes sure to be on LeBron James and James Harden in the headliner game of the night. Houston has played way more slowly this season, ranking just 29th in pace, but is once again top 10 in offensive efficiency. It’s possible to build lineups around both of these studs tonight, with value coming from San Antonio, Dallas, Phoenix and both LA teams.
Kyle Kuzma – F – LA Lakers (DRAFT Projection 33.7)
Kuzma isn’t projected wildly wrong here, but it’s worth noting a few things…he has exceeded this projection in six straight games. Three of those were against Memphis (twice) or San Antonio. Houston is ranked 25th in defensive efficiency and is most vulnerable to PFs when it comes to fantasy. So, Kuzma is a player I’m actively targeting tonight, finding him preferable to those projected just higher and just lower than he is.
Bryn Forbes – PG – San Antonio (FD: $3500, DK: $4300)
There is a significant pricing discrepancy here, with Forbes going for minimum salary on FanDuel tonight. He played over 30 minutes in his last two games, has three in a row with double-digit points, and notched a double-double vs. Phoenix on Tuesday. The Clippers are another top 10 PG matchup for fantasy, and Forbes is a player I trust to turn in 20-plus fantasy points tonight…a key to that stars and scrubs lineup.
Richaun Holmes – F – Phoenix (FD: $4800, DK: $3700)
Holmes has quietly been a pretty consistent contributor in the Suns frontcourt. He’s been averaging over 10 PPG since mid-November, and occasionally turning in a modest double-double. For the salary, he’s a safe cash game lineup filler.
Jalen Brunson – PG – Dallas (FD: $5500, DK: $4300)
Brunson had been excellent in his first three games as a starter for the Mavs, but fell off a bit last night as he took only three shots and didn’t do much in terms of peripheral stats. He gets a great opportunity to bounce back tonight in the best PG matchup of the slate with the Suns. Devin Harris (FD: $3900, DK: $3300) is also an option if you need to save a bit more; his upside is fairly limited, but he’s been getting some steals – Phoenix turns the ball over on a whopping 15.2 percent of their possessions – and can be dangerous from the foul line. There, it’s worth noting that the Suns rank fourth in personal fouls given per game.
Boban Marjanovic – C – LA Clippers (FD: $3700, DK: $4000)
Whatever I said about Boban the Great on Tuesday, that. He’s the No. 1 player in terms of player efficiency rating (PER) with a great 22.9 rebounding rate. The matchup isn’t great, but he was outstanding against Memphis last week, and let’s face it, even the Spurs can’t match him under the basket.
Josh Hart – G – LA Lakers (FD: $4500, DK: $4200)
Hart has stepped in as the starting two-guard for the Lakers, and flashed his predictable unpredictability already this week. He has played at least 35 minutes in the last three games, and had a well-balanced and productive game vs. Houston earlier this year. Thanks to the volatility I prefer him in tournaments tonight.
De’Anthony Melton – PG – Phoenix (FD: $6000, DK: $4900)
You know his name by now, this is just to say he’s actually getting better and better the more he plays. If Dallas has any positional weakness, it’s at the PG position, where they have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing guards. He’s a slightly better value on DK, but usable in cash games on both sites if you take a more middle-of-the-road approach to lineup building.