NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday
Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. Depending on the size of your DRAFT league, you may not need to dig into the Bargain Bin, but we’ll also highlight a couple guys whose projections seem lower than they should be—potential game changers that your opponents may overlook.
There are five NBA games on the slate for Tuesday night. Vegas expects mostly close games, but with many slower-paced teams taking the court, overall point totals are on the lower side (Atlanta at Miami is the highest, at 222 points). There is a lot of frontcourt depth tonight, which is refreshing for those taking part in larger DRAFTs, so tonight’s contests might come down to careful guard selection.
DRAFT bargains (also qualify on FD/DK)
Trae Young – G – Atlanta (DRAFT projection 28.9)
Young is a young player who is going to have his ups and downs. The floor is scary, but Young’s two recent bad games came against two of the NBA’s best defenses (Boston and Toronto). Tonight he gets a top 10 matchup with the Miami Heat, who are without several starters. In these teams’ first meeting, Young went for 24 points, 15 assists and 6 rebounds (over 50 fantasy points). I’m very comfortable taking him as my second guard tonight.
Monte Morris – G – Denver (DRAFT projection 18.8)
As long as Gary Harris is out, and perhaps even if he isn’t, Morris is the deep guard play I like tonight. He’s been very consistent thanks to his ample peripherals that boost his fantasy line even when he shoots poorly (like he did Saturday night). In his first game vs. the Lakers, Morris scored 20 real points, which along with three steals, three rebounds and seven assists, propelling him over 40 fantasy points.
Justice Winslow – SF – Miami (FD: $5000, DK: $4400)
All of Miami is in play tonight against the Hawks, who rank 24th in defensive efficiency but first in pace. Atlanta offers top five DvP (fantasy points allowed) to every position except center, where they rank ninth. Dwyane Wadeis still value-priced, Josh Richardsonand Hassan Whitesideshould be worth their salaries, and you might consider Rodney McGruderor Wayne Ellingtonhere too. I highlighted Winslow because I think he’s the most balanced of the three wings, I like his rebounding against the Hawks (they rank 26th in rebounding rate), and he absolutely crushed it the first time they played (15/10/8/2/2).
Deandre’ Bembry – F – Atlanta (FD: $4900, DK: $4000)
All signs point to Bembry’s value rising as he’s coming off two consecutive 35-plus fantasy point efforts. He played 4-5 minutes over his season average in those two games, took about five more FG attempts than his average, and generally filled the stat sheet with multiple rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. Miami ranks in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency, but Atlanta has managed to keep a majority of their recent games somewhat close as they look like a team with some identity. Bembry is a near lock for me tonight.
Richaun Holmes – PF – Phoenix (FD: $4300, DK: $3300)
Holmes played well on the Suns recent four-game road trip, scoring double-digit points with an average of over two blocks in each game and averaging just over 20 fantasy points. Indiana is a good defensive team and a better overall team than Phoenix, so I can’t completely trust him, but I think Holmes has a good chance to meet value again at his current salary.
Bogdan Bogdanovich – SF – Indiana (FD: $5500, DK: $4900)
Bogdanovich is playing consistently over 30 MPG, and returning consistent 25-30 fantasy points. He’s not going to win anyone a tournament tonight, but the Pacers are in a nice rhythm after beating the Jazz big last night (and averaging around 112 PPG over their last four games). They have big advantages over Phoenix offensively and defensively as well as in rebounding. He’s not a bad way to get exposure to this side of the game if you choose not to spend on Myles Turner or Domantas Sabonis (whom I love tonight). I don’t think he repeats his Monday night special, but Darren Collison (FD: $4900, DK: $4400) also fits the bill and as a bonus gets the league’s third-best fantasy matchup for PGs.
Juancho Hernangomez – SF – Denver (FD: $5500, DK: $4800)
Even over the past two weeks, when Hernangomez has pretty consistently played over 30 MPG, his results have been variable. Ranging from monster efforts against Atlanta and New Orleans to pitiful showings vs. Milwaukee, Orlando and Minnesota, it’s hard to know what to expect from the young forward. I take the high amount of playing time as a good sign, and love this matchup with the Lakers tonight. The Nuggets get a substantial pace bump, and hold a big rebounding advantage as well. You obviously would rather lock Nikola Jokicand Jamal Murrayinto your cash game lineups, but Hernangomez makes an interesting tournament play at this price.