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NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday

by Renee Miller

NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday

 

Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. Depending on the size of your DRAFT league, you may not need to dig into the Bargain Bin, but we’ll also highlight a couple guys whose projections seem lower than they should be—potential game changers that your opponents may overlook. 

 

Tonight’s five-game NBA slate offers a TON of value. Games should generally be high scoring and reasonably close. There are significant injuries to keep an eye on – this is not a set-it-and-forget-it kind of NBA DFS night. Watch for news to come out on Luca Doncic, the Dallas PGs, Marvin Bagley III, and Tyler Johnson, just to name a few.

 

DRAFT bargains (also qualify on FD/DK)

 

 Derrrick White – PG – San Antonio(DRAFT Projection 15.8)

 

Coach Popovich has made a couple changes to the starting lineup that bring some value to tonight’s slate. Davis Bertans joined the starting lineup on Sunday, and White has outplayed starter Bryn Forbes in each of the last two games, averaging 32 MPG. He’s responded with ~26 fantasy points in those games, and should perform similarly against Ricky Rubio and the Jazz, a surprisingly favorable PG matchup. 

 

Devin Harris – G—Dallas (DRAFT Projection 12.1)

 

With both JJ Barea and Dennis Smith Jr. questionable for tonight with mouth injuries, of all things, as well as Doncic’s status uncertain, Harris could again pick up some extra minutes. All positions are relatively deep on DRAFT tonight, so it makes sense to get in some bigger contests. In a six- or 10-person DRAFT, I’m preferring to wait on guards, and Harris is one that should exceed his meager projection in one of tonight’s higher scoring games. 

 

FanDuel/DraftKings bargains

 

Elie Okobo – PG – Phoenix (FD: $4700, DK: $4400)

 

Okobo’s back in business with Devin Booker back on the bench with another hamstring strain. He should step right back into 35-plus minutes in the best PG matchup of the day (Kings give up the fourth-most fantasy points to PGs). Okobo can be a difference maker in the assist category, as well as pick up multiple steals. Expect him to be a popular, but worth it play tonight.

 

Iman Shumpert – G/F – Sacramento (FD: $3800, DK: $3700)

 

If Bagley sits out tonight, which seems likely, Shumpert is the cheap way to get a piece of the Kings terrific fantasy matchup with the Suns. De’Aaron Fox and Bogan Bogdanovic, as well as Willie Cauley-Stein are great plays tonight, but Shumpert offers an 18-22 fantasy point floor for dirt cheap.

 

Davis Bertans – PF – San Antonio (FD: $3500, DK: $3500)

 

Assuming Bertans sticks in the starting lineup tonight, I expect a better performance than he delivered on Sunday. He scored 10 points, but put up a big goose egg otherwise. When he was regularly seeing 25 minutes last year, he was a reliable near double-double player. At this price, he’s worth the risk of a 12 point fantasy floor to get his 28 fantasy point upside. 

 

Tyreke Evans – G – Indiana (FD: $5300, DK: $5200)

 

Evans is for tournaments only, as he is priced for a just a 4X return on value – we have several other players that can get us 20-25 fantasy points for less than Evans tonight. However, few have the upside Evans CAN display at his price, and this matchup with the faster-paced Bulls should show it. He should turn in a well-rounded stat line with double-digit points, a couple steals, and 5-6 rebounds and assists as well. Chicago ranks last in the league in rebounding rate, so it’s worth spending up on pricier Pacers like Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis too. 

 

Bojan Bogdanovic – SF – Indiana (FD: $5200)

 

Both Bogdanovics may well be worth rostering tonight, but Bojan is priced way too low on FanDuel in particular. He not only gets a terrific top 10 matchup with the Bulls, he’s been a lock for double-digit points and has improved a lot in the peripheral department (though there’s still some variability there). Like Evans, the pace bump and defensive inefficiency of Chicago should yield one of Bogdanovic’s better stat lines. 

 

Moe Harkless – SF – Portland (FD: $4500, DK: $3700)

 

Harkless’ value tonight hinges pretty heavily on whether Evan Turner plays or not, so add Turner to the list of names to keep a close eye on as this game approaches. I don’t like the crowded Trail Blazers’ forward rotation when everyone is healthy, but Harkless came on strong in their last game when he played a whopping 33 minutes (double what he had done to that point). While Dallas is a good overall defensive team, they do rank above average in terms of fantasy points allowed to SFs (eighth). 

 

Josh Jackson – SF – Phoenix (FD: $5600, DK: $5300)

 

Jackson is the highest projected forward on DRAFT, so to see his salary this low on the traditional DFS sites is great. Phoenix is set to be without Devin Booker and perhaps T.J. Warren (though Warren is probable) tonight. If Warren sits again, Jackson is a lock to play, but if Warren is back, I’m using a lot more caution with Jackson.

 

 

Also consider: Richaun Holmes, Al-Farouq Aminu, Joe Ingles, and Dwyane Wade if some of the above value evaporates with last minute injury news.