NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday
Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. Depending on the size of your DRAFT league, you may not need to dig into the Bargain Bin, but we’ll also highlight a couple guys whose projections seem lower than they should be—potential game changers that your opponents may overlook.
We have only three games to pick from tonight…which if you survived last night kind of feels like a relief! If you’re reading this, you have some fortitude as Monday was a rare kind of disaster in NBA DFS. San Antonio vs. Phoenix is the only projected blowout game, and one that features plus positional matchups on both sides. Portland and Houston should be pretty well-matched, and is the main game to draw your stars from (Damian Lillard, James Harden, a center). Finally, Toronto at the LA Clippers is the fastest paced game (both teams rank in the top 10) and strongest offensive matchup (both teams rank in the top five in offensive efficiency). Advantage Raptors here thanks to Kawhi Leonard and their overall defensive prowess, but injuries and other player absences do open up some value on the Clippers.
DRAFT bargains (also qualify on FD/DK)
C.J. McCollum – G – Portland (DRAFT Projection 30.9)
McCollum is generally exceeding this projection on a nightly basis, but the main reason I include him here is that he should be drafted ahead of Kyle Lowry, who is setting records by NOT scoring lately. With Chris Paul likely to match up with Lillard, McCollum should see plenty of open looks from beyond the arc. In fact, I almost like McCollum ahead of Paul too…
Al-Farouq Aminu – F – Portland (DRAFT Projection 23.7)
Sticking with the Trail Blazers, Aminu is a hot and cold kind of player. He didn’t fare well in the first matchup between these teams, but has four 30-plus-fantasy point games out of the last five (the other being a blowout win over Phoenix). The PF matchup with Houston is an above average one, and I like Aminu as a second F in the last round of mid-size DRAFTs.
Dante Cunningham – F – San Antonio (FD: $3600, DK: $3700)
Davis Bertans is doubtful again tonight, which should allow Cunningham to exceed value on volume alone, assuming he is active after some weekend abdominal soreness. It’s obviously a plus-matchup with the Suns, and the Spurs have given him over 20 minutes in his last three games, a span in which he’s averaged about 18 fantasy points.
Boban Marjanovic – C – LA (FD: $3700, DK: $3800)
The minutes still aren’t fantastic, you know that, but with a guaranteed 15 MPG, Boban at this price is hard to pass. He leads the league in player efficiency rating (29.97 PER). While Toronto isn’t a good on-paper matchup, that doesn’t matter for Marjanovic. He’s purely a points per minute player and I think he rounds out your utility slot on DraftKings perfectly tonight.
Avery Bradley – G – LA (FD: $3900, DK: $3700)
Lou Williams is set to miss tonight’s game with a hamstring injury sustained Monday night. Bradley hasn’t been good, but he is playing a ton of minutes. That should continue, but the reason to consider him is that if Williams misses the game, there is a massive usage hole in this lineup. Williams ranks ninth in usage (31.5 percent), leaving a lot of possessions to make up for. I don’t trust Bradley but he has 30-plus fantasy point upside in this one.
Jacob Poetl – C – San Antonio (FD: $4200, DK: $4100)
The other cheap Spurs player to consider tonight, unless you’re brave enough to try to decipher who the best PG will be tonight, is Poetl. He had a nice, well-rounded game against Phoenix earlier this season (7/9/1 with 2 blocks and a steal), and the Suns remain the league’s most generous center matchup for fantasy. The absence of Bertans and potential for a blowout should help him to 20-plus minutes tonight.
De’Anthony Melton – PG – Phoenix (FD: $5300, DK: $4300)
The Spurs have a couple defensive holes, notably PG and SF. We’ve written enough about Josh Jackson here, so while he’s still a great value ($5500 both sites), I wanted to highlight Melton, who has clearly won over the temporary PG job in Phoenix. He’s coming off his most well-rounded game of the season, with 13 points, 8 assists and 2 steals in 35 minutes Monday night. He’s a solid filler as your second PG/G tonight in any contest.