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Daily Games

NBA DFS Bargains Tuesday 3/3

by Renee Miller
Updated On: March 3, 2020, 8:56 pm ET

Tuesday’s eight-game NBA slate could be a wild one. Minnesota at New Orleans is eye-catching with a 247.5 point total, while three games have double-digit spreads (New Orleans, Denver and the LA Lakers are big home favorites). The game between San Antonio and Charlotte should be a fantasy-friendly one, and Sacramento gets a nice pace bump and generous defense with the 29th ranked Wizards. In this column, I generally set $6000 FD/$5000 DK as the bargain threshold, and I try to indicate when I think a position is particularly well-suited--or not--to using the cheap plays given the landscape of the particular slate. Tonight’s slate tips at 7:00 pm EST. 

 

Point Guard

Jordan McLaughlin, Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans ($4200 FD, $3800 DK)

No one gives up more fantasy points to opposing point guards than the Pelicans, who also rank sixth in turnover rate, which should make you very determined to fit D’Angelo Russell into your lineups tonight. However, the Timberwolves are 11.5-point underdogs here and if the game is out of hand early, McLaughlin could get a few extra minutes. He’s averaging around 20ish fantasy points a game lately, with some decent upside.  

 

Reggie Jackson, LA Clippers at Oklahoma City ($4300 FD, $4500 DK)

Jackson had a monster 28-point game vs. the Thunder in one of his last games as a Piston and although it would be nice to see him get back to that point, I think it’s a bit too optimistic. Still, he has scored 25 points in his last two games, and that is 25 more points than Patrick Beverley has scored. And, Beverley recorded exactly zero of his trademark, fantasy-boosting blocks and steals in these last two games. Jackson is still stuck just under 20 MPG, but should that change? I like him as a relatively safe 5X value play tonight with some potential for more at what should be very low ownership. 

 

Shooting Guard

Cody Martin, Charlotte Hornets vs. San Antonio ($4200 FD, $4100 DK)

With Devonte’ Graham doubtful tonight and Malik Monk suspended, Martin ranks as one of the only viable guard options for Charlotte. He’s been fine, nothing great at about 20-25 fantasy points per game lately, but the matchup is one of the best and the Spurs do play at a faster pace than Charlotte, who is the slowest team in the league, while offering the 11th-most overall fantasy points to opponents.

 

Damion Lee, Golden State Warriors at Denver ($5500 FD, $5700 DK)

The Warriors are up to nine healthy bodies for tonight, which again means that you should play the guys who are seeing a ton of minutes. The matchup isn’t great, and the Warriors are 15.5-point underdogs, but there is literally no one to turn to if the game gets out of hand (which is why you won’t see a lot of Nuggets here or in my lineups tonight). Lee did post a 40-fantasy point night the first time he played Denver. 

 

Alec Burks, Philadelphia 76ers at LA ($4700 FD, $4400 DK)

Burks should get some extra run with Josh Richardson sidelined. He played 25 minutes in this arena vs. the Clippers and put up a well-rounded 15-point, 6-rebound, 3-assist line the other night, making three threes. 

 

Also consider: Norman Powell ($4900 FD, $5700 DK), Buddy Hield ($5500 both)

 

 

Small Forward

OG Anunoby, Toronto Raptors at Phoenix ($5700 FD, $6500 DK)

The Raptors are potentially without Fred VanVleet and Serge Ibaka tonight, which puts Powell and Anunoby firmly on the radar. Phoenix isn’t the great matchup they used to be, and this game carries one of the narrower spreads of the night, which is great for these competitive guys. Anunoby is on a tear, with 13 steals in the last two games to go along with plenty of counting stats. He prices out on DraftKings, but had to be mentioned. 

 

Juancho Hernangomez, Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans ($4800 FD, $5500 DK)

Hernangomez is on fire his last three games, playing around or over 30 MPG, and racking up the stats across the board. He’s double-doubled in the last two, and the one before that saw him dish out five assists. Did I mention the high total on this game? I thought so. New Orleans also gives up the eighth-most fantasy points overall and ninth-most to SFs. 

 

Mychal Mulder, Golden State Warriors at Denver ($4100 FD, $3600 DK(SG))

Mulder has played over 30 minutes in his last two games, where he has continued his hot three-point shooting, making three in each. He’ll look to keep it going and possibly extend his stay with the Warriors, who have missed having a floor-spacing guard on the floor lately. 

 

 

Power Forward

Trey Lyles, San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte ($5400 FD, $5200 DK)

We talk a lot about the inadequacy of the Hornets’ frontcourt when it comes to stopping their opponents in fantasy. It’s the best matchup of the slate for big men, and one of the best in the league. Lyles benefits from both LaMarcus Aldridge and Jakob Poeltl being out, and has strung together two very sharp games against far better opposition. 

 

Eric Paschall, Golden State Warriors at Denver ($4700 FD, $5300 DK)

You get the logic, just know that Paschall has put together three 30-plus fantasy point games in a row now, while Dragan Bender ($3900 FD, $3700 DK) showed off what he is capable of when not getting too deep in foul trouble (a 13-point, 9-rebound, 4-assist, 3-block and one steal game in Phoenix). 

 

 

Center

Daniel Theis, Boston Celtics vs. Brooklyn ($5600 FD, $5500 DK)

You guys know I love Theis, and if Jayson Tatum is out, he could be even better. He’s been great when given the minutes, and the Nets are a good frontcourt matchup (fourth-best for fantasy centers). He’s pretty near a double-double every night, and there’s a good chance he gets there tonight. If you’re feeling extra daring, Enes Kanter has played more minutes than Theis vs. Brooklyn this year, averaging about 23 fantasy points per game.  

 

Derrick Favors, New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota ($5300 FD, $5200 DK)

Favors is a cheaper center I feel ok with, though Zion Williamson is the player most in demand for the Pelicans. Favors is a good bet for a double-double tonight in a game I’ve already raved about, and is a consistent source of 1-2 blocks and steals a game to boot. 

 

Alex Len, Sacramento Kings vs. Washington ($4800 FD, $4300 DK)

Me writing up Len is basically the kiss of death but here we go anyway. The Kings have no one else and Washington is not only the second-best overall fantasy matchup, they rank fifth against centers. He’s been as good as Harry Giles III for much less money this week.