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NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday

by Renee Miller

NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday

 

Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. Depending on the size of your DRAFT league, you may not need to dig into the Bargain Bin, but we’ll also highlight a couple guys whose projections seem lower than they should be—potential game changers that your opponents may overlook. 

 

We’re looking at four NBA games for this Tuesday DFS slate. The fastest-paced Atlanta Hawks host the seventh-fastest Washington Wizards in the highest point total game (235), followed closely by the LA Lakers visiting the Brooklyn Nets (228). Fortunately, both of those have narrow spreads and offer some interesting values. The only real blow-out risk is Indiana over Cleveland (Pacers -12.5), but as you know, that opens up value as well. 

 

DRAFT bargains 

 

JaVale McGee – C – LA (DRAFT Projection 21.6)

 

Only if you’re in a deeper DRAFT, as there are obvious preferred choices at the center position, McGee is the guy you can wait till the last round on. He missed Sunday’s game with an illness, but should be good to go tonight in the best C matchup in the league (Brooklyn surrenders the most fantasy points to opposing centers, despite overall improvements on defense this season). 

 

Jeff Green – F – Washington (DRAFT Projection 22.7)

 

Green is a volatile fantasy asset, but when he’s hot he’s hot. He’s been on fire in two of the last three games (falling short vs. the aforementioned defensively improved Nets) and now gets to face Atlanta, the league-best F matchup (most fantasy points allowed to SF and PF). The Wizards rotation will take an adjustment tonight as Trevor Ariza is likely to debut with his new team, but I expect that to impact Tomas Satoransky more than Green. It’s also likely that Markieff Morris plays a bit tonight, but again, Green should be able to get closer to 30 fantasy points tonight. He’s also a solid play on both FanDuel ($5300) and DraftKings ($4800). 

 

 

FanDuel/DraftKings bargains

 

 

Cory Joseph – G – Indiana (FD: $4300, DK: $4200)

 

Joseph has been playing very solid, well-rounded ball over the past week, and really just has one blip on his game log (Washington). With 25-plus minutes, he is filling the stat sheet, and Cleveland is susceptible to opposing guards. I love his potential to approach 30 fantasy points with Tyreke Evans doubtful in what Vegas expects to be a blow-out win over the Cavs. 

 

Jalen Brunson – G – Dallas (FD: $4500, DK: $4100)

 

It sounds like Dennis Smith Jr. is still one game away from returning from his wrist ailment, so even though JJ Barea has a better chance of returning to the court tonight, Brunson should remain the starting PG for the Mavs. It’s not an ideal matchup; Denver ranks fifth in the league in defensive efficiency this season, but he’s cheap enough to reach 5X value tonight.

 

Lance Stephenson – F – LA (FD: $4300, DK: $3800)

 

It’s dangerous to trust Stephenson too much, so let me say at the outset that he’s a GPP only play for me tonight, but he has been effective of late. In the Lakers’ last three games, Stephenson has played exactly 23 minutes and averaged 26 fantasy points. Moreover, he averages 10 more fantasy points in road games than he does in LA. Double-digit points, a few rebounds and assists, at least one steal…in a game with a 228 over/under and a two-point spread? At this price? Sign me up. 

 

Rodions Kurucs – F – Brooklyn (FD: $4400, DK: $4000)

 

Kurucs’ value will depend on the status of Allen Crabbe, but I think he has a chance to sit out again today. The rookie has settled in fast, with double-digit scoring and ample rebounds and steals in the last three games. The game factors alone make him as well as the more expensive Nets like D’Angelo Russell and Jarett Allen interesting plays tonight. 

 

Monte Morris – G – Denver(FD: $5700, DK: $4700)

 

Not as cheap as he used to be, Morris is continuing to make the most of the injuries to the Nuggets. Primarily a shooter, but an especially effective one (50 percent from 3-point range over the last five games), Morris can slot in to any lineup with confidence tonight. The Mavericks turn the ball over fourth-most in the league, so there’s hope for a couple steals to pad his stat line tonight as well. 

 

Thomas Bryant – C – Washington(FD: $4600, DK: $3700)

 

It’s hard to not pick on the Hawks too much; they are the best fantasy matchup overall and seventh-most generous to centers. Bryant would be a contrarian choice tonight at the position given the talented options (Nikola Jokic) available at higher price points. Bryant had an excellent game vs. Atlanta earlier in the month, totaling 33 fantasy points. One saving grace here is that the Hawks are nearly as bad as the Wizards when it comes to rebounding.