NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday
Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers.
It’s always hard to follow a MLK Jr. Day slate, but Tuesday has four decent games from which to draw. Toronto hosts Sacramento in what could be a blowout, but all four games have point totals of at least 222 points, and the other three are reasonably narrow spreads (six points or fewer). The Raptors and Trail Blazers should benefit from faster paced opponents, while we’ll want to take advantage of the LA Clippers’, Phoenix Suns’, and Sacramento Kings’ poor defensive ratings. Injuries to be wary of include the Suns Deandre Ayton and Richaun Holmes, Dennis Smith Jr., who is back with the team, and Lou Williams, who traveled, but isn’t expected to play tonight.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – G – LA (FD: $3900, DK: $4600)
Coming off a real dud of a game, but in 38 minutes, SGA will be a low-owned PG tonight in a faster-paced game with a high point total and narrow spread. This game features a ton of good DvP options, including Gilgeous-Alexander with the seventh-best PG matchup. Particularly if Lou Williams is out again with his sore hamstring (as is expected), consider Gilgeous-Alexander as a dirt cheap upside/risk/reward play on FanDuel.
Jamal Crawford – G – Phoenix (FD: $3500, DK: $3500)
What year is it? I’ve been writing about Crawford FOREVER it seems. Tonight he’s a very cheap filler that should get you at least 5X value with his shooting and assists. It’s a good game environment as the Suns have kept some better teams at bay at home this season, and the Timberwolves aren’t a defensive juggernaut (they rank 20th in defensive efficiency).
Jake Layman – F – Portland (FD: $4100, DK: $3600)
Portland has always been a frustrating team to draw from on the wing, and with Maurice Harkless back as the starting SF, Layman is a riskier play. However, the Thunder are a good wing matchup and Layman is averaging over 20 MPG this month, has double-digit points in his last five games, and won’t cost you as much as Evan Turner or Harkless. When all three have overlapping outcome projections, I prefer to save.
Kelly Oubre Jr. – F – Phoenix (FD: $6100, DK: $5600)
On the higher end of the value spectrum, Oubre Jr. seems to be adjusting well to the desert. He’s averaging over 20 points per game, six rebounds per game, two assists per game and over a steal per game over the last two weeks. Devin Booker has been back for four of those seven games and T.J. Warren is playing well as the starter. Minnesota has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing SFs this season, making Oubre a safe option in the mid-range tonight. If the Suns are short handed in the frontcourt again, I like him (and Warren) even more.
Dorian Finney-Smith – F – Dallas (FD: $3900, DK: $3700)
Jalen Brunson – G – Dallas (FD: $3700, DK: $3900)
I mentioned attacking the weak Clippers defense above and these are two cheap ways to do it. Brunson naturally disappears if Smith Jr. is starting or even expected to play significant minutes tonight. Otherwise, he’s been fine with double-digit scoring and a few assists and rebounds in three of his last four games – not gimme matchups either (Golden State, San Antonio, Milwaukee and Indiana). Finney-Smith has quietly been playing well over the last four games, and he played 33 minutes yesterday in Milwaukee, scoring 13 points with five rebounds, a block and two steals. The Clippers are the league’s best PF matchup, so while he’s still very unproven, I’m willing to give Finney-Smith another go tonight.
Dennis Schroder – G – Oklahoma City (FD: $6200, DK: $5400)
Maybe your lineup construction leaves you with a little more to spend on your last ‘bargain’ guard. This Western Conference matchup should be a fun one to target and the consistency of Schroder makes him a safe play in any format.