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NBA GPP Pivots: Thursday 1/31

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: January 31, 2019, 2:17 pm ET

Welcome to the NBA GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned popular picks makes for a viable GPP strategy.

 

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NBA News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

 

With that, let’s dive into tonight’s six-game slate!  

POINT GUARD

 

Dennis Smith Jr. – Dallas (at Detroit)

 

I’m anxious to see what Smith’s ownership rate will look like tonight. He’s coming off a sweet triple-double (13 points, 10 rebounds, 15 assists) with 43 fantasy points through 28 minutes at New York last night. There’s a chance more DFS enthusiasts will back him upon hearing about that breakout spot, but you can’t deny his upside in tournaments – especially considering the economical mid-range salary across both sites. It helps that he’s facing a Detroit team that ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency to opposing point guards.

 

SHOOTING GUARD

 

Malcolm Brogdon – Milwaukee (at Toronto)

 

Brogdon still has the “questionable tag” next to his name on FanDuel despite being upgraded to probable. I’m expecting the Milwaukee guard to resume his usual workload of 32 minutes, which has translated to a healthy 31 FPPG mark over his past ten. That should be considered Brogdon’s baseline moving forward, and I’m guessing most people will subconsciously overlook him due to the injury designation next to his name. The matchup doesn’t look great on paper, but this is expected to be a high-scoring (229 over/under) and competitive affair between two of the best teams in the East. Brogdon posted 35 fantasy points through 33 minutes in his last meeting with the Raptors (1/5), and he could easily fall into that range this time around.  

 

SMALL FORWARD

 

Jonathan Isaac – Orlando (vs Indiana)

 

Don’t look now, but Jonathan Isaac has carved himself a nice role in Orlando. The rangy forward has notched 30+ fantasy points in three of his past four while averaging 27 minutes through that span. Isaac would see even more of a boost if frontcourt teammate Jonathan Simmons (questionable) is ruled out, but that’s not a prerequisite for using Isaac in DFS. His versatility lends itself to playing time even if Orlando is at full strength, but there’s certainly upside in minutes if Simmons can’t play.

 

POWER FORWARD

 

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson – Brooklyn (at San Antonio)

 

I’m still of the opinion that Hollis-Jefferson is vastly underpriced on both sites: $4500 on FanDuel and $4200 on DraftKings. That comes despite an increased role while gradually coming back from injury, as RHJ is averaging 27 FPPG through 24 minutes in his past three. Brooklyn’s rotation is pretty deep, so the playing time isn’t set in stone. However, I still believe Hollis-Jefferson is way too cheap, and he’s playing some pretty good basketball at the moment. It helps that his opponent (San Antonio) ranks 25th in defensive efficiency to opposing power forwards.

 

CENTER

 

Ivica Zubac – LA Lakers (at LA Clippers)

 

Zubac was unstoppable on Sunday with 24 points and 16 boards (53 fantasy points) against Phoenix. It seemed like the tide was shifting towards Zubac ousting JaVale McGee as the Lakers’ primary center. However, McGee came up huge against Joel Embiid on Tuesday (42 FP in 26 minutes), and now we don’t know what to think of LAL’s big man rotation. There’s a reasonable chance that the Lakers will go back to Zubac tonight, and he could post another breakout performance if that’s the case. The Clippers rank dead last in defensive efficiency to opposing centers, laying the foundation for DFS upside if Zubac sees 25+ of floor time. Fingers crossed!

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.