Welcome to the NBA GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular selections. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NBA News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at Tuesday’s five-game slate starting at 7:30 ET.
Jamal Murray - Denver (vs. Minnesota)
I’m not saying Murray will have a small contingency on this five-game slate, but I believe he’ll be underrepresented compared to point guards like Damian Lillard (great matchup) and Kyrie Irving (no KD). Murray started the season flat, but he has really picked up the pace with 46+ fantasy points in each of his last two games. That includes 51 FP in 35 minutes at Minnesota on Sunday, the same team he’ll face tonight. The Wolves like to play fast without putting up much resistance on defense (I can say that as a Wolves’ fan), so Murray will have another chance at upside tonight. There’s a realistic chance he’ll produce akin to Lillard/Irving for a fraction of the cost.
Mike Conley - Utah (at Brooklyn)
If you are looking to swerve a little further from the popular picks (large multi-entry tournaments), then Conley is worth a look. Despite his defensive reputation, Conley has stepped up his offense with 47+ fantasy points in two of his last four outings. Is that a random spurt or a sign of things to come this season? We really don’t know, but Conley is brimming with confidence heading into a good matchup at Brooklyn - who ranks fourth in pace and 20th in defensive efficiency to backcourts at the moment.
DeMar DeRozan - San Antonio (at LA Clippers)
Most DFS enthusiasts will cringe when thinking of DeRozan trying to work against Paul George or Kawhi Leonard tonight. However, subpar individual matchups could be canceled out by increased usage. Derrick White will return to the sidelines while LaMarcus Aldridge is questionable. DeRozan has stepped up in certain situations over the last few weeks, hitting 47+ fantasy points in three of five games. Despite having some excellent defenders in their backcourts, the Clippers allowed Devin Booker (25-8-5), Mike Conley (33-7-2), and Luka Doncic (24-8-9 in 26 min) to have pretty good nights. DeRozan could be next.
Malik Beasley - Minnesota (at Denver)
If you are looking for a cheaper tournament guard, then Malik Beasley could be your guy. He has been featured more than any other player in the GPP Pivots series this season, finally coming through with a breakout 49 FP effort vs. Denver on Sunday. Beasley isn’t afraid to chuck up shots, and he’ll keep getting opportunities with Karl-Anthony Towns out. His contributions in assists, steals, and blocks were something new last game, and that’s where the upside lies (on top of the usual 20-25 points and 5-6 boards). Only half of Minnesota’s games have been competitive this season, and Malik has only seen 30+ minutes two times. If he gets the expected 36+ minute helping in a somewhat competitive game, then it should be easy for him to exceed value on this cheap price point.
Keldon Johnson - San Antonio (at LA Clippers)
Johnson is a safer pick if LaMarcus Aldridge (questionable) is out for his fourth-straight game. However, Keldon will still be on my tournament shortlist even if Aldridge plays. We can’t forget that he’s averaging 34 FPPG and 30 minutes in three games with LMA this season. Similar to the write-up of teammate DeMar DeRozan, Johnson could benefit from a nice game environment (228 over/under) even if the individual matchups aren’t great.
Jarrett Culver - Brooklyn (vs. Utah)
The Wolves are still trying to figure out their rotations with Karl-Anthony Towns out of the lineup. That included experimenting with Jarrett Culver at power forward, which didn’t turn out very well. However, Culver returned to his usual small forward position on Sunday, and the Wolves looked more competitive. Culver bounced-back as well, racking up 34 fantasy points in 28 minutes. You would think Culver continues to soak up playing time at SF (especially if Okogie is still out), which gives him a chance to replicate his last performance. If that’s the case, you are looking at a nice tournament cheapie.
Bojan Bogdanovic - Utah (at Brooklyn)
Bojan needs the ball to go through the net in order to have a good fantasy day. That’s a risky proposition when it comes to three-point shooters. However, an up-tempo matchup at Brooklyn could help him out tonight. Bojan’s range has been between 3-36 (not a typo) fantasy points this season, so he’s definitely a flaky option. There’s a chance he’ll end up on the higher end of that spread in a 229 over/under, and Bojan’s salary is cheap due to those inconsistencies.
Enes Kanter - Portland (vs. Chicago)
Everyone is waiting for Portland center Jusuf Nurkic to have his breakout game. Why don’t we look to the guy who has been occasionally outproducing him? Kanter has been known as a nice DFS asset who can rack up fantasy points in a hurry, and that was on display with 43 FP in 24 minutes at Golden State on Sunday. Portland’s backup big man has seen 22+ minutes in three of his past four, which is virtually the same playing time as Nurkic. Kanter could translate that floor time into another strong fantasy night vs. Chicago - who was one of the worst teams against centers (27th) and opposing bench players (24th) last season. They also ranked 28th in rebound rate. Talk about a great matchup!