Welcome to the NBA GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular selections. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NBA News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at Wednesday’s eight-game slate starting at 7:00 ET.
Damian Lillard - Portland (at Sacramento)
It seems strange to have a high-profile player like Lillard featured in this article. However, I believe he’ll be under-utilized in tournaments tonight. That comes despite participating in the highest over/under (236) of the night. Lillard is listed as probable while playing through an ankle injury. The ailment has left him with back-to-back mediocre performances while teammate CJ McCollum has been picking up the slack. Lillard has had a couple of days to rest, and now he’ll settle into a nice matchup at Sacramento - who ranks 28th in defensive efficiency to point guards this season. Most people will look towards Luka Doncic, LaMelo Ball, De’Aaron Fox, or Elfrid Payton at PG tonight, making Lillard a sneaky-good “swerve” in large-field tournaments.
Tyus Jones - Memphis (at Minnesota)
Fun fact: Tyus Jones grew up in the Twin Cities area, and he used to wear the Timberwolves uniform for several years. I’m not sure if that will translate to extra motivation in this homecoming, but it probably doesn’t hurt while facing a defensively challenged Wolves team. Jones has been tearing it up lately with 42 and 37 fantasy points respectively in his last two. It seems he has found his groove while filling in for Ja Morant, and that could continue in Minneapolis tonight. Keep in mind that Jones has a legitimate range of 20-40 FP, but I’m thinking he’ll finish on the higher side of that when considering the matchup.
Dillon Brooks - Memphis (at Minnesota)
As mentioned in the previous write-up, Ja Morant is still out for Memphis. On top of that, Jaren Jackson Jr. hasn’t been cleared to play this season, and Jonas Valanciunas is only seeing around 25 minutes per contest. That leaves a ton of usage for the other regular starters to pick up. Most of that falls on Tyus Jones, Dillon Brooks, and Brandon Clarke - who all make for interesting DFS plays in this plum matchup at Minnesota. Some DFS enthusiasts may have some sticker shock when it comes to Brooks, as his salary has ascended in the past week. He’s coming off his best game of the season (33 minutes, 40 FP @ CLE), and that momentum could carry into this appealing draw. Minnesota ranks 27th in defensive efficiency to shooting guards.
Kevin Knox - New York (vs. Brooklyn)
Knox posted 29 fantasy points in 29 minutes at Charlotte on Monday. Was the extended playing time due to Alec Burks and Reggie Bullock sitting out, or was it because the Knicks got blown out? It’s probably a little bit of both. However, Knox has some wind in his sails while potentially seeing adequate minutes tonight with Burks and Bullock still out. Knox is dirt-cheap across the DFS industry, and he carries some interesting upside if the three-pointers are falling.
Robert Covington - Portland (at Sacramento)
I’m focusing on James Johnson, Julius Randle, and Brandon Clarke (for the most part) at power forward. However, if you want to think outside the box (for multi-entry tournaments), then Robert Covington is an interesting name to consider. Let’s face it: Covington has been disappointing this season, speaking from a DFS standpoint. However, his salary has bottomed-out across the DFS industry, and he’s still seeing full minutes in competitive games. The Blazers are looking at a close, high-scoring contest at Sacramento tonight, and the over/under currently rests at 236. The Kings rank 26th in defensive efficiency to power forwards, leaving Covington with an opportunity to pad his stat-line for respectable DFS value.
Richaun Holmes - Sacramento (vs. Portland)
To be honest, I’m not sure how popular Richaun Holmes will be tonight. On one hand, he’s coming off a nice 51 FP performance vs. Indiana on Monday. On the other hand, there’s an injury designation next to his name (even though he’s probable) due to a sore ankle. No matter how you look at it, I believe Holmes has some of the best profit potential of any center on this slate. He carries a non-imposing mid-range salary despite hitting 43+ fantasy points in three of his last six games. A high-scoring tilt vs. Portland (21st in defensive efficiency vs. centers) could help him to that range once again.