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Elijah McGuire
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NFL DFS Bargains Week 10

by Renee Miller
Updated On: November 13, 2018, 6:33 am ET

Bargain Bin Week 10

 

Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your DFS lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000/$6000 for QB, $6000/$5000 for RB/WR, and $5500/$4500 (FD/DK) for TE insomuch as possible. 

 

 

Quarterback

 

Josh Rosen (FD: $6500, DK: $4800)

 

The Chiefs Defense is definitely better at home, but they still have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points this season to opposing QBs. With their potent offense, Vegas has the Chiefs as 16.5 point favorites this weekend, which means that Rosen is going to be pressed into catchup mode. Rosen did a lot of things right in his last start vs. San Francisco, including passing for a season/career high in passing yards, and two touchdowns. If you’re trying to differentiate by spending down at QB, this is the game flow situation to take advantage of. Another way to go with the Cardinals is to roster Patrick Mahomes or Kareem Hunt along with Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk or David Johnson as I discussed in Tuesday’s Starting Points. 

 

Marcus Mariota (FD: $6700, DK: $4700)

 

Mariota did some impressive things Monday night in Dallas. That was not an easy situation, and to walk away with the win after a few early miscues shows a lot. Trent Dilfer wrote a nice analysis of Mariota past, present and future which speaks to that game as a pivotal performance. Whether or not he is the Titans forever QB or not, he does get another interesting opportunity vs. New England this weekend. The Patriots are a fine matchup for opposing QBs (eighth-best for fantasy), and though none of Mariota’s pass-catchers (with the exception of Dion Lewis) may be fantasy trustworthy, there are a lot of them and he seems willing to find any of them. Even, finally, Jonnu Smith. Another 20-plus fantasy point game is likely from Mariota this weekend. 

 

Running Back

 

Elijah McGuire (FD: $4900, DK: $3400)

 

I intentionally didn’t write up Josh McCown here, because I really don’t like using QBs against Buffalo. First, the Bills’ one strength may be in pass defense and second, it’s too easy to get and hold a lead on them through defense and running the ball. So, there is/will be a lot of talk about McCown and Robby Anderson this week, but I’m sticking with McGuire and Jets D/ST (like we discussed Jordan Howard and Bears D/ST last week). 

 

Duke Johnson (FD: $5600, DK: $4700)

 

Atlanta may not be the very best matchup for pass-catching running backs after an underwhelming Washington Redskins effort (minus Chris Thompson) last week, but they are still one to target. Johnson now famously saw nine targets in Week 9, and for at least one more week, I think there’s reason for continued optimism. While the big performance from Johnson and Baker Mayfield didn’t result in a win (against KC, who can blame them?), they will likely be in a similar game flow situation in Week 10 vs. a hot Falcons Offense. This is a very fair salary for Johnson. 

 

Theo Riddick(FD: $5100, DK: $3800)

 

Riddick returned to catch seven of eight targets and re-muddy the Lions backfield situation for Kerryon Johnson. One thing that seems clear is Riddick’s role as a receiver. I don’t use RBs against the Bears, but Matt Stafford’s short passes to Riddick were one of the team’s few strengths last week and I expect to see more of it here. Always a better PPR option, Riddick’s low DK salary should warrant tournament consideration. 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Maurice Harris (FD: $5900, DK: $3900)

 

Alex Smith threw for over 300 yards in a great matchup last week, and more of them went to Harris than anyone else. Facing an even better opportunity against the Bucs in Week 10, Harris should again be a focal point. Jordan Reed is banged up (yawn), the two expected top WRs are gone (Jamison Crowder is doubtful and Paul Richardson Jr. is on IR), and Josh Doctson hasn’t lived up to the hype/hope. I’m using some restraint here, because 1) Smith is Smith, 2) he’s on the road, and 3) the Redskins suffered some offensive line injuries. But especially on DK, Harris is cheap enough for all lineups in this matchup. 

 

Adam Humphries (FD: $5700, DK: $3900)

 

On the other side of the field from Harris will be Humphries, who is quietly averaging nine targets per game over the last three games. He seems to be way past Chris Godwin in terms of target share, and while I fully expect Mike Evans to bounce back from a one-catch (on 10 targets) game, I think Humphries maintains value as well. Maybe not 2-TD value, but this is expected to be a high scoring game, and the Washington defense now ranks in the top 10 in fantasy points allowed to opposing WRs and QBs.

 

 

Tight End

 

Ben Watson (FD: $5900, DK: $3400)

You’ve heard me say it a hundred times…cheap players in high scoring games. Watson fits the bill this week, and is further aided by a good matchup with the Bengals, who allow the third-most fantasy points to tight ends (and are one of only six teams allowing more than 10 fantasy points to TE this season). In what should be another back-and-forth game, I think we see Watson with another 10-12 fantasy point effort…nothing crazy, but decent if you’re not paying up for Travis Kelce or O.J. Howard.

 

Jordan Reed (FD: $5200)

 

I mentioned Reed above being banged up, which is always the case, but he is also drastically underperforming this season. If he still has a breakout game in him, I feel this is the best chance to see it. His DK price is too high for me, but he’s a real bargain on FD. 

 

C.J. Uzomah (FD: $5400)

 

Uzomah frustratingly put up a big goose egg two weeks ago in the good matchup with Tampa Bay, and is dealing with a sore shoulder. Assuming he progresses through the week and is ready to go Sunday, he could be a reliable outlet for Andy Dalton in A.J. Green’s absence. Again, his salary on DK is high, but I’d consider him in FD tournaments. 

 

Defense

 

LA Rams (FD: $3900, DK: $2400)

 

The Rams are big favorites against Seattle, at home in L.A. If you’re not paying for the Jets, they’re at least a cost-effective option with a good game situation. That said, Seattle doesn’t make a lot of mistakes, and the Rams haven’t really been dominant on defense (middle of the road in sacks, interceptions, fumbles, passing and rushing yards allowed…).