Bargain Bin Week 7
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your DFS lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000/$6000 for QB, $6000/$5000 for RB/WR, and $5500/$4500 (FD/DK) for TE insomuch as possible.
Blake Bortles ($6500 FD, $5200 DK): Bortles is always a risky choice, never a safe choice. No matter the matchup, just remember that. This week he’ll face Houston, a middle-of-the-road defense in basically all aspects. Low price and low ownership in a home game where the Jags are 4.5 point favorites is a decent enough reason to consider him in tournaments this week.
Brock Osweiler ($6500 FD, $4700 DK): Also in contention based on what he did vs. the Chicago Bears last week. The Dolphins are a fairly undynamic offense, ranking 31st in snaps/game until Osweiler took over with a league high 75 snaps in Week 6 (per Pat Thorman, PFF). The price is right, and though the matchup data favors the Miami run game vs. Detroit, it’s worth seeing if Osweiler can impress again.
C.J. Beathard ($6400 FD, $4800 DK): He’s appeared here enough; suffice to say it’s the game with the highest point total, and the Rams defense hasn’t been so formidable lately, allowing an average of 25 points per game over the last four, with just one interception in that span (of Case Keenum in the snow). Beathard himself has been a 20-fantasy point machine.
Duke Johnson ($5100 FD, $4000 DK): I was a Carlos Hyde believer at the beginning of the season. He was primed to get opportunities and initially, he took advantage of them. The offense seems to have evolved a bit since then, and while I don’t think the Browns are ready to hand over the reigns to rookie Nick Chubb, they did say they wanted to get Johnson more involved…and did so. He responded with over 100 total yards in Week 6, an average of 18 yards per touch. It seems likely that they will continue to involve him against Tampa Bay, the most generous overall fantasy matchup.
Raheem Mostert ($4900 FD, $3300 DK): Mostert came out of nowhere and completely eliminated Alfred Morris from the field and fantasy minds Monday night. Coach Shanahan says that it isn’t a permanent shift, but it sounds at the minimum that Mostert could retain the chance to have the hot legs again. He’s the cheapest back I’m considering this week, mainly because he allows you to have Todd Gurley and not hate the rest of your lineup.
Frank Gore ($5600 FD, $3800 DK): The fact that Gore isn’t going anywhere is a simple part of fantasy football. When he faces the Detroit Lions, a team that has been run over by RB studs like Ezekiel Elliott as well as committees involving Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell or Matt Breida and Alfred Morris, he shouldn’t have much problem converting his 10-15 touches into another productive outing. Kenyon Drake is still a hair more expensive than Gore, but most fantasy players are over him, making him a more sneaky tournament target in a great spot this weekend.
Taylor Gabriel ($5900 FD, $4700 DK): Mitchell Trubisky has been terrific in his past two games, and needs to be terrific again to keep pace with the Patriots Sunday afternoon. Gabriel has been a big reason for Trubisky’s success, with 5/110 in Week 6 and 7/104 in Week 4, when he also scored two touchdowns in a home beatdown of Tampa Bay. The Bears defense came up short last Sunday, and I have no doubt Tom Brady and company will give them all they can handle. Count on Gabriel, and if you like to distribute your exposure, Allen Robinson and Trey Burton, to again reach value at this price.
Robby Anderson ($5400 FD, $4500 DK): I’m not as high on the Jets offense as other teams given their injuries and pending matchup with the Vikings. I know Minnesota has been horrible defensively, and on paper, this is actually a top 10 matchup for Sam Darnold, but I still don’t feel great about it. Anderson has been extremely inconsistent this season, and his target volume (five in each of the last two games) isn’t what many expected. However, with Quincy Enunwa out and Terrell Pryor on the injury report with a strained groin, Anderson could be the last man standing. The fact that the Jets have been competitive this season, ranking 11th in points per game, boosts Anderson’s prospects in the decent home matchup.
D.J Moore ($4900 FD, $3900 DK): Taking cheap receivers from teams that will score, as I expect Carolina to in this matchup with the generous Eagles’ secondary, is always a good idea. Moore and Torrey Smith ($4900 FD, $3800 DK) both saw five targets in Week 6, even with Greg Olsen back. Smith scored, while Moore fumbled twice. If you’re building a Panthers stack, adding one of the cheap guys is a nice way to finish it, and if you’re stacking in a tournament, Moore should be the lower-owned option. The fact that Carolina didn’t bench him after the fumbles bodes well for his continued involvement and even growing role in the offense.
David Njoku ($5700 FD, $4200 DK): It’s bleak down here, so even though he’s a bit over the limit, it has to be Njoku if you’re saving at TE. Even if your intention isn’t to save, Njoku is a top flight TE option this week. He’s averaging 10 targets in the last three games, and finally got in the end zone. Remember last week? He’s really good at catching TDs. In the league-best matchup for QBs and TEs, I expect Baker Mayfield to find him there again.
O.J. Howard ($3600 DK): He’s far cheaper on DK, and out-targeted Cameron Brate significantly in Week 6. This is a team with a lot of receiving options, but they are also a team willing to throw the ball a ton. The Browns’ defense has been good, but not great, against the pass. I rate this as one of the most fantasy-friendly games of the week.
Kyle Rudolph ($3900 DK): Rudolph is one of the most consistent TEs in the game. His FanDuel salary reflects that, but he’s still a relative bargain on DraftKings. The Vikings are road favorites in New Jersey this weekend, and though I don’t see it as a great spot for Kirk Cousins given the Jets’ knack for interceptions this year, Rudolph should be a very safe and cheap DK TE.
Buffalo Bills ($3400 FD, $2300 DK): The Bills have not been a fantasy friendly matchup for opponents this season, ranking in the bottom three against QBs and WRs. Andrew Luck comes to town with 11 TDs in his last three games, and over 300 yards passing in each of those, so I don’t expect the Bills D/ST to be a popular fantasy pick. But the Colts have turned the ball over 13 times (third in the league) and Buffalo has 12 takeaways (tied for sixth-most in the league). This is a good ratio for the price of a defense in a low total game (42.5 points).
Baltimore Ravens ($3400 FD, $2400 DK): The Ravens are a really good football defense, enjoying a dramatic price drop because the Saints are coming to town. New Orleans was on bye last week, but goes north to fight the age-old offense vs. defense battle. Baltimore allows the fewest points per game (12.8), and is the only team to allow an average of fewer than 200 passing yards per game. They also lead the league in sacks (26). Drew Brees is one of the GOATs, no doubt, but not only will I not be paying up for Saints skill players this week, I will have some exposure to a quality defense on the cheap.