Bargain Bin Week 9
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your DFS lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000/$6000 for QB, $6000/$5000 for RB/WR, and $5500/$4500 (FD/DK) for TE insomuch as possible.
Alex Smith (FD: $7500, DK: $5000)
The last time Smith appeared here was as a side note, ‘also consider’ blurb, for his matchup with the Saints on MNF. What a disaster. Here he is again, in a top QB and overall fantasy matchup with the Falcons. Shockingly, Washington is actually favored at home this weekend against a Falcons team coming off their bye. The Redskins Defense is not one to mess around with, but the overall total here isn’t low enough (47.5 points) to think that Atlanta won’t score. That should put Smith and company in a position to pass a lot. Though Adrian Peterson is very nearly a must-play this weekend, a contrarian move would be to stack Peterson with Smith and maybe one or more of his receivers.
Brock Osweiler (FD: $6700, DK: $4900)
Osweiler has had more downs than ups in his short tenure as Dolphins starting QB, but if you’re trying hard to spend down at QB, a home matchup with the Jets isn’t the worst. We saw Davante Parker get more involved last week, and Danny Amendola has been Mr. Reliable for the most part. A two-legged rushing attack from Frank Gore and Kenyon Drake can open things up for Osweiler, if he’s on target. That’s the big if. A tournament play only, expect a lot of risk/reward from Osweiler.
Nick Chubb (DK: $4500)
This is a top matchup for any RB, and Chubb’s salary on DK puts him in near must-play territory. Some people will worry about a coaching/managing regime change, but Chubb’s talent and lack of other options at his position put him in a dominant role. I’d consider using Duke Johnson Jr. in tournaments at his even lower salary in this matchup, but think Chubb’s floor and ceiling are higher (along with his ownership).
Devontae Booker (FD: $4900, DK: $3700)
If Royce Freeman misses the game this weekend, Booker is a viable play that I prefer in DK’s PPR format. He rushed for a whopping 8.7 YPC in Kansas City last week (more supporting evidence for using Chubb this week), in addition to catching all four of his targets. Denver is committed to a committee, and while no one is doubting Phillip Lindsay anymore, Booker could easily break one for a TD this weekend.
Jordan Howard (DK: $4700)
Plenty of people are doubting Howard, but in a matchup with the Bills in which Chicago is favored by well over a touchdown, at home, and in which the defense should provide great field position, Howard is worth a look at this price. It’s been the Tarik Cohen show, and he’s the only Bear I’m using with a lot of confidence, but Howard had 22 attempts last week and did get in the end zone. Having the early lead vs. the Jets last week seemed to be a prominent factor in Howard’s usage, so I think we’re safe to assume the same in Buffalo this week.
Courtland Sutton (FD: $5500, DK: $3900)
By the time you read this you’ll be sick of hearing about Sutton, so I won’t belabor the point…which is opportunity. Not that Sutton wasn’t a great prospect, drafted in the early second round of the 2018 draft, but now that Demaryius Thomas is on the opposite side of the field, we’ll see what he can do. A big-bodied receiver, he should be able to compete with Houston’s corners, especially considering the attention that Emmanuel Sanders should command. A popular, but probable value play in cash or tournament games.
Tre’Quan Smith (FD: $5100, DK: $4200)
I bet Smith goes overlooked in the Sutton frenzy this week, which is why I wanted to feature him this week. I highlighted this Rams at Saints game in Starting Points on Tuesday, with its nearly 60-point total. Both teams’ pass games should be high priority DFS plays, including de facto WR2 Smith (77 percent of snaps in Minnesota). Drew Brees benefits from being at home, having two quality RBs that the Rams need to worry about up front, and Michael Thomas, who is catching an INSANE 90 percent of passes thrown to him. Smith should get some terrific downfield looks with Ted Ginn on IR and Cameron Meredith being virtually absent from the Saints recent game plans (e.g. just nine snaps last week).
Ed Dickson (FD: $4700, DK: $3300)
Dickson made a splash in his Week 8 debut, catching a couple deep passes, one for a TD. I was dead wrong on Doug Baldwin last week (though I think he remains a tournament target with a big game coming) but I do think Seattle pass-catchers could be important this week. Seattle is a small favorite at home vs. the Chargers, coming off their bye week. If you’re looking to save big at TE, Dickson could come through again as he tries to wrest the lead TE role from Nick Vannett.
David Njoku (FD: $5200)
Going back to Njoku may seem like one of those “definition of insanity” posters, as he is coming off the best TE matchup in the league with a big fat zero, but here we are. He’s still underpriced on FD relative to his opportunity and potential. I think he’ll have extremely low ownership this week, and I think the new Browns leadership will make a point to do things differently. One of those should be to utilize Njoku as a clear end zone threat in another great matchup with the Chiefs (fifth-most fantasy points allowed to TE).
Just use the Bears D/ST.I can’t in good conscience recommend any bargain defenses this week, given game totals, offensive strength, and defensive weaknesses. If you’re truly desperate, I guess I’d consider Seattle or Kansas City.