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Daily Games

NFL DFS Fades Conference Championships

by Renee Miller
Updated On: January 22, 2021, 2:05 am ET

When setting your weekly NFL DFS lineups, it can be just as helpful to have an idea of whom you DON’T want to include as whom you do. Every Friday we’ll highlight a few players that you might want to fade. When a player appears here, it mainly refers to fading him in cash games. If you play in a lot of large field, multi-entry tournaments, you might consider just being underweight on these players relative to the field rather than not using them at all.

At this point in the season, this article gets really hard to write. Everyone is on a playoff caliber team, all the studs are worth rostering. It comes down to personal preference and lineup construction. So, I’ll give you the justification for some players that are not making it into the majority of my lineups.

 

Players I’m fading for the Conference Round of the playoffs include:

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

There are only four choices here, and Mahomes is generally the most expensive. I believe he’ll be healthy for the game, and I believe that Buffalo is overall the easiest matchup left. I love that he’s home. I love Mahomes. I’m just rostering Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers much more often. I think a huge amount of Mahomes’ production will come through Travis Kelce, and I am rostering Kelce for that reason. Fading Mahomes is always a risk, but if I can get similar fantasy points for less, that matters a lot this week.

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Chiefs Running Backs

We don’t yet have full clarity on whether or not Clyde Edwards-Helaire will play this weekend, and Le’Veon Bell is still limited, leaving Darrel Williams the only truly healthy player in this backfield. All in all, this is a likely time-share situation among at least two backs (CEH and Williams is my best guess as of now) that will receive a relatively small piece of the offensive pie. Kelce is really the only Chiefs player I’m all-in on, though Tyreek Hill as a pivot from Stefon Diggs or Davante Adams is definitely a smart tournament play. Mecole Hardman is also a low-cost possibility, but again in a tournament, I might look instead to Sammy Watkins, assuming he will make his return this weekend.

Antonio Brown, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Brown is the odd-receiver out for me this week. The Bucs WRs are priced very cheaply after a disappointing second round from all of them, but I don’t see it as a full fade. I have shares of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, as well as Rob Gronkowski in certain lineups, but Brown’s injury status is more worrisome than the others. Coach Arians says he doesn’t need to practice to play, but whether he can be as effective as necessary in a tough game with the sore knee is not a risk I’m willing to take, even on a slate as short as this.

 

Players I like, but who are expected to have high ownership this week include: Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Stefon Diggs. You might consider deviating away from this player pool and pivoting in large GPPs if you’re after a more unique lineup.