As we head into the weekend, be sure to check out all the content rolling onto the Rotoworld Daily page. Here’s a list of articles looking at the NFL DFS Week 12 slate. I will be updating as new columns are added, so consider this section as your DFS Table of Contents.
NFL DFS Bargains by Renee Miller
NFL GPP Pivots by Spencer Limbach
NFL DFS Stacks by Renee Miller
Fantasy Football Forecast by Hayden Winks
DFS Building Blocks (VIDEO) with John Daigle & Ian Hartitz
NFL DFS Starting Points by Renee Miller
NFL DFS Fades by Renee Miller (coming soon)
NFL DFS Single Game Breakdown (check back for Sunday & Monday Night Football)
Now onto the NFL DFS Must Plays for Week 12!
Just a reminder, this column includes only Sunday afternoon games (not SNF), as that’s considered the main slate on DFS sites.
PLATINUM: Build your lineup around these guys
Nick Chubb - RB - Cleveland (vs. Miami)
Chubb has everything we are looking for in a reliable cash game running back. The Browns check-in as double-digit home favorites against a Miami defense that ranks 31st to the run. Chubb is a lock for 20+ carries, while game flow could push him to 25 attempts and beyond. You could argue that this is Chubb’s best matchup of the season so far, and he has posted massive upside (20-165-3 at BAL & 20-122-2 at SEA) in much tougher draws. Needless to say, Chubb is a building block in my DFS lineups for Week 12.
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GOLD: Next wave to consider in terms of priority
Matt Ryan - QB - Atlanta (vs. Tampa Bay)
Ryan has had a pair of good, but not great performances (from a fantasy point of view) since returning from injury. However, a home date with the Buccaneers makes for the perfect landing spot to rekindle his fantasy upside. In case you haven’t heard, Tampa’s defense has gotten torched against the pass this season, ranking 31st in that regard. Atlanta doesn’t have much of a rushing attack, and they should rely heavily on Ryan’s arm to take advantage of that vulnerability. Go ahead and pair Ryan with a Falcons’ receiver or two (more on that later) through all formats.
Derrick Henry - RB - Tennessee (vs. Jacksonville)
Henry has been a fantasy beast over the past two weeks, scoring four total touchdowns with 290 total yards over that span. It helps that he faced the Panthers and Chiefs in back-to-back games, as those clubs have respectively allowed the third and second-most fantasy points to running backs. Henry has an excellent chance to keep the hotstreak alive against a Jacksonville defense that has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to RBs. The Jaguars allowed 100+ yard performances to Marlon Mack, Jonathan Williams, and Carlos Hyde over the past two weeks, so Henry is in line for a solid showing.
SILVER: Good options that narrowly rank ahead of similar players
Leonard Fournette - RB - Jacksonville (at Tennessee)
I don’t usually recommend opposing running backs from the same game, but this is the exception. Fournette is a volume monster who is too cheap considering his role in Jacksonville’s offense. That especially holds true for $7k on FanDuel. Fournette only had 15 touches against the Colts last weekend, and Jags’ coach Doug Marrone mentioned that he needs to see the ball more moving forward. That sets him up nicely, especially considering his work in the passing game with six or more targets in three straight.
Calvin Ridley - WR - Atlanta (vs. Tampa Bay)
Ridley was one of the heroes of this column last week (John Brown too), coming through with a sweet 8-143-1 line. He has finally emerged in the absence of Mohamed Sanu (traded) and Austin Hooper (injury). Hooper has been ruled out yet again, meaning Ridley will have an opportunity for another rewarding fantasy performance against a Tampa defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to receivers this season.
Zach Ertz - TE - Philadelphia (vs. Seattle)
He’s back! Ertz got off to a miserable start this season, but QB Carson Wentz has been pushing him the ball with 22 targets, 18 receptions, 197 yards, and one touchdown combined over the past two weeks. Those came in some tough matchups too, playing Chicago and New England. Ertz is now brimming with confidence while heading into a welcoming draw against a Seattle team that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends.
BRONZE: Not 100% necessities, but they mix well into a quality lineup
Jamison Crowder - WR - NY Jets (vs. Oakland)
I’m thinking this Raiders-Jets game could turn into a shootout. Both teams are respectable against the run while allowing opponents to move the ball through the air. Jets’ quarterback Sam Darnold has looked good over the past two weeks, and Crowder has been his most consistent receiver all season. New York doesn’t have much of a rushing attack at the moment, and I fully expect Crowder to keep flirting with double-digit targets against an Oakland team that ranks 28th in pass defense.
Taylor Gabriel - WR - Chicago (vs. NY Giants)
Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky isn’t good, but he has been looking Gabriel’s way very often lately. Gabriel has seen 20 targets with 11 receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown combined over the last two weeks. Sure, the efficiency leaves some room for improvement, but Gabriel could find a breakout performance with that type of volume against a Giants’ defense that ranks 25th against the pass.
PARTICIPATION RIBBONS: Fell just short of a featured spot
Russell Wilson - QB - Seattle (at Philadelphia)
Alvin Kamara - RB - New Orleans (vs. Carolina)
Jaylen Samuels - RB - Pittsburgh (at Cincinnati)
Julio Jones - WR - Atlanta (vs. Tampa Bay)
Odell Beckham Jr. - WR - Cleveland (vs. Miami)
DK Metcalf - WR - Seattle (at Philadelphia)
Vance McDonald - TE - Pittsburgh (at Cincinnati)
Steelers Defense (at Cincinnati)
Browns Defense (vs. Miami)