This article takes a look at the previous week of NFL action while breaking things down from a daily fantasy perspective. We will review winning lineups and provide main takeaways to consider for future weeks in DFS.
I believe this is a beneficial process for any DFS enthusiast. It is something I have been doing for years while trying to retune my approach and recognize any blind spots I missed in my previous week of research. Having said that, it’s important to identify the overarching themes that led to a winning lineup and how they can frame your mindset moving forward. In other words, I’ll be looking to separate the “signals” from the “noise” while recognizing some GPP strategy moves that did/didn’t pay off.
FanDuel Sunday Million Week 10 – 11/11
Here was the winning lineup from FanDuel’s Sunday Million contest:
QB Russell Wilson - SEA (26.24)
RB David Johnson – ARI (33.8)
RB Aaron Jones – GB (30.7)
WR Tyreek Hill – KC (29.2)
WR Kenny Golladay – DET (16.8)
WR Corey Davis – TEN (22)
TE Austin Hooper – ATL (16.6)
FLEX Melvin Gordon III – LAC (25)
DEF LA Chargers (13)
It’s crazy to think that this lineup didn’t even have the best quarterback of the week – Mitchell Trubisky at 36 fantasy points. Trubisky made an appearance in eight of the top ten entries, but Russell Wilson’s 26.24 FP (at the same salary as Trubisky) turned out to be enough.
The combination of Gordon, Johnson, Jones, and Hill really boosted this lineup into winning territory. From here, value plays in Golladay and Hooper held serve enough while Corey Davis came up with a monstrous 22 FP performance at a 5.6% ownership rate.
Before checking the results, I envisioned Nick Chubb being on the winning lineup and majority of the top ten entries. After all, he went for 34.4 FP on a $6700 salary with a 7.4% ownership backing. Despite that, Chubb only made an appearance in four of the top ten rosters. The running back position was filled with so many high-upside performers on Sunday that you didn’t necessarily need Chubb if you combined another 25-30 FP back with an overachieving receiver.
Speaking of receivers, it was a week to look towards the mid-range picks. Of course, that comes with an exception of Tyreek Hill and his 29.2 FP showing. Otherwise, Allen Robinson II (28.3), Corey Davis (22), and Anthony Miller (20.7) were the best overall per dollar options at the position.
It just goes to show you how different lineup combinations can strike gold. The winning squad didn’t have Trubisky, Chubb, Robinson, or Ebon – who all provided the best returns at their respective positions. However, the value commodities of Hooper, Golladay, and Davis were all good enough to make this lineup a winner alongside the best overall plays of this slate.
The highest owned players of the week. These players were some of the most popular fixtures in lineups:
Melvin Gordon – RB – 38%
Kareem Hunt – RB – 36%
Alvin Kamara – RB – 26.4%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – WR: 24.7%
Dion Lewis – RB – 22.7%
Cooper Kupp – WR – 20%
Josh Gordon – WR – 20.5%
Landmines of the week. These are players who had high ownership percentages, but ended up with subpar fantasy output:
Kareem Hunt – RB: 10.6 FP @ 36%
Cooper Kupp – WR: 6.4 FP @ 20%
Josh Gordon – WR: 10.1 FP @ 20.5%
Dion Lewis – RB: 7.8 FP @ 22.7%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – WR: 7.4 FP @ 27.6%
Tyler Boyd – WR: 8 FP @ 19.6%
Best bargains of the week. These were the value plays who over-performed to boost DFS lineups.
Nick Chubb – RB: 34.4 FP @ $6700
Aaron Jones – RB: 30.7 FP @ $6500
Allen Robinson II – WR: 28.3 FP @ $6300
David Johnson – RB: 33.8 FP @ $6900
Eric Ebron – TE: 26.6 FP @ $5400
Anthony Miller – WR: 20.7 FP @ $5300
Corey Davis – WR: 22 FP @ $5800
Zay Jones – WR: 19.3 FP @ $4600