Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Monday Night Football of Week 11. Tonight’s matchup is between the Chiefs and Chargers, as Kansas City is listed as five-point favorites with an over/under of 52.5. The game will be played in Mexico City.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Patrick Mahomes - QB - Kansas City
This isn’t a bold call by any stretch of the imagination. Mahomes returned from injury against the Titans last week, and he was terrific with 446 passing yards and three touchdowns (30 FP). Facing the Chargers represents a slightly tougher matchup on paper, but Mahomes should continue to do his thing in this primetime spot. He’s an easy call as MVP on FanDuel, while the pricing on DraftKings makes him more of a FLEX staple.
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Tyreek Hill - WR - Kansas City
This call is somewhat bolder, as taking Mahomes and Hill in the same lineup doesn’t leave much room for the other legitimate fantasy options on this slate. In other words, it’s hard to make Mahomes/Hill work alongside Philip Rivers and one of his top receiving options. However, there’s a part of me that thinks the Chiefs could run away with this one and Mahomes-to-Hill will represent the winning combination. While there’s risk in fading the other well-priced options, I believe the upside is worth biting the bullet. There’s some worry while facing a tough LAC secondary, but Hill is a dynamic receiver with the best QB in the game throwing him the ball. I’m not worried.
Demarcus Robinson - WR - Kansas City
The return of Mahomes was a good thing for Robinson, as Kansas City spread the field with more three-receiver sets instead of double-tight formations often featured with Matt Moore at quarterback. Robinson responded with an encouraging 4-56 line, but there’s upside with him resuming a full-time role. His DFS salary is a little bit light considering he’s back to a healthy snap rate, making Robinson a solid bargain to consider.
Mike Williams - WR - LA Chargers
Williams is another receiver who is too cheap considering his snap rate, targets, air yards, and almost every other receiving metric. Williams has failed to record a touchdown this season, which keeps his DFS salary in check. The matchup isn’t great against the Chiefs, but Williams has big-play potential, especially if Kansas City dedicates more defensive resources to stopping Henry/Allen. In short, Williams is a strong buy-low candidate considering his workload.
Of course, if you fade Hill in your lineups, that would open up enough room for Philip Rivers (QB - LAC) and one of his top receivers in Hunter Henry (WR - LAC) and/or Keenan Allen (WR - LAC). That’s not a bad cash game strategy to cover your basis. However, as I mentioned earlier, I’ll be looking towards the upside of Hill while (maybe) locking in one of Williams, Henry, or Allen (price permitting) to gain exposure to the LAC passing attack. Henry seems like one of the better lifts within that, as the Chargers’ offensive line issues could have Rivers looking more underneath than anything.
Travis Kelce (TE - KC) and Sammy Watkins (WR - KC) are certainly in the discussion as well. Kelce makes for a respectable cash pivot off Hill while trying to maintain exposure to the Kansas City passing attack. His upside isn’t as high, so you’re essentially hoping Hill doesn’t go bonkers while taking Kelce in his place … Watkins is more of a tournament option in my opinion, even though his snap rate, targets, and overall opportunity portfolio suggests he could explode any game now. I have a tough time seeing that happening against the Chargers, but keep him in your tournament pool.
Kansas City has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. That will have numerous people looking towards Melvin Gordon (RB - LAC) tonight. I’m a little more skeptical, as the Chargers’ offensive line has some problems. I’m not excluding Gordon from my multi-entry tournament builds, but he’s not a cash game building block in my opinion. The game flow could turn against LAC tonight, leaving Austin Ekeler (RB - LAC) with opportunities in the passing game. He’s a nice value filler with a cheaper salary than Gordon - and Ekeler may be the way to attack the Chiefs’ vulnerability to running backs.
The Kansas City running back situation is something I’m only looking towards in tournaments, and even then it’s a maddening fiasco. Damien Williams (RB - KC) has apparently taken over as the main guy, but he has missed practice all week. That could lead to Kansas City wiping the dust off LeSean McCoy (RB - KC), who was benched for “rest related” purposes last week. If Williams resumes his 70% snap rate, he makes for a solid choice, but I’m only rolling the dice in tournaments.
Mecole Hardman (WR - KC) is a big-play receiver who can be considered in tournaments despite only seeing about 25-30% of Kansas City’s snaps. He’ll truly have to make the most of his opportunities to be fantasy relevant on this slate … Andre Patton (WR - LAC) is essentially the opposite of that. He’ll see the field plenty, but we aren’t sure if he’ll get many looks in this Chargers’ offense. Still, he’s a value filler for only $200 on DraftKings, crossing your fingers that he can come through with something.