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Daily Games

NFL DFS Single Games: MNF Week 15

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: December 16, 2019, 12:20 pm ET

Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Monday Night Football of Week 15. Tonight’s matchup is between the Saints and Colts, as New Orleans is listed as nine-point home favorites with an over/under of 47.5.

We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate. 

We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content. 

TOP PICKS

Alvin Kamara - RB - New Orleans

There’s no shortage of “top picks” on this single-game slate, and they all come from the New Orleans side. Kamara, Brees, and Thomas are three players that demand your attention for DFS purposes, but I believe Kamara makes the most sense of that group. He has been somewhat mediocre in recent weeks, but a positive return is coming at some point. Kamara’s activity in the running/passing game on top of the expected game flow (NO -9) makes me believe a 20-25 FP showing is in store. I’m hoping his ownership rate will suffer due to the mediocre recent game log. 

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Drew Brees - QB - New Orleans 

Honestly, you could look towards Brees and/or Michael Thomas as your second expensive pick of this slate. You probably won’t be able to stack all three on DraftKings, so that’s more of a strategy on FanDuel with guys like Ginn, Hines, or T.Smith rounding things out. Brees-to-Kamara is a stacking opportunity, and you can run those cheaper receivers alongside the Saints’ signal-caller as well. The Colts have been generous to quarterbacks in recent weeks, as Jameis Winston threw for 456 yards and four scores last Sunday. 

BEST BARGAINS

Marcus Johnson - WR - Indianapolis 

This is an injury-dependent recommendation. T.Y. Hilton is questionable tonight. If he’s out, Johnson will see a healthy snap rate with plenty of targets boosted by the expected game flow. He came up big against the Buccaneers last week, hauling in 3-of-7 targets for 105 yards and a score. Take note that Johnson is a much better play on DraftKings at $5,200 than FanDuel for $10,000. 

Nyheim Hines - RB - Indianapolis 

Hines is another Indianapolis player who could see more work if the Colts fall behind, which is expected to happen. He’s the receiving back with Marlon Mack handling majority of the rushing attempts. The Colts were forced to fall back on their passing game recently, and Hines benefitted with a 55% snap rate last time around. His fantasy value depends on touchdowns, but Hines should see a handful of carries and targets with upside in the latter category. His $3800 salary on DraftKings is intriguing, especially considering that’s a full PPR site. 

ADDITIONAL NOTES

Zach Pascal (WR - IND) will be in the mix regardless of the status of T.Y. Hilton (WR - IND). His target share would probably benefit if Hilton is out another week, but Pascal strikes me as more of a tournament piece, as does Jacoby Brissett (QB - IND). Jack Doyle (TE - IND) is cash playable if he meshes with the rest of your lineup. Eric Ebron will miss time moving forward, which places Doyle in a strong role for an offense that loves to get the ball to tight ends. 

Marlon Mack (RB - IND) is nothing more than a tournament leverage play, hoping Indianapolis can take the lead and establish the run. He’ll likely have a low ownership percentage in line with the probability of that happening. Taking Mack and stacking the New Orleans passing game with him makes for a viable GPP plan. 

Michael Thomas (WR - NO) should be considered in the top play group, especially on a full PPR site like DraftKings. However, he’s more expensive than Brees and Kamara over there, so we need to be mindful of the dent he’s putting into our lineups … Ted Ginn Jr. (WR - NO) and Tre’Quan Smith (WR - NO) are auxiliary options preferred in that order. Ginn is a strong target of mine on FanDuel, where his price is cheap while helping you stack the New Orleans’ big three. 

Chase McLaughlin (K - IND) and Will Lutz (K - NO) are acceptable value fillers, especially on DraftKings where those are harder to find. McLaughlin has my attention to help stack players like Kamara, Brees, and/or Thomas in the same lineup. The Colts are more likely to experience efficiency issues in the red-zone than the Saints, so getting exposure to McLaughlin’s potential makes sense when stacking the other side. 

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.