Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Wednesday Afternoon Football of Week 12. Today’s matchup is between the Steelers and Ravens with Pittsburgh checking in as a 10 point home favorite. The over/under currently rests at 42 total points. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:40 ET on this unusual slate.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Ben Roethlisberger - QB - Pittsburgh (DK: $11,400 / FD: $16,000)
It goes without saying that Ben Roethlisberger has the highest raw projection of this slate. He’s a great CPT/MVP candidate (especially with Lamar Jackson sidelined), and I’m more inclined to put the Steelers’ QB in my top spot over on FanDuel - more on that in a bit. The matchup doesn’t look great, but Pittsburgh will utilize Roethlisberger to pace the offense, especially with RB James Conner out. Even though Big Ben only went for 15 fantasy points in his first meeting with the Ravens this season, I’m expecting him to outpace that number. Pittsburgh should see more scoring opportunities while presumably winning the field position battle.
JuJu Smith-Schuster - WR - Pittsburgh (DK: $9,600 / FD: $11,000)
I mentioned Roethlisberger as a strong MVP/CPT candidate, but DraftKings’ full PPR scoring makes the receivers intriguing in that spot. The quandary comes from nailing down which WR will come up with the best line. Smith-Schuster, Chase Claypool, and Diontae Johnson have all traded big games this season. Johnson and Claypool will probably garner more attention from the public due to their prowess in the target and touchdown (respectively) departments this season. That leaves Smith-Schuster with lower contingency and a shorter price tag on both sites. Keep in mind that JuJu came up with a respectable 7-67 line on eight targets in his first meeting with Baltimore this season. You don’t have to use much creative reasoning to project him as the top scorer of this slate.
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Benny Snell Jr. - RB - Pittsburgh (DK: 8,800 / FD: $11,500)
As mentioned earlier, James Conner will not play today. That makes Benny Snell Jr. the lead RB for Pittsburgh. Rookie Anthony McFarland Jr. will see some touches as well, but Snell should see the majority of the work in Pittsburgh’s backfield. Snell was already getting calls around the goal-line, even with Conner healthy. The prospect of 15+ touches (upside above 20) and a monopoly on the red-zone carries make Snell an essential play through all DFS formats.
Justice Hill - RB - Baltimore (DK: $2,200 / FD: $9,000)
The latest reports (as of Wed. morning) suggest Mark Ingram and JK Dobbins will not play this afternoon. That leaves Gus Edwards and Justice Hill to fill the void at RB. Edwards will likely get the first crack at carries, but we know Baltimore likes to rotate their backfield. That should lead to some carries for Hill, and he could have a prominent role as a pass-catcher as well - given that Edwards is limited in that capacity. Needless to say, Hill is an intriguing value filler on DK for only $2,200.
As mentioned earlier, Chase Claypool (WR - PIT) and Diontae Johnson (WR - PIT) are also fantastic plays through all formats. I’m personally leaning towards Smith-Schuster of this WR trio (for reasons listed above), but I wouldn’t knock anyone who prioritizes Claypool/Johnson instead.
What should we make of Robert Griffin III (QB - BAL)? He’s going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL, which doesn’t help matters. The only real path to fantasy value (for this salary) would have to come from running the football, and I’m not sure we can bank on 40-50 yards in that category. In other words, RGIII is probably best viewed as a tournament diversifier.
Marquise Brown (WR - BAL) has been dreadful in recent games. However, he’s one of the only healthy receiving options for the Ravens. I’m skeptical that Griffin will have the time, accuracy, and awareness to get Brown the ball downfield, but Baltimore could change their gameplan to try and feed their speedy WR underneath. Brown makes for an interesting mid-range selection through all formats by process of elimination.
Chris Boswell (K - PIT) is a strong selection through all formats on both sites. I prefer him over Justin Tucker (K - BAL), as the Steelers should have more trips to field goal range and better field position overall.
I believe the Steelers Defense is too pricey at $7,800 on DraftKings. For that salary, I’m viewing them only as a tournament option due to the volatility that comes from fantasy scoring for defenses. There’s certainly upside while going against the Baltimore replacements, but that’s more of a GPP predicament than anything.
Gus Edwards (RB - BAL), Eric Ebron (TE - PIT), and Devin Duvernay (WR - BAL) are all on my tournament list as well. Edwards and Ebron are touchdown-dependant while Duvernay could step into more targets for the depleted Baltimore receiving corps.