Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Sunday Night Football of Week 4. Tonight’s matchup is between the Saints and Cowboys, as Dallas is listed as a 2.5 point road favorite with an over/under of 47.5.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content. Definitely check back for Monday Night Football’s Single Game DFS Breakdown between the Steelers and Bengals tomorrow.
Alvin Kamara - RB - New Orleans
Selecting a Captain/MVP on this slate is hardly straightforward. Kamara, Prescott, and Elliott all make a strong case in that regard, but I’m leaning towards the New Orleans’ RB for cash games. Kamara will undoubtedly put the team on his back with Drew Brees still sidelined. That translated to a monster line of 16-69-1 on the ground and 9-92-1 through the air at Seattle last Sunday. QB Teddy Bridgewater never looks at receivers downfield, which means more check-downs and overall volume for Kamara. Even though the matchup doesn’t look great on paper, Kamara is a volume-driven candidate to lead this slate in fantasy production. Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott will take their respective slices of Dallas’ offensive production, while Kamara could have the whole pie to himself.
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Dak Prescott - QB - Dallas
Prescott has been an absolute fantasy beast through the first three weeks of the season, and that should continue in a high-scoring battle with New Orleans. The Saints rank 25th in DVOA to the pass this season, and they allowed Seattle QB Russell Wilson to post an amazing 406-2 line last week. Wilson also posted two rushing touchdowns in that contest, while Houston QB Deshaun Watson ran for a score in the Saints’ season opener as well. That aspect of Prescott’s game could be on full display, giving him tremendous upside on top of likely efficient passing numbers.
Ezekiel Elliott - RB - Dallas
Elliott didn’t reach the end-zone last weekend, but it’s nice to see him resume a typical workload at 22-25 touches per contest. That could translate into some impressive fantasy numbers while facing a Saints Defense that ranks 29th in DVOA to the run. It goes without saying that Kamara, Prescott, and Elliott all deserve MVP consideration for cash games, but I’m content with that order representing the priority. Prescott and Kamara seemingly have more avenues to fantasy production than ‘Zeke.
Devin Smith - WR - Dallas
Randall Cobb - WR - Dallas
I’m going to lump these Dallas receivers together, as their analysis is very similar. The past two primetime, single-game slate noticed cheaper players coming through with monster performances. It was WR Taylor Gabriel of Chicago on Monday Night Football, while RB Jordan Howard of Philadelphia ran through the Packers on Thursday. If we are going to see a “diamond in the rough” come through once again, I believe it will be either Smith or Cobb. Fellow Dallas WR Michael Gallup will remain sidelined, which means more snaps (and potential targets) for these two guys. Cobb has the better overall matchup against CB P.J. Williams from the slot, but Smith has the measurables for big plays. You could realistically look towards both for value tonight, but I’m leaning towards Smith’s upside if you need to choose between the two.
Teddy Bridgewater (QB - NO) is appropriately priced cheaper than the “big three” on this slate, but I’m still hesitant to roster him outside of multi-entry endeavors in tournaments. As Ian Hartitz mentioned in his WR/CB Matchups article, Bridgewater rarely threw more than 15 yards downfield last week, as most of his attempts came within five yards. Sure, Michael Thomas (WR - NO) will be involved in that short passing game, but it’s much easier to defend him without any semblance of a vertical threat. Both guys should be placed in the “tournament diversifier” category instead of “cash game fixture”, in my opinion.
Amari Cooper (WR - DAL) is seemingly matchup-proof at this stage in his career, as he has clearly established rapport with QB Prescott. The matchup isn’t necessary imposing against CB Marshon Lattimore either. In other words, he’s a huge decision point in this slate, trying to figure out how he meshes alongside the three top picks (Kamara, Prescott, Elliott) above. While I can’t doubt Cooper’s upside, the “big three” has more secured volume in this game. I’ll definitely have my fair share of Cooper when creating multiple tournament entries, but he could be the odd man out for cash games.
Taysom Hill (QB - NO) is a tournament pivot or cheap value filler where you cross your fingers and hope for something to happen. Some believed that Hill would split time with Bridgewater while Brees recovered from injury, but the former only saw two snaps at QB last week. Maybe the Saints will look to get him more involved as a runner, passer, or receiver this week - especially if the offense sputters under Bridgewater. Remember, the Saints jumped out to a substantial lead (thanks to defense, special teams, etc) at Seattle last Sunday, so maybe we didn’t see their entire offensive scheme with respect to Hill’s involvement. Food for thought in tournaments.