Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
Ryan Tannehill - Tennessee (at Jacksonville) - DK: $6,700 FD: $7,900 Yahoo: $32
Derrick Henry will be one of the most popular DFS picks this weekend. The Titans will stroll into Jacksonville as solid favorites, and the Jaguars have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to RBs this season. We know Tennessee will put up points in this game, but is it too far-fetched to believe Tannehill could be the primary source? The Titans’ QB has posted 23+ FP in two of his last three outings, and the Jags have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to QBs. If Tenessee’s passing attack outpaces Henry and the ground game, then that could be an excellent leverage spot in large-field tournaments. Food for thought.
Also Consider: Justin Herbert
Jonathan Taylor - Indianapolis (at Las Vegas) - DK: $5,800 FD: $7,000 Yahoo: $24
Has Taylor finally taken over as the top RB for Indianapolis? We can’t be sure of it, as the Colts like to rotate their backfield and play the hot hand. That has been Taylor in recent games, as the rookie has amassed 249 total yards on 42 touches (1 TD) over his last two games. It appears that teammate Nyheim Hines will keep seeing goal-line carries, but Taylor should find enough attempts to remain productive. That especially holds true when considering that Las Vegas has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to RBs this season.
Melvin Gordon - Denver (at Carolina) - DK: $5,200 FD: $6,100 Yahoo: $21
Gordon and Phillip Lindsay will continue to split touches in the Denver backfield. However, the former has been far more productive lately, racking up 15+ fantasy points in two of his last three outings. Gordon is fresh off a season’s best 15-131 line at Kansas City, and Sunday’s matchup at Carolina looks much better. The Panthers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to RBs this year, so it wouldn’t be too surprising if Gordon continues to thrive.
Also Consider: Gio Bernard, Chris Carson
A.J. Brown - Tennessee (at Jacksonville) - DK: $7,300 FD: $8,000 Yahoo: $32
You can pair Brown with Tannehill or play him solo in your GPP lineups. Either way, he makes for a strong pivot away from teammate Derrick Henry. Fellow WR Corey Davis is cheaper while coming off an amazing 11-182-1 line last week, so that will funnel even more DFS backers away from Brown. However, we all know that Brown has a fantastic speed/strength combination with homerun hitting ability. He doesn’t need many targets to post huge numbers, and there’s a chance he’ll come through against a bad Jacksonville defense.
Mike Evans - Tampa Bay (vs. Minnesota) - DK: $6,600 FD: $7,300 Yahoo: $30
The Buccaneers’ receiving corps is crowded with everyone healthy and Antonio Brown in the mix. However, Evans has been a consistent target for Tom Bray recently, seeing 9+ targets in three straight games. That has translated to a 14-176-4 line over that span. Similar to the previous write-up of A.J. Brown, Evans could post GPP-winning upside with only a handful of receptions. Minnesota’s defense has gotten better as the season has gone along, but they are still bottom-five against the pass - and they don’t have the right defensive resources to limit Evans.
Cole Kmet - Chicago (vs. Houston) - DK: $2,900 FD: $4,600 Yahoo: $12
Kmet has seemingly overtaken veteran Jimmy Graham as Chicago’s primary tight end. Having Mitchell Trubisky throw him passes isn’t optimal, but the Bears like to feature the TE position, so Kmet should get his looks. That was the case last week, as he was tied for a team-high seven targets (5-37-1) against the Lions. Kmet will have another chance to deliver against a mediocre Houston pass defense.
Also Consider: Robert Tonyan