This article looks to uncover some underrated NFL DFS Tournament Options for large-field contests. The following write-ups were constructed early Thursday morning, meaning injury information and news could alter the fantasy landscape. Be sure to keep your eyes on the Rotoworld NFL Headline Feed for breaking news and fantasy implications as we head into the weekend.
Keep in mind that we are looking towards the NFL Main Slate starting at 1:00 ET on Sunday. The Monday and Thursday games are not included in the following analysis, neither is the Sunday Night matchup between the Chargers and Steelers.
Baker Mayfield – Cleveland (at Houston)
The fact that Mayfield has registered seven touchdown passes over his past two games may lead to an increased ownership rate. However, the opportunity cost at quarterback is higher than usual with a full player pool to pick from. DFS enthusiasts will be deciding between Deshaun Watson, Russell Wilson, and Jameis Winston in the same salary level – not to mention top lifts like Cam Newton, Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, and Jared Goff. In other words, we could see Baker Mayfield at a lower-than-deserved ownership rate despite his recent success. A matchup at Houston should put game flow in his favor, and playing in a dome this time of year doesn’t hurt either. The Texans just allowed an efficient performance to Marcus Mariota (22/23 for 303 & 2 TD) on Monday, leaving the door open for Mayfield to post his third straight game of 23+ fantasy points.
Lamar Miller – Houston (vs Cleveland)
Looking at the other side of this Cleveland-Houston matchup, we have Lamar Miller to potentially benefit from the same game flow outlined in Baker Mayfield’s write-up. Miller’s 23 fantasy points last week were skewed by a 97 yard touchdown scamper, but the Houston RB has notched some solid upside at several points through the season. He has now posted 16+ fantasy points in three of his past five games, and the draw looks good while hosting a Cleveland team that has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
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LeSean McCoy – Buffalo (at Miami)
This is certainly a deeper pick in tournaments, but McCoy is a cheap GPP prospect with reasonable upside if things go his way. The matchup is a good one against a Miami team that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing backs this season. If you recall, Shady had a breakout game two weeks ago with 24.3 fantasy points against the Jets. Josh Allen stole the show last week, but McCoy should be able to attack the susceptibility of Miami’s defense in this road matchup. He’s a longshot tournament play who is worth a FLEX look if you are building multiple lineups.
Antonio Callaway – Cleveland (at Houston)
Baker Mayfield has been funneling most of his production to the Cleveland running backs and tight ends, but Antonio Callaway remains a big-play threat in this offense. As mentioned earlier, game flow should lead to the Browns airing things out, and Callaway could respond with more opportunities. The rookie has caught a touchdown in two of his past four outings, and he seems to be stepping up with fellow WR Jarvis Landry fading into the background.
Bruce Ellington – Detroit (vs LA Rams)
I’m guessing you’ve read some NFL DFS advice talking about WR Kenny Golladay this week. It’s hard to ignore Detroit’s top receiver with game flow on his side against a Rams Defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing pass catchers. However, let’s not forget about a cheaper low-owned tournament receiver from the Lions. I’m talking about Bruce Ellington, who has stepped into a more prominent role with Golden Tate traded away and Marvin Jones injured. Ellington has seen 16 targets over the past two weeks. That has translated into a mediocre 12 reception 80 yard stat-line, but it’s only a matter of time before Ellington turns those looks into substantial fantasy production.
Matt LaCosse – Denver (at Cincinnati)
Jeff Heuerman was injured in last week’s game vs Pittsburgh, and he was promptly placed on injured reserve. Matt LaCosse stepped up in his absence with a 3-34-1 line on four targets, and he’ll likely become the top pass catching tight end for Denver. That’s good news when considering his cheap salary and favorable matchup at Cincinnati on Sunday.