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Marquez Valdes-Scantling
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Daily Games

Rankings vs DFS Pricing Plays

by Rich Hribar
Updated On: November 14, 2018, 10:08 am ET

As usual, the goal of this article is simple. At the end of the week, we’re taking our weekly composite staff rankings from our Season Pass section and comparing those rankings as it pertains to players we see as starting caliber options to the pricing across the two major DFS sites in hopes of discovering some value. It’s as easy as that.

 

Ryan Fitzpatrick – QB10

FanDuel: QB14 ($7,600)

 

Even in his worst complete game of the season a week ago, Fitzpatrick managed 24.0 fantasy points on the strength of four touchdown passes. Over his four complete games on the season, he’s now scored 24.0, 25.1, 29.9 and 42.3 fantasy points on FanDuel.  The Buccaneers passing game has just been a stable commodity so far for fantasy purposes and they should be expected to remain largely one dimensional on offense here at home against Washington. Washington is allowing 307 passing yards and 21.9 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks over their past six games.

 

Carson Wentz – QB11

FanDuel: QB17 ($7,400)

 

Wentz isn’t on the main slate, but he is underpriced for those playing in the ones that he is available on. He’s been on a roll, averaging 21.7 fantasy points per game over his past five starts with 12 touchdowns and one interception. The Cowboys have allowed over 20 fantasy points to three of the past five quarterbacks they’ve faced, while the two that failed to reach that total were Alex Smith and Blake Bortles.

 

Aaron Jones – RB14

FanDuel: RB21 ($6,500) DraftKings: RB23 ($5,000)

 

For the second week in a row, Jones set a season-high for snaps (43), pass routes (22) and touches (16). He had a costly fumble last week, but the Packers did go back to him, which instills some confidence that they won’t pull the plug on his expanding use continuing moving forward. Jones has now rushed 26 times for 162 yards (6.2 YPC) over the past two weeks and enters Sunday as a double-digit point home favorite against a soft Miami defense. The Dolphins are allowing 120 rushing yards per game to opposing backfields on the season, 30th in the league.

Dion Lewis – RB19

FanDuel: RB31($5,800) DraftKings: RB29 ($4,600)

 

The Titans may finally be coming to the realization that Lewis is just their best offensive player. Over the past two games, Lewis has out-snapped Derrick Henry 104-38, out-touched him 42-22 and out-gained him 277-97. In those games, the Titans have trailed by more than a touchdown for just seven total offensive snaps, so that usage isn’t all game script induced. Even so, Lewis has the game script advantage this week as a large underdog to the Patriots. The Patriots rank 28th in receiving points allowed per game to opposing backfields and have allowed five or more receptions to an individual running back in four of their past five games.

 

Cooper Kupp – WR14

FanDuel: WR22 ($6,500)

 

After missing two complete games and essentially all of a third with a knee injury, Kupp returned to the lineup to catch 5-of-6 targets for 89 yards and a touchdown. In the games in which Kupp has now been active outside of those three weeks he was absent, he leads the Rams in receptions (35), receiving yards (527) and touchdowns (six). On FanDuel, he’s posted 17.4, 18.0, 32.7, 14.8, 9.3 and 15.3 points in those games, including a 6-90-1 game in just one half of action against the Seattle defense in Week 5.

 

Marvin Jones – WR16

FanDuel: WR30 ($6,200) DraftKings: WR21 ($5,500)

 

Jones has 18 targets over the past two weeks and received 22.2 percent of the team looks with Golden Tate absent a week ago. on his way to an WR22 finish in dire circumstances for this offense. There may inevitably be some tradeoff between he and Kenny Golladay, but Jones is getting the most volume in terms of getting money targets. Jones has accounted for 37 percent of the Detroit air yardage and leads the team in red zone targets (10) and inside of the 10-yard line (six).

 

Marquez Valdes-Scantling- WR23

FanDuel: WR55 ($5,400) DraftKings: WR29 ($5,000)

 

Valdes-Scantling is going to be the WR3 of choice this week on FanDuel, while still being an option on DraftKings. With Geronimo Allison out, Valdes-Scantling takes over as the number two wideout for the Packers. He’s also been good with his opportunities, posting either 100-yards or a touchdown in four straight games while averaging a gaudy 21.1 yards per receptions on the season. With Davante Adams occupying Xavien Howard’s attention to go along with Allison’s absence, Valdes-Scantling should be a good bet to eclipse the 5.7 targets per game he’s has over his past three games.

 

Jack Doyle – TE8

FanDuel: TE12 ($5,600) DraftKings: TE10 ($4,300)

 

Doyle returned to the lineup in Week 8 prior to the bye to catch 6-of-7 targets for 70 yards and a touchdown. In the three games that Doyle has now been active, he’s out-snapped Eric Ebron 193-71 and run 101 pass routes to 44 for Ebron while the Colts tight ends have been targeted 21 times in the red zone, the most in the league.

 

Jordan Reed – TE12

FanDuel: TE20 ($5,200)

 

Amazingly, Reed is the one Washington player who hasn’t been injured this season, but his production certainly has been damaged so far in 2018. Reed is averaging just 4.1 receptions for 42.5 yards per game. As bad as it’s been, he is running into as good of a matchup as he’ll have all season. The Buccaneers have allowed a TE1 in every game but one this season and are allowing league-high 77.3 yards per game to the position.

Rich Hribar
Rich Hribar is a husband, father, sports meteorologist and a slave to statistics. A lifelong sports fan and fantasy gamer. You can find him on Twitter @LordReebs.