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Daily Forecast: Big Papi Party

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

Any time Scott Carroll takes the mound for the White Sox, I’m looking at the opposing lineup card as a foundation for my daily fantasy lineups. Pitching on the road in Fenway Park tonight only adds to the strength of this ritual. The sample size on Carroll’s .399 wOBA vs left-handed batters is still premature (31 IP), but he has showcased enough blowup potential to feel confident selecting hitters against him. David Ortiz is the top option to target, coming off a vintage “Big Papi” 4-5 performance yesterday. The usual suspects of Brock Holt, Dustin Pedroia, and Mike Napoli follow suit as worthy stack selections, and I like them in that respective order. Finally, even though he had a rough-go yesterday (0-5, 4K’s), Stephen Drew is a cheap SS option to consider for homerun upside.


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David Ortiz (1B) – BOS: He is one of the top hitting options of the night, regardless of position. Truth be told, he’s actually priced more towards a “bulk purchase” item ($3,800 on FanDuel), which gives you an elite play that won’t compromise the rest of your lineup.


Adrian Beltre (3B) – TEX: His team may be sliding in the standings, but Beltre’s stock is heading in the opposite direction. The recently nominated All-Star has been one of the hottest players over the past month, topped off by a current 10 game hitting-streak. The home matchup against a struggling Jarred Cosart should be enough to keep Beltre sizzling.


Corey Dickerson (OF) – COL: San Diego pitcher Ian Kennedy has been much less effective on the road since joining the Padres, and his flyball tendencies may get him into trouble at Coors Field. Dickerson, Tulowitzki, Morneau, and Blackmon are all in a reasonable spot to launch a deep ball this evening.


Also Consider: Mike Trout (OF) – LAA, Giancarlo Stanton (OF) – MIA, Robinson Cano (2B) – SEA, Michael Brantley (OF) – CLE, Albert Pujols (1B) – LAA, George Springer (OF) – HOU, Kyle Seager (3B) - SEA


Christian Yelich (OF) – MIA: Yelich has been swinging like a madman ever since coming off the disabled list last week. He has a prime matchup against a subpar righty, Chase Anderson, in the hitter-friendly environment of Chase Field. Believe it or not, the Marlins are projected as a top five scoring team on the night, with Stanton and the much more affordable Yelich as the leading candidates to make that a reality.


Howie Kendrick (2B) – LAA: Kendrick is always a reliable option against average left-handed pitching (vs J.A. Happ tonight). A hotstreak of 11-22 with 7 RBI’s in the past week doesn’t hurt his cause for the surging Angels. If you wanted to go the “cheapskate” route at 2B, to help grab an elite pitcher, Tommy La Stella (ATL) and Rougned Odor (TEX) make for serviceable discount plays out of the bargain bin.

Shin-Soo Choo (OF) – TEX: Remember how I mentioned Jarred Cosart’s struggles? Well, Shin-Soo Choo is another Texas bat that should seize the opportunity for a solid fantasy outing. All he does is get on base (via walks or hits), and he has some decent lineup security that has been knocking him in with regularity.


Also Consider: Brock Holt (3B) – BOS, Jason Kipnis (2B) – CLE, Ian Desmond (SS) – WAS, Wilin Rosario (C) – COL, Didi Gregorius (SS) – ARI, Justin Morneau (1B) – COL, Lonnie Chisenhall (3B) -- CLE


Charlie Blackmon (OF) – COL: Some spotty play has demoted Blackmon’s fantasy salary to the bargain bin, but he’s in a nice spot vs the aforementioned flyball tendencies of Ian Kennedy. Blackmon is the cheapest of the Rockies’ bats poised to do some damage on the hapless Padres.


Jason Castro (C) – HOU: Texas starter, Miles Mikolas, did pretty well in his MLB debut vs Baltimore last week. However, I still like Castro, who went 6-13 last series, to potential deliver some power upside with the platoon advantage over the young rookie. Speaking of homerun hitting Catchers, Yasmani Grandal is also worth a look with a nice matchup in Coors Field (segue to the next player).


Carlos Quentin (OF) – SD: The lefty rookie, Tyler Matzek, is pitching for Colorado, and Quentin owns a .391 wOBA (past three years) against left-handers. To put that in perspective, it’s a better rate than established players like Adrian Beltre, Hunter Pence, and Matt Holliday over that span. Take it with a grain of salt though, as Quentin has been very up-and-down with an injury plagued season. Still, if he’s in the lineup, consider him a “boom or bust”, cheap option with HR potential in Coors Field.


Also Consider: Elvis Andrus (SS) – TEX, Chase Headley (3B) – SD, Tommy La Stella (2B) – ATL, Rougned Odor (2B) – TEX, Yasmani Grandal (C) – SD, Stephen Drew (3B) -- BOS


Adam Wainwright – STL: No surprise here, as Wainwright is the de facto #1 pitching option on the board tonight. Pittsburgh presents a neutral matchup, but Waino has been great in his past three starts (2 ER in 23.2 IP) after taking a week off to rest for precautionary reasons. If you are going pay up for Wainwright, at least you can have confidence in him as a safe play, which is something that can’t really be said for the other probable starters.


Hisashi Iwakuma – SEA: If there is a mid-range pitching option that can churn out a fantasy line close to Wainwright, it’s Iwakuma taking on Minnesota. Now, the Twins lineup can be very hit-or-miss (no pun intended), and the same goes for Iwakuma himself. However, I have faith in Hisashi pitching at home, especially after a confidence building performance against the Astros last week.


Jered Weaver – LAA: Weaver is a strong play tonight, but he’s a bit of a wild card as well. He’s in a decent position to win against opposing pitcher, J.A. Happ, but the Blue Jays lineup is not one to sleep on, even without Edwin Encarnacion. Weaver always has decent strikeout upside, and for that reason, I may turn to him for some large tournament contests.


Also Consider: Stephen Strasburg – WAS, Mike Minor – ATL, Jesse Chavez – OAK

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.