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Daily

Daily Forecast: Brewing Hits

by Chet Gresham
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

 

J.A. Happ had a very strong game last time out and there is always a chance he can keep that going, but it’s not something he’s been able to do often this season. He has yet to post back-to-back outings where he’s allowed less than three runs and now he takes on the Brewers with their strong right-handed lineup. 

 

The Brewers as a team hit righties better, but their top hitters mash lefties. Aramis Ramirez is hitting lefties for a .479 wOBA, Khris Davis .443, Jonathan Lucroy .413, Carlos Gomez .361, Rickie Weeks .357 and Ryan Braun .342.  That will be a tough gauntlet for Happ to run.

 


 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-day $30,000 Fantasy Baseball league for Wednesday night's MLB games. It's $25 to join and first prize is $5,000. Starts at 7:05pm ET on Wednesday. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

 

TOP SHELF

 

Jose Abreu – CWSAbreu gets a lefty in Tyler Skaggs who is just coming off the DL. We know what Abreu has been up to with a league leading 26 homers and a nice 16 game hitting streak, which also has seven homers in it. For his price on FanDuel he still looks like a steal.

 

Ryan Braun – MIL – Braun is 10 for his last 25 with 8 RBIS, 6 runs, 2 doubles, a triple and a homer. For his career he has destroyed lefties and should be able to get to Happ.

 

Mike Trout – LAA – Trout’s price remains the biggest deterrent, but if you like one of the cheap pitching options today you can fit him and fitting him in might be a good idea with U.S. Cellular’s hitter friendliness. He’s also hitting a crazy .463 wOBA against lefties and Danks has been erratic this year.

 

Also consider: Adam Jones – BAL, Adrian Beltre – TEX, Dee Gordon – LAD

 

 


 

BULK PURCHASE

 

Matt Adams – STL – Adams has hit safely in his last eight games and has three home runs in his last seven. He’s hitting right-handed pitchers for a .366 average and seven of his nine home runs have come off righties. Vogelsong has pitched well this season, but lefties are hitting him for a .348 wOBA and a .462 SLG%.

 

Mark Teixeira – NYY – Teixeira isn’t batting for average, but is on pace for 30 homers, most of those off of righties. His best numbers come at home versus a right-handed pitcher, which makes sense with the short porch in right field.  He faces Jake Odorizzi, who he hit a homer off earlier this season in Yankee Stadium. He is set up for another good shot at a homer today as well.

 

Khris Davis – MIL – Davis has a .443 wOBA and .325 ISO against lefties this season. And he’s been hitting better on the road.

 

Also consider: C.J. Cron – LAA, Aramis Ramirez – MIL, Steve Pearce – BAL, Adam Lind – TOR, Dustin Pedroia – BOS. J.D. Martinez – DET, Melky Cabrera – TOR, Colby Rasmus s- TOR

 

 

 

 

BARGAIN BIN

 

Lorenzo Cain – KAN – Cain is the ultimate boom or bust play. He either has a multi-hit game or goes 0-for-5.  Today he gets Kevin Correia, who has pitched okay of late, but for the bulk of his career, has been below average and equally below average against both lefties and righties. Cain has hit him well in the past and if you are playing the odds, he is due after two poor games because he hasn’t gone hitless in three straight all season.

 

Andre Ethier – LAD – Trevor Bauer has been getting hit on the road (.324 average) and by lefties (.295 average) this season. Ethier has been hurt and not playing all that well, but is hitting righties much better than lefties and has also been hitting better of late with a double, triple and home run in his last three games.

 

Adrian Gonzalez – LAD – Gonzo has been in a big power slump after starting the season strong, but he hit a homer yesterday and has hit in five straight and gets the weak righty Bauer today. His price is too good for his ability in this one.

 

Also consider: Mike Moustakas – KAN, Rickie Weeks – MIL, Dioner Navarro – TOR, Nick Markakis – BAL, Jonny Gomes - BOS

 

 

 

 

STARTING PITCHER


Adam Wainwright – STL – AT&T Park is one of the most pitcher friendly parks in the league and the Giants’ bats have been quiet recently. Wainwright should be able to keep them quiet.

 

Johnny Cueto – CIN – This one is a bit of a no-brainer. Cueto is very much in the CY Young at mid-season with a 1.88 ERA, 122 strikeouts and a 0.84 WHIP.  Oh, and he gets to face the often targeted San Diego Padres. There really is nothing to dislike in this matchup. The Padres average just three runs per game at home, have a .224 team wOBA over the last 14 days, strikeout 23% of the time against righties, and so on and on.

 

Charlie Morton – PIT – Morton hasn’t had the run support he’s needed, but he’s been pitching great, especially at home where he has a 2.22 ERA and has allowed only one home run in 44.2 innings. The Diamondbacks are hitting just .299 wOBA as a team on the road as well.

 

Brandon Workman – BOS – The Cubs are a bit worse on the road than at home and much worse against right-handed pitching than left. Workman has been strong at home in limited time with a 2.65 ERA and 17 Ks in 17 innings.  His price allows for a lot of flexibility and he’s set up for a win in this one.  

 

Also consider: Julio Teheran – ATL, Cole Hamels – PHI, Jason Vargas - KAN