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Daily

Daily Forecast: Click Clayton

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

Let me start out by saying this: there aren’t any “must play” stacks jumping off the screen tonight. However, if you are insistent on fielding at least one team stack, I’d give the edge to the Blue Jays at home vs Joe Kelly. Now, Toronto has been pretty mediocre in some good matchups recently, but it’s hard to deny their ability to explode given the hitter-friendly conditions of the Rogers Centre and Kelly’s blowup potential.

 

The newly acquired Boston pitcher owns a .347 wOBA vs LHB, meaning Jose Reyes, Melky Cabrera, Adam Lind, and Colby Rasmus are all in a favorable situation. Jose Bautista always hits well at home too, and he profiles as a top 5 outfielder on the day. Don’t forget about Edwin Encarnacion’s homerun upside either, although Adam Lind may be a smarter 1B option for a cheaper price.

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-day $50,000 Fantasy Baseball league for Wednesday night's MLB games. It's just $25 to join and first prize is $7,500. Starts at7:05pm ET on WednesdayHere's the FanDuel link.


Player picks are taken from games starting at 7:05 ET and later, given majority of DFS contests fall under that format today.


TOP SHELF


Giancarlo Stanton (OF) – MIA: Anytime Stanton steps in against a lefty, you have to consider clicking him into your lineup, no matter the price tag. His league-leading .439 wOBA and .321 ISO vs LHP speaks for itself, and Hector Santiago carries an above average 1.33 HR/9 vs righties. Giancarlo is once again the top overall hitter of the day.

 

Jose Reyes (SS) – TOR: He’s easily the best shortstop on the board, and his $3,700 price tag on FanDuel is non-prohibitive. A great matchup against Joe Kelly (.347 wOBA vs LHB) sets up well for Reyes and the rest of the Blue Jays offense, as noted in the introduction.

 

Nelson Cruz (OF) – BAL: Tampa pitcher Drew Smyly has been fantastic lately, but navigating this hard hitting Orioles lineup will be his toughest test in a while. Cruz owns a .389 wOBA vs lefties, which has increased to .403 this season. He and Adam Jones are definitely worth a roster spot tonight, and I’m giving a small edge to Cruz considering he has more power and a slightly cheaper price tag.

 

Also Consider: Jose Bautista (OF) – TOR, Chris Carter (OF) – HOU, Miguel Cabrera (1B) – DET, Adam Jones (OF) - BAL

 

BULK PURCHASE


Buster Posey (C) – SF: We had a lefty-masher lead off the “Top Shelf”, so it’s only appropriate follow suit in the “Bulk Purchase” section. Posey is actually tied with Stanton for wOBA vs LHP (.439), and we all caught a glimpse of his upside after witnessing his two "Posey bombs" last night. Jorge De La Rosa has one of the worst wOBA splits of the day (.384 vs RHB), so look for Posey to jump all over him.

 

Kennys Vargas (1B) – MIN: He’s not the cheap value play we’ve all grown to love over the past month, but that doesn’t mean you should ignore the rookie slugger. Vargas and the Twins have a great matchup against spot-starter Liam Hendriks, who owns a career 6.06 ERA in four seasons of work. Vargas has recorded a hit in 21/24 games this year, and he has exceptional power upside for this mid-range price.

 

Matt Kemp (OF) – LAD: Kemp is at it again, heating up with a four game hit-streak. He is great against lefties (.376 wOBA, .215 ISO) and Arizona starter Wade Miley has really struggled in the hitter friendly confines of Chase Field.

 

Also Consider: Melky Cabrera (OF) – TOR, Ben Zobrist (2B) – TB, Todd Frazier (3B) – CIN, Hunter Pence (OF) - SF

 

BARGAIN BIN


Yasiel Puig (OF) – LAD: Puig is in the midst of probably the worst cold-streak of his young career, exemplified by a lousy 1/17 performance in the past week. A silver lining comes in the form of a dramatic price decrease ($2,800 on FanDuel), resulting in a top-tier talent player landing in the bargain bin. Stepping in against a shaky lefty is certainly a friendly spot for Puig to get back on track.

 

Zach Walters (SS) – CLE: What can be said about the rookie? Four homeruns in the past six games! He’s definitely a “boom or bust” option, but the upside is tremendous considering his near-minimum $2,300 tag on FanDuel. The matchup vs Noesi in U.S. Cellular Field profiles well for another deep ball.

 

Stephen Vogt (C) – OAK: If you don’t have the cap space for Posey, or if you want to diversify your lineups, Vogt is the second best catching option on the day. Brad Peacock has a soft-spot for lefties (.372 wOBA), and the shift to Minute Maid Park works in favor of Vogt and the A’s this evening.

 

Also Consider: Scott Van Slyke (OF) – LAD, Casey McGehee (3B) – MIA, Angel Pagan (OF) – SF, Jeff Baker (2B) – MIA

 

STARTING PITCHER


Clayton Kershaw (LAD): It’s a Kershaw day! The potential Cy Young (and NL MVP) winner has a very strong matchup against a struggling Arizona offense. The question, as always, boils down to whether or not you can work in his giant salary. I believe you can still field a viable group of hitters by throwing in cheap bats like McGehee, Van Slyke, Puig, and Walters. This will enable you to still roster guys like Posey, Vargas, Kemp, Cruz or Bautista with your remaining spots.

 

Julio Teheran (ATL): If you don’t want to pay up for Kershaw, Teheran represents the best mid-range pitcher of the night. He does have risk though, considering he got shelled (3 IP, 5 ER) the last time he faced the Mets. His strikeout rate has been up and down as well, but pitching in a big ballpark against a team that ranks 29th in wOBA and top 10 in K% profiles well for Julio.

 

Yovani Gallardo (MIL): Gallardo is the risk/reward pick of the middle tier. He has been extremely up and down this season, but he tends to step it up in good matchups. It doesn’t get much better than drawing the Padres MLB worst offense in Petco Park. There’s strong reason to believe we’ll see Gallardo’s good side tonight.

 

Also Consider: David Price (DET), Corey Kluber (CLE), Tim Hudson (SF)

 

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.