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Daily

Daily Forecast: Coors Crush

by Chet Gresham
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET


Jair Jurrjens hasn’t pitched in the majors since June of last season and has been pitching in AAA for the Reds where he pitched 34 innings and had a 4.46 ERA. The Rockies, desperate for starting pitchers, traded for him and then just two days later he’s starting in Coors field. He was traded for a single A non-prospect to provide a body in the Rockies decimated rotation.  The Dodgers are hitting righties for a .332 wOBA and hit better on the road. And the road in this case is Coors Field where we know what happens when batters are making contact.

 

 

 


TOP SHELF


Jose Bautista – TOR – Bautista is mashing lefties this season for a .551 wOBA (not a typo) and .98 FanDuel points per plate appearance. Tommy Milone is giving up over a home run per game.

 

Hanley Ramirez – LAD – HanRam is off the disabled list and gets to play at Coors Field against Jurrjens who is a shell of his former self.

 

Andrew McCutchen – PIT – Cutch gets to take on Roberto Hernandez today, who has been at his worst this year on the road and against righties. McCutchen has been great against righties (.400 wOBA) and at home (.446 wOBA).

 

 

Also consider: Edwin Encarnacion – TOR, Adam Jones – BAL, Devin Mesoraco – CIN, Nelson Cruz – BAL, Dee Gordon – LAD, Jose Abreu - CWS

 

 

 

BULK PURCHASE

 

J.D. Martinez – DET – Martinez is hitting righties for a nice .471 wOBA and 203 wRC+ this season. Alex Cobb as a righty is getting hit by righties for a .346 wOBA, but is getting hit on the road much worse this year with a .406 wOBA against righties on the road. All of that fits well with Martinez, who is still on fire.

 

Yasiel Puig – LAD – Puig has dropped in salary enough to hit the Bulk Purchase section and that’s good news with the Rockies calling up Jair Jurrjens from Triple A to pitch at Coors. Puig has been very good against righties this season, hitting a .940 OPS and a .408 wOBA. He’s a little risky having just been good instead of great lately, but at Coors with a nice matchup and decent price, I’m on board.

 

Mike Napoli – BOS – This season Miguel Gonzalez has pitched worse on the road and against right-handed hitters. That works for Mr. Napoli in Boston, who has hit better at home and against right-handed hitters. Gonzalez has given up 2.04 HR/9 to righties and 1.93 HR/9 on the road. The deck is stacked for Napoli today.  (Check the weather for this game)

 

Also consider: Josh Hamilton – LAA, Miguel Montero – ARI, Adrian Gonzalez – LAD, Evan Longoria – TAM, Brock Holt – BOS,

 

 

 

BARGAIN BIN

 

Logan Forsythe – TAM – Forsythe has had seven multi-hit games in his last nine, with five in a row, including two homers. He takes on Drew Smyly, a lefty, who is getting hit by righties for a .317 average this season while Forsythe is best against lefties. It’s hard to ignore his hot streak and price.

 

David Peralta – ARI – Ervin Santana has come back down to earth after a hot start to the season and has given up a .328 average to lefties. Peralta has a .359 wOBA against right-handers this season and has been especially good of late with eight hits in his last 14 at bats, including a home run.

 

Ender Inciarte – ARI – Ender’s game is hot right now as he’s hit in eight of his last nine and takes on Santana who is getting creamed by lefties this year.

 

Also consider: Tommy La Stella – ATL, Luis Valbuena – CHC, Elvis Andrus – TEX, Scott Van Slyke – LAD, Eduardo Nunez – MIN, Andre Ethier – LAD

 


 

 

STARTING PITCHER


Yu Darvish – TEX – Darvish takes on the Mets in Metco and that’s all I really need to say.

 

Chris Sale – CWS – The Mariners have been hitting well of late, but Chris Sale hasn’t been who they’ve been hitting. Seattle is bursting at the seams with lefty hitters and Sale has been decimating lefties this year. In 50 plate appearances against him, lefties have four hits, all singles.

 

Lance Lynn – STL – After going into Coors Field and throwing eight innings of three hit, no run ball, he lasted just two inning against the Dodgers and gave up six runs. It looks as though much of that game was to blame on a blister on his middle finger. But even if it was just a blow up game, he’s been good enough this season to overlook it, especially at home against the Marlins who don’t travel well, averaging just 3.8 runs on the road compared to 4.7 at home. They also strike out a hefty 24% of the time against righties.

 

Also consider: Clayton Kershaw – LAA, Gerrit Cole – PIT, Matt Cain - SFG