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Daily

Daily Forecast: The Donald

by Chet Gresham
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

The Cubs are this at starting pitcher since trading Samardzija and Hammel and had to call up Tsuyoshi Wada, who has shown ability in the minors, but does not have overpowering stuff and gave up five runs in his last start at home to San Diego. The Rockies are of course a better team at home, but they aren’t the Padres on the road.  And the good news is the Rockies have a few cheaper right-handers than should be able to get to Wada without breaking the bank.

 

Other targets include Brett Oberholtzer, Yohan Flande and Clay Buchholz.

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-day $30,000 Fantasy Baseball league for Monday night's MLB games. It's $25 to join and first prize is $5,000. Starts at 7:10pm ET on Monday. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

 

TOP SHELF

 

Yoenis Cespedes – OAK – It wasn’t too long ago that Cespedes was down in the bargain bin, but he’s come on strong of late and his price on FanDuel is still cheap considering his ability and upside.  Tonight he faces Brett Oberholtzer who has been shuttled back and forth from the minors and pitched either very well or very horrible. So far this season the lefty has given up a .362 wOBA at home and a .342 wOBA to righties. Plus, the stadium prefers righties for home runs, which makes Cespedes and the other A’s righties good plays tonight.

 

Jose Reyes – TOR – Reyes has been hot, hitting .358 over his last 15 games and he gets Clay Buchholz who he is 6-for-17 against in his career. Buchholz has given up 16 hits and eight earned runs in his last 12 innings pitched. He has it in him to throw a gem, but they’ll be few and far between.

 

Josh Donaldson – OAK – Donaldson is hitting lefties for a .452 wOBA, .411 ISO and a 1.076 OPS this season and is batting .500 against Oberholtzer for his career.

 

Also consider: David Ortiz – BOS, Anthony Rizzo – CHC, Jose Bautista – TOR, Melky Cabrera - TOR

 

 

 

BULK PURCHASE

 

Derek Norris – OAK – Norris should get a start tonight against the lefty Oberholtzer due to his .447 wOBA and .360 average against southpaws this season.  He’s not always in against righties so his price isn’t as high as it should be when facing lefties.

 

Josh Rutledge – COL – With Tulowitzki on the DL Rutledge has stepped up with five multi-hit games in his last seven and is hitting lefties this year for a .378 average.

 

Todd Frazier – CIN – Cincinnati is the best hitters’ park going today and Frazier gets a nice matchup against Chase Anderson, who, even though is a righty, has given up a .380 wOBA to righties this year.

 

Also consider: Drew Stubbs – COL, Devin Mesoraco – CIN, Mike Napoli – BOS, Lucas Duda – NYM

 

 

BARGAIN BIN

 

Wilin Rosario – COL – Rosario does most of his damage against lefties and Wada should have trouble with him. His numbers are inflated by Coors, but he does have a .396 wOBA and .338 ISO against lefties this season and Wrigley favors righties.

 

Juan Francisco – TOR – Francisco has cooled down a lot since his hot start to the season, but he’s still showing there’s life in his bat yet with two homers in his last three games. He has risk due to his bad splits, but will start off the game against Clay Buchholz, a righty, which is what he likes best.

 

Chris Coghlan – CHC – Coghlan has cooled down, but his stats versus lefties at home are intriguing. He’s 9-for-19 and faces Flande, who has been extra horrible against righties this season.

 

Also consider: Stephen Drew – BOS, Aaron Hill – ARI, Denard Span – WAS, Daniel Nava - BOS

 

 

 

STARTING PITCHER


Madison Bumgarner – SFG – I’m going to take one of the best pitchers going tonight in the best pitchers park. He suffered a big four game hiccup in early July, but has turned the ship and has given up just one earned run in his last two games. He’s had more luck on the road this year, but for his career his home stats are much better, as you would expect. I think we’ll see that trend reassert itself against the Pirates, who are having real trouble with lefty pitching.  On the season they are hitting just a .295 wOBA against lefties and striking out 22% of the time.  Add that to their worse hitting on the road and I think MadBum can shut them down.

 

Jesse Chavez – OAK – I’ll go with the upside of facing the Astros here. They strike out 24.1% of the time against righties and have just a .295 wOBA against them. I’d rather they be playing in Oakland, but Chavez K’s more on the road.

 

Bartolo Colon – NYM – Colon has a 2.81 ERA at home and is coming off a game in Seattle where he flirted with perfection. I don’t know how he does it, but he’s doing it.  The Phillies on the other hand aren’t doing much, hitting a .290 wOBA against righties.

 

Also consider:  Yu Darvish – TEX, Homer Bailey – CIN, Vance Worley - PIT