I’ve recommended targeting Kevin Correia in this space before and as long as the Twins keep toting him out there he’ll probably be here again. This season he is giving up a .311 average to lefties and .331 to righties and he goes into Toronto where the Jays are just murdering the ball. He’s also been hit hard by this crew, with Lawrie, Bautista, Reyes, Lind and Encarnacion all having hit home runs off him.
Toronto hits a .347 wOBA against righties and a .359 wOBA at home, while the Twins bullpen sports a 1.44 WHIP. This one could get out of hand.
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Giancarlo Stanton – MIA – We get a righty/righty matchup here, but Stanton does his thing against both lefties and righties and Lewis has been awful against both this season. Stanton could hit one out of any stadium in the league as he’s shown over and over, but should have no trouble at all letting one fly in Texas.
Edwin Encarnacion – TOR – E.E has hit 16 home runs off right-handed hitters this season. That’s a homer in every 11 at bats. While at home he has a homer in every 9.5 at bats despite the handedness of the pitcher. And if you narrow that down to at home versus righties, he’s hitting a home run every 7.4 at bats. And now hypothetically say he only was to hit against Correia at home and I think that number goes down even further!
Adrian Beltre – TEX – Tom Koehler defies splits logic and gets rocked by righties, but contains lefties. Beltre has been hitting both well enough it doesn’t matter too much, but as a righty, he should have an easier time against Koehler who gives up 1.35 HR/9 and a .355 wOBA to those of the right-handed persuasion. Beltre has eight multi-hit games out of his last 11.
Adam Jones – BAL – Jones hits righties well in his career with a .352 wOBA while Workman is hit by righties worse than lefties, so this makes for the perfect R/R matchup. And it doesn’t hurt that Jones has four homers in his last seven games.
Matt Carpenter – STL – Carpenter has 13 multi-hit games in his last 23 games and has raised his average from .256 to .299 during that span. He hits righties well and gets righty Jake Odorizzi who sports a 5.31 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. For his career lefties hit a .357 wOBA against him and hit two times as many home runs.
Adam Lind – TOR – If Lind is facing a right-handed pitcher at home I take notice. If that pitcher is something like the caliber of Kevin Correia I automatically start him. Lind can’t hit a lefty to save his life this season, but he’s hitting righties for a .366 average and 1.037 OPS.
Garrett Jones – MIA – Last night we saw what can happen in Texas when the bat is meeting the ball and Colby Lewis has been letting the bat and ball have a party of late. He currently has a 5.77 ERA and 1.77 WHIP and even when he pitches well he doesn’t last into the sixth inning. He’s also been pretty lucky keeping the ball in the ballpark as he’s giving up way more fly balls than grounders. Jones will test that as he’s hit all eight of his homers against righties.
Lonnie Chisenhall – CLE – Do you double down on Chisenhall after his huge game last night? Well, he goes into a pitcher’s park in Kansas City and faces Jason Vargas who even though he’s a lefty, is hit slightly harder by lefties. Even if you take away his huge game last night Chisenhall has been red hot. Let’s see if he can keep it up while his price is bulky.
Mike Napoli – BOS – Napoli’s first game back from the DL was a nice one as he went 3-for-4 with a solo home run. His next game wasn’t quite as good, but the Sox were befuddled by Bud Norris and only had three hits on the night. Napoli hits righties slightly better than lefties and his price doesn’t meet his upside.
Austin Jackson – DET – Jackson does his best hitting against lefties, of which John Danks is. He also has been hitting well of late with eight hits in his last 16 at bats. He’s also hit Danks well in the past, going 15-of-39 off him with three home runs.
Jason Kipnis – CLE – Like I said with Chisenhall, Vargas has trouble with lefties even though he is a lefty and Kipnis also happens to be a lefty! It all makes so much sense! Kipnis has hit in seven straight (including 3 stolen bases) and had a big game yesterday. His price is what makes him so attractive though. For $2,600 at FanDuel he’s tough to pass up.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG – MadBum gets to start in spacious AT&T Park where he has a 2.81 ERA and 26% strikeout rate over the last three years while the Nationals come into town sporting a 21% K rate. The Nats have been hitting better of late, but I still like Bum at home.
Corey Kluber – CLE – Kluber has been great this season with just a few hiccups along the way. Kansas City has been downright awful at hitting the ball this year and can’t break .300 wOBA anywhere or against anybody. They average just 3.62 runs per game at home while Cleveland averages 4.62 on the road. With Ventura’s start being pushed back for Vargas, I like Cleveland’s chances to get the win for Kluber.
Hisashi Iwakuma – SEA – Iwakuma pitches better at home and gets the Yankees who have a .300 wOBA on the road and .309 against righties while hitting just .268 wOBA over their last two weeks.