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Daily

Daily Forecast: Giant Chance

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

The San Francisco Giants are the latest potential fantasy-beneficiaries of the “Coors Effect”. They’ll take on one of Colorado’s struggling lefties, this time Franklin Morales and his extremely generous .401 wOBA vs right-handers this year.

 

Buster Posey and Hunter Pence are elite plays today, and they should serve as the foundation for majority of your DFS lineups. Angel Pagan is swinging a hot bat from the leadoff spot, and his great on-base percentage should yield a more-than-serviceable fantasy night in this high-scoring matchup. In addition, Mike Morse makes nice cheap 1B compliment to this stack. Pablo Sandoval usually hits better from the left side of the plate, making him a quality option, but not a “must-play lock” like Posey and Pence. Regardless, the Giants will be putting up some runs tonight, and you will need definitely some exposure to San Fran (and some Colorado bats, listed below).

 

TOP SHELF


Buster Posey (C) – SF: As highlighted numerous times in The Forecast this season: Posey is one of the best hitters vs left-handed pitching, owning a stellar .431 wOBA and .249 ISO vs southpaws. He is on fire, belting home runs in two games and going 5/5 in another this past week. I rarely splurge on a catcher, but Posey is a welcoming exception to that philosophy as today’s top overall hitter regardless of position.

 

Corey Dickerson (OF) – COL: Dickerson hasn’t been swinging the most inspiring bat as of late, but some home cookin’ in Coors Field should aid a bounce-back series. He hit a home run off Tim Hudson in the spacious AT&T Park last week, so he certainly has the ability to inflict some damage in the same matchup and dramatically better hitting ballpark.

 

Hunter Pence (OF) – SF: Pence isn’t quite as good vs lefties as Posey (nobody is), but a .356 wOBA and .231 ISO should serve him well in Coors tonight. He and Posey are the top picks of the day be a relatively wide margin.

 

Also Consider: Ryan Braun (OF) – MIL, Adam Jones (OF) - BAL, Dustin Ackley (OF) – SEA

 

BULK PURCHASE


Alex Gordon (OF) – KC: Texas pitcher Colby Lewis has given up 13 ER in the past three games, and I’m expecting the Royals to pour some salt in the proverbial wound today. Gordon is the most viable KC bat, exemplified by smacking another HR last night. He’s an implacable value and cash game “anchor play” at $3,200 on FanDuel.

 

Chris Davis (1B) – BAL: Don’t look now, but Chris Davis is back to his old ways. It only took him three-fourths of the season to come around, but he’s finding ways to reach base (mostly walks) and score runs (5 runs in past three games). That provides some encouragement on top of his usual power upside, which comes into play with this matchup against Phil Hughes flyball tendencies.

 

Charlie Blackmon (OF) – COL: Blackmon began to heat up on the latter half of Colorado’s recent road trip. That momentum should carry into Coors Field, and even though Tim Hudson is a pretty decent pitcher, Blackmon is in a great spot considering his leadoff role and platoon advantage in this likely high-scoring tilt. His $3,000 tag on FanDuel isn’t bad either.

 

Also Consider: Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL, Danny Santana (SS) – MIN, Robinson Cano (2B) - SEA

 

BARGAIN BIN


Michael Morse (1B) – SF: Morse has been a streaky hitter all season, but he’s heating up at the right time by recording a hit in 13 of his last 16 games. His lefty/righty splits are pretty neutral, but Morse will still benefit from the extreme park shift to Coors Field.

 

Angel Pagan (OF) – SF: Pagan won’t be one to benefit from the power boost of Coors, but as noted earlier, he should get on base early and often for Pence, Posey, and company to knock him in. He comes at a great value for only $2,500 on FanDuel.

 

Alcides Escobar (SS) – KC: Picking on Colby Lewis a little more, I like Escobar as a cheap SS play ($2,400) if you need to save some cap space. He’s on a current five game hit-streak, including a 4/5 performance on Friday. Even though he usually bats down the in the lineup, I believe he’s a serviceable value play in this position.

 

Also Consider: Billy Butler (1B) – KC, Scooter Gennett (2B) – MIL, Pablo Sandoval (3B) - SF

 

STARTING PITCHER


Tyson Ross – SD: With aces Price and Kluber in tricky matchups squaring off against each other, I’m leaning towards Ross as my favorite pitcher of the day. He has recorded 13 straight quality starts, shutting down potent offenses like the Dodgers, Colorado (@Coors), and most recently Milwaukee. The matchup against a hodgepodge Arizona lineup in Petco Park is one of his best draws in a while, and he possesses the strikeout upside to become the highest scoring pitcher of the night.

 

Yordano Ventura – KC: Ventura checks in as the heaviest favorite of the day against an “up and down” Rangers lineup. He pinned Texas down for 4 hits, 1 ER, and 6 K’s in 6 IP just over a week ago. A similar performance is in the cards today, and he has an excellent chance to pick up a “W” as the Royal bats tee off on Colby Lewis.

 

Jimmy Nelson – MIL: Nelson has been pretty “middling” to begin his MLB career, but he can take pride in a respectable 7.69 K/9IP, which should only increase against this K-happy Cubs team. There is undoubtedly some risk with Nelson, and definitely stay away if the wind is blowing out in Wrigley. However, if the wind isn’t a factor, I like Nelson’s chances of churning out a respectable line to earn a win vs the Cubbies. His $5,600 price tag is appealing for large tournaments, as you can stack almost any bat you want around him.

 

Also Consider: Julio Teheran - ATLDrew Smyly – TB, Lance Lynn – STL

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.