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Daily Forecast: Panda Express

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

Christian Bergman is quite possibly the worst pitcher in action today, and he will face a red-hot San Francisco lineup at Coors Field. In his three home starts this season, he has given up 13 ER in just 15 IP. I’m not expecting that number to improve either, and stacking Giants definitely the way to go for the “early only” contests (mixing/matching for all day contests).


Buster Posey profiles as the top San Francisco bat to work in, while Pence and Sandoval aren’t far behind. From there, Angel Pagan would serve as a great compliment to this stack, especially considering his bargain bin price. Joe Panik and Brandon Crawford are two cheap plays to keep in mind if you need some salary cap relief in the middle infield.


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Jose Abreu (1B) – CWS: Abreu was a member of the Top Shelf yesterday, but he ended up riding the pine. The enthusiasm for yesterday’s matchup can be shared with today’s, as Twins’ rookie Trevor May has been getting hammered at the major league level (10.42 ERA in 4 starts).


Buster Posey (C) – SF – EARLY: Posey makes his third straight appearance in the Top Shelf, and why not? The guy has been crushing the ball lately, tallying his 4th HR in the past week. Posey profiles better against lefties, but a draw vs Bergman in Coors Field is the next best think. He is head and shoulders above any other catching option; consider clicking him in your lineup for that reason.


Pablo Sandoval (3B) – SF – EARLY: Sandoval was pretty much the only Giant not to get in the action last night, but I’m not jumping off the “Panda-express” quite yet. Even though he’s a switch hitter, Pablo hits much better from the left-side of the plate (.352 wOBA vs .293). This sets up a mouth-watering matchup for the Panda, and he’s easily the top third baseman, regardless of price.


Also Consider: Corey Dickerson (OF) – COL, Hunter Pence (OF) – SF, Adam Jones (OF) - BAL, Nelson Cruz (OF) - BAL



Brian Dozier (2B) – MIN: Dozier is a guy you want to click into your lineup against left-handed pitching, given his .365 wOBA and surprising .221 ISO. On top of that, John Danks owns a .351 wOBA vs RHB, and he has been known to give up the deep ball as well (1.58 HR/9).


Todd Frazier (3B) – CIN: Speaking of giving up the deep ball, Orioles’ pitcher Miguel Gonzalez has his own issues in that regard (1.64 HR/9 vs RHB). Todd Frazier is the most likely candidate to capitalize on that in the hitter friendly park at Camden Yards. He comes at a nice discount ($2,900) on FanDuel, demanding a look in the late slate of games.


Alex Gordon (OF) – KC: Nick Tepesch has been a fun pitcher to pick on this year, as an implosion is always possible when he takes the bump. A week and a half ago, he gave up 6 ER in 6 IP vs Kansas City, and I think the Royals’ bats will get to him once again. Granted, Kaufmann Stadium may help Tepesch out, but his .346 wOBA vs LHB is good news for Gordon regardless.


Also Consider: Justin Morneau (1B) – COL – EARLY, Neil Walker (2B) – PIT – EARLY, Bryce Harper (OF) – WAS – EARLY, Jay Bruce (OF) - CIN



Angel Pagan (OF) – SF - EARLY: The first two games in Colorado were “just okay”, but Pagan comes at an affordable price (only $2,600 on FanDuel), batting leadoff for the highest projected scoring team of the day. He’s the easiest Giant to work into your lineup, making him a likely staple in the “early only” slate.


Mark Teixeira (1B) – NYY: He’s been in a slump lately, but that has driven his price down to a season low $2,600 on FanDuel. Stepping in against the extreme flyball tendencies of Anthony Ranaudo in Yankee Stadium is a fantastic opportunity for a bounce-back game. He’s my favorite value play of the day.


Brian McCann (C) – NYY: McCann is another potential beneficiary of Ranaudo’s flyball propensity in Yankee Stadium. Buster Posey is clearly the top Catching option, but McCann is your guy in the 7:05 and later slate.


Also Consider: Josh Rutledge (SS)– COL – EARLY, Russell Martin (C) – PIT – EARLY, Omar Infante (2B) – KC, Erick Aybar (SS) - LAA



Jon Lester – OAK – EARLY: Seattle’s lefty-laden lineup (say that 10x fast) ranks 29th in wOBA vs southpaws this season. Pitching opposite of Felix Hernandez puts a dent into his win probability, but I would still roll with Lester in the “early only” slate based on matchup alone.


Jacob deGrom – NYM: He proved himself in his most recent start against Philly, and now he has an enticing matchup against a Miami team that hits lefties much better than righties. The last time deGrom faced the Marlins, he diced through them for 8 K’s, 1 ER on 7 IP. A similar stat line could be in store, and his high strikeout rate catapults him into a featured option in the late slate.


Josh Collmenter – ARI: He has been up and down for majority of the season, but one would think we’d see his good side tonight vs San Diego. Collmenter has given up 1 ER in 14 IP (12K’s) vs the Padres this year, and playing in Petco Park will help his susceptibility to the deep ball.


Also Consider: Felix Hernandez – SEA – EARLY, Andrew Cashner – SD

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.