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Daily

Daily Forecast: Take Tulo

by Chet Gresham
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

Bronson Arroyo is always good for a few gems each season, but for the most part he will struggle, and you don’t want to struggle at Coors Field. In his last three seasons Arroyo has given up 1.47 HR/9 on the road and 1.92 HR/9 to lefties. Feel free to get any Colorado lefty in your lineup as well as the good righties.

 

I’m also targeting Colby Lewis, Juan Nicasio, Kevin Correia, Travis Wood, Kyle Kendrick, and J.A. Happ in today’s games.

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-day $25,000 Fantasy Baseball league for Thursday night's MLB games. It's $25 to join and first prize is $5,000. Starts at 7:05pm ET on Thursday. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

 

TOP SHELF


Corey Dickerson – COL – Dickerson has been hitting well this season and is currently on a six game hitting streak. He’s hitting righties for a 1.103 OPS and all seven of his homers have come against them. I like him and Charlie Blackmon (both lefties) quite a bit in this game for a similar price.

 

Troy Tulowitzki – COL – Tulo is back at home and that means he is hitting. He is in love with Coors Field and hits an insane .512 average, .951 slugging percentage and 1.537 OPS there. He’s hit Arroyo well in his career and should have the lefties on base ahead of him to drive them in.

 

Miguel Cabrera – DET – Cabrera is still under 5k at FanDuel and is heating up with four homers in his last eight games. Miggy hits righties slightly better than lefties, but it’s all relative when it comes to the Triple Crown winner. Happ gives up more fly balls than grounders and the weather looks good in Detroit for the ball to be jumping.

 

Also consider: Paul Goldschmidt – ARI, Victor Martinez – DET, Carlos Gomez – MIL, Nelson Cruz – BAL

           

 

 

 

BULK PURCHASE

 

Chris Davis – BAL – Davis is as cheap as he’ll ever be after getting mired in a slump, but he hit a homer yesterday and gets to face a righty in Arlington today.  If this is the start of a streak you want to get in on the ground floor.

 

Ian Kinsler – DET – Kinsler had gone cold until his homer last night. Hopefully it’s a sign of things to come and thankfully he gets a weak left-handed pitcher in J.A. Happ at home.  Kinsler hits lefties for a .384 wOBA and at home he hits .379 wOBA.

 

Ian Desmond –WAS – Desmond hits the R/R matchup best and gets Kyle Kendrick who gives up more homers to righties. Desmond also hits better at home and has four homers in his last 11 games. I like his chances to give you some cheaper power from the short stop position today.

 

Also consider: Justin Morneau – COL, Josh Willingham – MIN, Mark Reynolds – MIL, Pablo Sandoval - SFG

 

 

 

 

BARGAIN BIN

 

Kevin Kiermaier – TB – In just 15 at bats against righties Kiermaier has hit two homers and a triple.  He gets Jacob Turner who sports a 5.59 ERA and is giving up a .360 average to righties this season.

 

Gerardo Parra – ARI – Parra hits a nice .338 wOBA against righties and is hitting near the top of the order with Pollock out. He’s hitting .311 against righties this season and we saw what he could do last night as the D-Backs went off in Colorado.

 

Aramis Ramirez- MIL – Aram came off the DL and hit one out of the park his first game back. He’s not a lock by any means, but his price has plummeted below his value to be sure. Correia has been getting hit worse by righties this season and will have trouble against this Milwaukee lineup.

 

Jean Segura – MIL - I like the high-priced Brewers as well today, but I really like Segura who is cheap, hitting leadoff and has hit Correia well in the past. He’ll be in many of my lineups today.

 

Also consider: Oscar Taveras –STL, J.J. Hardy – BAL, Hank Conger- LAA, Aaron Hill – ARI, Scooter Gennett – MIL,

 

 

 

STARTING PITCHER


Madison Bumgarner – SFG – It’s hard to get away from Bummy today. Tanaka has been lights out, but I just can’t play him against the hot-hitting Oakland A’s. MadBum has also been pitching lights-out of late with back to back 10 strike out games with only 6 hits, 1 walk and 1 run allowed. I wish he was in San Francisco instead of Great American Ballpark, but thankfully Cincinnati hasn’t been hitting great of late and only score on average 3.77 runs per game at home and have a .290 wOBA against lefties this season.

 

Michael Wacha – STL – If you need some rain, just invite Wacha to pitch near you. He has had rain outs and rain shortened outings galore this season. So the 50% chance of scattered T-Storms in KC is no doubt something you should keep your eye on. But if it looks like the skies might clear for a few hours then Wacha is always worth a shot. KC scores just 3.6 runs per game at home and they are hitting just .286 wOBA over their last 14 days. I like his chances and his price is still reasonable.

 

Doug Fister - WAS – The Phillies have had trouble with right-handed pitching this season, hitting just a .287 wOBA against them. Fister has been pitching well and has kept opponents to two or less runs in his last four starts. 

 

Also consider: Jacob de Grom – NYM