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Daily

Daily Forecast: Target Tigers

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

After being bounced from the rotation in late April, Bruce Chen will make a spot start for the Royals this afternoon. He will do so against a Detroit team that ranks first in hitting left-handed pitching. This one could be fun...or ugly; depending on your vantage point. The only thing saving Chen and his flyball tendencies is the fact that this game is played at Kauffman Stadium, which isn't particularly conducive to the deep ball. Still, there is a reason Chen lost his starting gig early in the season, and this Tigers' lineup chalked full of right handed bats should pounce on him today. Of course, Miguel Cabrera headlines the list of Detroit sluggers, followed by J.D. Martinez, Torii Hunter, Ian Kinsler, Austin Jackson, and Rajai Davis (listed in the order of preference). 

 

TOP SHELF 

 

Miguel Cabrera (1B) - DET: Not only is Cabrera one of the top hitters of the day, but he owns some impressive career numbers against Bruce Chen as well: 16-39 (.410), 5 HR. There are plenty of viable 1B options in action this afternoon, but you would be wise to have at least some exposure to Cabrera in this prime matchup. 

 

Justin Upton (OF) - ATL: Cubs pitcher Travis Wood has struggled against right-handers all year (.366 wOBA), and he has flyball tendencies that often get him into trouble at Wrigley Field. Upton is the best power-righty to exploit that today, exemplified by an elite .403 wOBA vs left-handed pitching in the past three years. 

 

J.D. Martinez (OF) - DET: Martinez has been tearing the cover off the ball, along with seemingly the entire Tigers' offense. As mentioned in the introduction, the matchup is certainly favorable to keep that trend alive. The only issue with Martinez is price, as his flourishing bat is met with a higher salary on DFS sites. Still, you need to actively pursue him in at least some lineups, given the potential in this draw. 

 

Also Consider: Carlos Gonzalez (OF) - COL, Jose Abreu (1B) - CWS, Adam Jones (OF) - BAL, Ian Kinsler (2B) - DET 

 

BULK PURCHASE 

 

Brandon Moss (1B) - OAK: He has been battling through an injury, but that hasn't slowed Moss down, as he blasted another HR last night (his 20th). Today, he is in a great spot against the tumultuous pitching of Seattle's Chris Young, setting Moss up nicely to do some damage from the cleanup spot. 

 

David Wright (3B) - NYM: After taking some time off to nurse a shoulder injury, Wright has been red-hot from the plate, going 9-21 with 2 HR in the past six games. Today he will have the platoon advantage against a subpar left-hander in Miami's Brad Hand

 

Torii Hunter (OF) - DET: For a reasonable $3,600 on FanDuel, Hunter can be considered a "core play" for all contest types this afternoon. I already touched on Bruce Chen's deficiencies as a pitcher, and Torii has been raking it in with multiple hits in seven of his past ten contests. 

 

Also ConsiderIan Desmond (SS) - WAS, Charlie Blackmon (OF) - COL, Buster Posey (C) - SF, Josh Willingham (OF) - MIN 

 

BARGAIN BIN 

 

Brian Dozier (2B) - MIN: Like yesterday, the power-hitting second baseman is in play once again versus a young lefty from the Rockies. This time Brett Anderson is taking the mound for Colorado, and I really like Dozier in the leadoff role with the platoon advantage and homerun upside to boot. 

 

Stephen Vogt (C) - OAK: He's one of the more underrated players in baseball at the moment. Current owner of a 12 game hitting streak, Vogt has been raking from the two-hole in the A's batting order. He's red hot, comes at a non-obstructive salary, and is matched up against a bottom five pitcher in Seattle's Chris Young (ranked #26 of 28 SP in the Daily Starter Ranks page). 

 

Bryce Harper (OF) - WAS: Harper's $3,000 price tag on FanDuel doesn't fully represent his talent level and upside. He hasn't been very good since rejoining the Nationals lineup, but that could all change today. Kyle Kendrick of the Phillies has been very generous to left-handers this season (.389 wOBA), so rolling the dice on a discounted Harper may not be such a bad idea. 

 

Also ConsiderChris Johnson (3B) - ATL, Austin Jackson (OF) - DET, Jimmy Rollins (SS) - PHI, Trevor Plouffe (3B) - MIN 

 

STARTING PITCHER 

 

Madison Bumgarner - SF: I was debating between Bumgarner and Price as my #1 pitcher of the day, but ultimately I decided to play it safe and go with the San Francisco ace (David Price is dealing with an illness that pushed his start back one day). Bumgarner is one of the heaviest favorites on the slate, in a nice home matchup against an Arizona team he blanked for 8 scoreless innings (7 K's) just over three weeks ago. He comes at a significant discount compared to David Price as well ($8,800 on FanDuel vs $10,700 for Price). 

 

Hyun-Jin Ryu - LAD: Perhaps the best "per dollar" pick on the board is Ryu, who has a terrific matchup against the anemic Padres' offense. Ryu has been up and down all season, but a home draw against San Diego should bring out the best in him...or at least a quality outing with strikeout upside (not to mention the high probability for a win). 

 

Jacob deGrom - NYM: The Mets' rookie is my semi-sneaky pitcher of the day. Well, he may not be such a sleeper following a 7 IP, 0 ER, 11 K performance vs Atlanta earlier this week. Still, deGrom has flashed strikeout upside against teams that like to whiff, and his opponent today, Miami, owns the highest K% (24.0%) vs right-handed pitching in all of baseball. He wrangled the Marlins for 7 K's 0 ER in 7 IP three weeks ago, and he is primed for a similar stat line at home today. 

 

Also Consider: David Price - TB, Julio Teheran - ATL, Kevin Gausman - BAL

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.