Jhoulys Chacin of the Rockies has gotten touched up for 3-4+ ER in 8 of his 10 starts this season, translating to a poor 1-5 record with a 4.53 ERA. Pitching in Coors Field tonight won’t help his cause, and the St. Louis Cardinals will look to benefit from the subpar pitching/park shift combination. Chacin’s primary susceptibility is to left handed batters (.335 wOBA), so Matt Carpenter and Matt Adams stand out as top plays in this Cardinals stack, especially given their modest price tags on most DFS sites. Matt Holliday (touching the Matt trifecta) makes for another excellent pick, as he returns to his old stomping grounds in Colorado. Allen Craig and Yadier Molina round out the list in what likely will be a popular, yet affordable St. Louis stack.
If you are looking for a less obvious stack with a little more risk, consider the San Francisco Giants taking on the Padres’ rookie Odrisamer Despaigne, who will receive a spot-start this evening. You never know what you are going to get from a rookie pitcher, but Despaigne has struggled in the minors with a 6.03 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over 31 innings. For this reason, the usual suspects are in play for the Giants, ranked accordingly: Hunter Pence, Buster Posey, Pablo Sandoval, Michael Morse, Brandon Crawford, and Angel Pagan.
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Jose Abreu (1B) – CWS: A lot of people will likely be gravitating towards Edwin Encarnacion tonight, following his 4 HR stint in three games this weekend. However, at the first base position, I would suggest looking towards Abreu for a cheaper price tag. He will take his cuts against the lefty, Wei-Yin Chen, who has propensity to give up the deep ball to righties in the hitter-friendly confines of Camden Yards.
Dee Gordon (2B) – LAD: He’s a little bit pricey on FanDuel ($4,100), but I think Gordon is definitely worth a look tonight. Jeremy Guthrie owns a .363 wOBA vs left-handed hitters, which is the worst amongst starting pitchers this evening. Gordon’s solid contact rate combined with his speed on the base paths gives him some strong fantasy upside in this matchup. It doesn’t hurt to have Puig and Hanley Ramirez batting behind you either.
Jacoby Ellsbury (OF) – NYY: Speaking of great speed, Ellsbury should be able to show off his wheels in a favorable matchup against the Blue Jays. Toronto’s Marcus Stroman is a makeshift starter that Ellsbury (along with Gardner and Teixeira) could do some damage against.
Matt Holliday (OF) – STL: Holliday is one of my favorite “mid-range” priced outfielders today. He’s a very reliable hitter for 50/50 and double-up style contests, and he also presents an added dimension of upside with the park shift to Coors Field.
Matt Carpenter (3B) – STL: I noted Chacin’s insufficiencies against left-handed bats in the introduction, which should pave the way for Carpenter to get on base several times this evening. The Cardinals’ leadoff man is exactly the type of contact hitter that gives Chacin fits, and he should have plenty of opportunities for runs in an expected high-scoring affair.
Charlie Blackmon (OF) – COL: With all this talk about targeting Cardinal bats, don’t forget to look at a few Rockies tonight as well. St. Louis pitcher Lance Lynn has his own shortcomings, including a .344 wOBA to left-handed bats, ranking in the bottom five for SP in action this evening. Blackmon is the most reasonably priced lefty in the Colorado lineup to take advantage of that. Don’t forget about Corey Dickerson and Justin Morneau either.
Matt Adams (1B) – STL: My favorite cheap play of the day…listed at just $2,900 on FanDuel. First base has a lot of viable options tonight (Abreu, Encarnacion, Morneau, etc.), but Adams has similar upside to those three for a much more economical price tag. I’m finding it very difficult to build a team without Mr. Adams on it.
Gordon Beckham (2B) – CWS: His game log has been up-and-down, but Beckham is making very solid contact at the moment. He has some nice power potential, especially going up against a lefty in a hitter-friendly park this evening.
Jhonny Peralta (SS) – STL: He’s a “boom or bust” type of pick batting in Coors Field tonight. We all know Peralta has homerun upside, and he is certainly capable of launching a few deep balls in this hitter-friendly park. However, I would reserve him as more of a tournament play, going a safer route and diversifying my lineup for majority of my head-to-head and double-up contests.
Felix Hernandez – SEA: Anytime King Felix is pitching at home, you have to consider him in daily leagues. He’s one of the heaviest favorites of the day, with a low projected total run output in this Mariners-Red Sox matchup. Over the past month, Hernandez is averaging nearly 10 strikeouts per contest. That type of production paired with a good chance at earning a win makes Felix easily the top play this evening.
Alex Cobb – TB: Cobb is the best of the mid-range pitchers in action tonight. The matchup against Pittsburgh is neutral, but Cobb is coming off of back-to-back solid games to inspire confidence moving forward. He has fared better at home this season too, aside from one shaky outing vs Seattle.