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Draft Guide Preview

NBA Draft Guide Preview

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Rotoworld's 2018 NBA Draft Guide has arrived!


It is loaded with tools to help you dominate drafts, covering every league depth and format including DFS, Roto, H2H, Points and Dynasty. Subscribers get access to exclusive top-200 rankings with stat projections, 300+ player profiles, schedule grids, position tiers, mock drafts and injury reports.


New this season is Rotoworld's exclusive DFS Toolkit! We're proud to offer the Lineup Optimizer, crunching the numbers to help you build the best rosters for the most popular DFS sites. Customized projections allow subscribers to tweak optimizations to reflect their own strategies, and the 'Next Man Up' feature highlights players who will benefit from teammates' injuries -- an all-too-common factor during the NBA's busy schedule. Get it as part of the NBA All-In package right now!


Rotoworld's NBA crew has written 20+ columns and counting, covering a wide variety of topics including:


Schedule Grid & Analysis

Rookie Previews

Top Trades & Signings

Abusing the Default Rankings

Deep Sleepers & Busts

Top-100 Dynasty Draft

DFS Fundamentals

East & West Injury Reports

Over-the-Hill Veterans

9-Cat Strategies

Risk vs. Reward

Punting Strategies

Multiple mock drafts…with more coming all the time


A one-time payment under $20 grants full access to the Guide, which can be bundled with the NBA Season Pass and Draft Master and DFS Toolkit. Doing so grants you access to year-long Player Trackers, weekly stat projections, customizable email updates, playing time reports, exclusive live chats, and much more. Get the Guide right here.


Mock drafts are already available for Dynasty and 8-cat formats, and more will be steadily added to the Guide as we march toward opening night, showing you how experts and hardcore fantasy owners view the league. Is Anthony Davis the default No. 1 pick this year? Where is Devin Booker going in 9-cat leagues? We'll analyze our drafts round-by-round, to help you win yours.


Below are excerpts from six columns you'll find in the Draft Guide. The paragraphs quoted are a sliver of the full columns. Enjoy!



Top Transactions: West (@Knaus_RW)


Kyle Anderson signs with Grizzlies


Anderson’s fantasy appeal spiked the moment he signed with Memphis, inking a four-year, $37 million deal the Spurs declined to match. He immediately projected as the team’s starting SF and assistant coach Chad Forcier threw gasoline on the hype fire in early July. “I’ve loved [Anderson] even as a point guard,” Forcier said. “You think of a different iteration of Ben Simmons in terms of size at 6’9”. He doesn’t have the same explosiveness, speed or athleticism [as Simmons] but he has the vision and instincts. He’s a multiple position player, especially offensively. You can move him around the lineup and play him at four spots.”


Anderson should soar past the 26.7 minutes he averaged last season, which was enough for him to post top-100 roto value with 7.9 points on 52.7% shooting, 5.4 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.6 steals, 0.8 blocks and 0.3 triples. The low scoring shouldn’t frighten fantasy owners – if anything, it’s miraculous that he held value with a minuscule usage rate of 13.3%. For perspective, Taj Gibson’s usage was 14.9%. Slo-Mo was also behind guys like Courtney Lee (16.8%), Marvin Williams (14.9%), John Henson (14.9%) and even former teammate Danny Green (16.5%). Anderson’s usage was easily the lowest among the top-150 fantasy players last season, which leads to the question – what happens when that usage rises?


I’ve been touting him as a mid-round pick all summer and was landing him with ease in the 80-100 range in mock drafts in July and August, but his ADP is slowly creeping toward 60-75. I still think he’s a value there, but I’m particularly bullish on him as a roto-friendly player assuming the biggest role of his career. Note that he’s not quite as appealing in 8-cat, where his lack of turnovers don’t matter, and his value drops multiple rounds in most points-league formats.



Abusing the Default Ranks (Y!) (@MikeSGallagher)


When you're in a draft room, the default ranks could impact how you rank players when it's your turn to pick. What's more, if someone isn't very prepared, those rankings will absolutely affect their selection.


With that, we take another look at which players we have higher or lower based on where they appear in default ranks …


Players listed lower than expected (players I’d prefer to take earlier than listed)


Anthony Davis (2) - Sure he has a bad late schedule and goes to the locker room more than the equipment manager, but you have to take him No. 1.

Karl-Anthony Towns (6) - He started in each of his 246 games. Only other player to do that this century is…

Damian Lillard (10) - Super down the stretch last year and coach Terry Stotts wants even more 3-pointers.

Nikola Jokic (9) - Firmly in the top five (and I filled Dame and Jokic to make my 82-game point).

Paul George (16) - Had a 33.5 usage rate with Melo on the bench last year. Will be taking at the turn all day.

Jimmy Butler (28) - Had right knee issues last year, but that was his “better” knee at the time. Has to go top 16.

Rudy Gobert (33) - Expecting more offense from the DPOY. He was a league-winning impact player in last two months.

Kevin Love (40) - Risky, but went 28-15 without Bron on the floor last year (123 minutes) ...



Busts & Veterans to Ignore (@JonasNader)


Trae Young- He was pretty terrible during the Summer League until he got a few games under his belt. I think he’ll lead all rookies in assists and triples, but the rest of his stat set leaves a lot to be desired. He’s going to be an anchor on your field goal percentage (42.2% in college and 30.3% at summer league) and his turnovers will be high. He also may not see starters minutes until we get closer to 2019 with Jeremy Lin around, and relying on a rookie point guard in fantasy is never ideal.


Marcus Morris- Everyone is talking about who will lose the most value with Gordon Hayward back, and I’m pretty confident it’s Morris. He plays the 3 and 4 just like Hayward, and the Celtics aren’t going to take away minutes from Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown if they don’t have to. Morris was a top-150 player last season in 26.7 minutes per game, but now he’d be lucky to see 20+ minutes. 


DeAndre Jordan- Outside of his rebounding (15.2) and FG percentage (64.5%), Jordan had a poor 2017-18 season by his standards. His game is built on simply being stronger and more athletic than his opponent, but Father Time is starting to take hold. He turned 30 over the summer, and his block rate dipped from 4.3% to 2.4% — he averaged less than a block per game despite playing nearly 32 minutes. His minutes could trend down in Dallas because I don’t see the combination of Jordan and Dirk Nowitzki working (the latter has had to play more five in his old age), and his free throw shooting still isn’t where it needs to be (career-high 58% last season). Don’t draft a two-category player that will bury you in another ...



Players Worth Reaching For (@TommyBeer)


Jordan Bell - Golden State Warriors:

The towering presence of DeMarcus Cousins at center, and he talk from coach Steve Kerr that he may consider starting Damian Jones while Cousins is sidelined, will likely scare away plenty of potential Bell owners, which is just fine by me. Assuming Bell’s ADP drops into the late rounds, he becomes a low-risk, high-reward value selection. This pick equates to betting against Boogie Cousins as much as it’s an endorsement of Bell. The Warriors only have one goal next season, and that’s winning another championship. The regular season is relatively meaningless, and they already have four future Hall-of-Famers they can count on. Thus, they have zero incentive to rush Boogie back into the mix. Golden State has the luxury of being able to hold him out until he’s as close to 100 percent as possible. Then, even after he makes his debut, they can sit him on the back end of back-to-backs. Add up all that time on the sideline, and Bell should have plenty of time to shine. Although his numbers don’t jump off the page, Bell is a solid all-around fantasy contributor that can stuff the stat sheet. As a rookie last season, averaged he 9.2 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 2.5 blocks per-36 minutes, while shooting 62.7 percent from the floor ...



Risk vs. Reward (@JaredJ831)


Joel Embiid was dealt a handful of random rest days, missed a few games due to back, hand and ankle issues, and ended up spending the final eight games of the 2017-18 season on the sidelines as the result of an orbital fracture. In total, he made it through 63 games (career-high) and was named to his first All-Star team on his way to averages of 22.9 points (career-high), 11.0 rebounds (career-high), 3.2 assists (career-high), 1.0 3-pointer, 1.8 blocks and 3.7 turnovers per game on 48.3% shooting (career-high) from the field and 76.9% from the line, which was good enough for third-round value in 9-cat leagues. We all know what Embiid can do when he’s on the court, and he should be even better this year, but there’s no way we can truly consider 63 games a success – particularly when his final absence coincided with the Fantasy Finals in a lot of leagues. The reward here could be first-round production, while the risk could be dead roster space during the fantasy playoffs. If you want him, you’ll likely need to invest at Round 2 ...


You’re just a few clicks away from the rest of these columns, updated mocks, and all the tools you’ll need to dominate on draft day!



Ryan Knaus

Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for NBC Sports Edge since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.