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Dynasty First Down

Dynasty First Down: Week One

by Ryan McDowell
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to the Dynasty First Down, where each week, I'll focus on one player losing dynasty value. This is just a portion of a new dynasty series entitled Three & Out, which can be found each Monday. To find the full article, check out our Rotoworld Season Pass, which also includes projections, early-week rankings, WR & RB reports, exclusive columns and chats with our experts and much more for just $19.99.

 

Devonta Freeman, RB ATL

 

A season ago, Falcons running back Devonta Freeman overtook an injured Tevin Coleman and never looked back, leading all running backs in fantasy PPR scoring and seeing his dynasty value spike. Many considered him worthy of an RB3 rank in dynasty leagues.

 

Over the off-season, there was much speculation that Coleman, with a year under his belt and now fully healthy, would eat into the workload Freeman enjoyed in 2015. Many didn’t want to believe this, especially given Freeman’s amazing five game stretch in which Freeman totaled 825 total yards and nine touchdowns. Freeman didn’t hit the 100-yard rushing mark again after Week Seven and some projected this late-season performance to be the norm for Freeman.

 

After just one game in the 2016 season, those naysayers might be correct. In the team’s matchup against Tampa Bay, Freeman had a total of just 40 yards of 15 touches, while his teammate Coleman outgained him both on the ground and as a receiver, racking up 117 yards on 13 touches, with much of his damage coming as a receiver out of the backfield.

 

Our own Evan Silva noted today on Twitter that he would be moving Freeman down in the RB20 range. While he was speaking specifically about seasonal leagues, it is a bad sign for Freeman’s long-term value as well. Freeman's September dynasty ADP still found him in early third round, with an ADP of 26.5. I expect that to tumble at least a full round following Sunday's performance and the apparent running back by committee we'll see in Atlanta this season.