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Evaluations

by Thor Nystrom
Updated On: May 9, 2019, 9:09 pm ET

By now, you’ve no doubt read 25 draft grades columns. Hopefully, you’ve also read at least one UDFA class rankings column. For my last column of the 2019 NFL Draft cycle -- I promise this time! Pinky swear! -- I wanted to do something a little out there. An overall “draft haul” grade that combined each team’s draft class and UDFA crop and measured total talent acquired against draft equity spent. Add it all up and see what the numbers say after the dust cleared.

To do this, I enlisted my math whiz colleague Hayden Winks, a Jedi of sorts in Excel. I asked him to come up with a formula that judged each team’s total draft haul, top UDFA signings included, by the draft equity it took to acquire it (based on my top-500 rankings).

Each draft slot and top-500 ranking slot on my board was assigned value by a weighted formula, so that, for instance, the differences between the Nos. 4 and 11 picks was the same as the difference between the No. 57 (bottom of R2) and No. 194 (mid-R6) picks.

The "haul grade" rankings and grades below were 90% based on the value each team got out of their draft slots. The other 10% of the equation came from my UDFA class rankings. That percentage -- one-tenth of the pie -- may seem high at first blush. But check out what SB Nation found about the contributions of UDFAs.

My UDFA class rankings are included below for reference. As are the draft class value rankings that the model deduced. Trades are not included in the grades below. In this exercise, we’re only trying to ascertain who bought the most amount of talent with the least amount of draft equity. You can think of it like a Groupon guide to maximizing the NFL Draft process: Whose buck stretched the furthest?

And lastly: I graded each team's draft haul on a curve. Only 15 of the 32 NFL teams were assigned grades of B- or above. A "C" is truly a C -- middle of the pack.

1. Tennessee Titans | Draft: 2, UDFA: 14 | 2019 HAUL grade: A+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.19 Jeffery Simmons DL4 17 n/a n/a Ndamukong Suh 6'4 301
2.51 A.J. Brown WR4 30 75.8 8.6 JuJu Smith-Schuster 6'0 226
3.82 Nate Davis OG5 96 23.8 6.17 Ben Grubbs 6'3 316
4.116 Amani Hooker S2 47 84.5 9.09 Kenny Vaccaro 5'11 210
5.168 D'Andre Walker ED12 93 n/a n/a Dee Ford 6'2 251
6.188 David Long LB15 177 9.6 9.22 Mark Barron 5'11 227
PFA Alex Barnes RB16 173 93.3 9.81 Kalen Ballage 6'0 226
PFA Anthony Ratliff-Williams WR30 255 45.6 7.12 Markus Wheaton 6'0 205
PFA Hamp Cheevers CB33 291 20.9 2.96 Parry Nickerson 5'9 169
PFA Jonathan Crawford S23 303 1.6 2.46 Husain Abdulah 6'1 205
PFA Amani Bledsoe DL35 362 11.2 5.08 Bronson Kaufusi 6'4 280
PFA Cody Conway OT36 390 77.8 9.12 Aviante Collins 6'6 299
PFA Derick Roberson ED37 397 34.1 6.73 Alex McCalister 6'3 247
PFA A.T. Hall OT39 429 31.5 3.85 Sean Harlow 6'5 296
PFA Quart'e Sapp LB50 468 56.9 7.66 Gerald Hodges 6'2 227

The Titans drew one of the two A+ snap grades I assigned this year, and then they went out and signed a solid UDFA class as well. I absolutely loved the Jeffery Simmons pick. But that was only the beginning.

The Titans got particular value at 2.51 with AJ Brown (a late first-round talent in my eyes) and in the fourth with Amani Hooker (a second-round talent who was one of a couple top-8 safeties who fell through the cracks).

2. Los Angeles Chargers | Draft: 1, UDFA: 29 | 2019 HAUL grade: A+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.28 Jerry Tillery DL3 11 84.2 9.72 DeForest Buckner 6'4 295
2.60 Nasir Adderley S1 37 65.0 7.11 Jessie Bates 6'0 206
3.91 Trey Pipkins OT13 111 79.4 8.85 TJ Clemmings 6'6 309
4.130 Drue Tranquill LB7 86 88.8 9.87 Fred Warner 6'2 234
5.166 Easton Stick QB6 118 92.2 9.45 Taysom Trubisky 6'1 224
6.200 Emeke Egbule LB16 178 44.2 7.28 Christian Kirksey 6'0 245
7.242 Cortez Broughton DL22 214 49.9 8.13 Javon Hargrave 6'2 293
PFA Koda Martin OT29 326 25.7 7.86 Laurence Gibson 6'7 300
PFA Matt Sokol TE20 415 10.2 4.86 Mason Schreck 6'5 253
PFA Daniel Helm TE21 435 67.3 5.75 Jake McGee 6'4 249
PFA Jeremy Cox RB46 497 88.2 9.85 Mike Anderson 6'0 223

I was smitten with the Chargers draft, and naturally the model was too. The Chargers made seven picks. In six of the seven, they took a player I ranked higher than the slot they were picking in, the highest such value hit rate in this year’s draft.

Tillery and Adderley at the end of Rounds 1 and 2 were value bonanzas, and I absolutely loved each and every one of the Bolts’ Day 3 picks. The Chargers did very little in the post-draft UDFA portion of the show.

3. New York Jets | Draft: 3, UDFA: 18 | 2019 HAUL grade: A

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.3 Quinnen Williams DL1 1 83.1 9.85 Donald/McCoy 6'3 303
2.68 Jachai Polite ED10 71 0.9 1.77 Damontre Moore 6'3 258
3.92 Chuma Edoga OT8 64 n/a 7.79 Laremy Tunsil 6'3 308
4.121 Trevon Wesco HB1 221 31.5 5.89 Jonnu Smith 6'3 267
5.157 Blake Cashman LB3 44 90.9 9.51 Jake Ryan 6'1 237
6.196 Blessuan Austin CB28 218 25.5 6.57 Travis Carey 6'0 198
PFA Greg Dortch WR21 165 5.5 3.12 James Rogers 5'7 173
PFA Tyler Jones OG13 195 n/a 7.21 Donald Thomas 6'3 306
PFA Jalin Moore RB26 281 n/a 4.56 Damien Williams 5'10 212
PFA Kyle Phillips ED32 341 31.8 8.3 Pat O'Connor 6'4 273
PFA Wyatt Miller OG34 361 7.9 4.64 Cole Madison 6'5 302
PFA Jeff Allison LB36 365 7.6 1.57 Manti T'eo 5'11 228

The Jets scored huge points for drafting Quinnen Williams at 1.3 and Blake Cashman at 5.157. Because of the weighted scales, getting my top overall prospect with the third pick scored as a top-10 value selection in all of the draft.

Meanwhile, Cashman, a player with a second-round grade on my board, returned New York the fourth-most value of any pick, per the model. The Jets also scored big value with Chuma Edoga in Round 3, and got bonus points from strong UDFA additions Greg Dortch and Tyler Jones.

4. New Orleans Saints | Draft: 5, UDFA: 1 | 2019 HAUL grade: A

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
2.48 Erik McCoy OC2 43 62.4 8.97 Pat Elflein 6'4 303
4.105 C. Gardner-Johnson S6 73 66.1 7.86 Nate Allen 5'11 210
6.177 Saquan Hampton S17 235 69.2 9.09 Morgan Burnett 6'1 206
7.231 Alizé Mack TE9 143 60.8 8.56 Jordan Akins 6'4 249
7.244 Kaden Elliss LB20 199 74.3 8.55 Joe Walker 6'2 238
PFA Devine Ozigbo RB12 149 60.5 8.14 C.J. Anderson 5'11 222
PFA Carl Granderson ED19 156 37.6 7.69 Tayshawn Bower 6'5 254
PFA Chase Hansen LB22 204 n/a n/a Zach Cunningham 6'3 222
PFA Ethan Greenidge OG22 257 n/a n/a Jamon Brown 6'4 327
PFA Emmanuel Butler WR32 267 15.7 3.76 Josh Malone 6'3 217
PFA Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR36 301 11.3 3.49 Evan Moore 6'4 210
PFA Porter Gustin LB30 328 78.0 9.68 Carl Lawson 6'4 255
PFA Corbin Kaufusi ED39 405 n/a n/a DE Brian Mihalik 6'9 285
PFA Derrick Kelly II OT42 475 16.4 2.65 Adam Bisnowaty 6'5 307

The Saints put themselves in a bad spot with last year’s overpay for Marcus Davenport. But as mentioned above, that move isn’t factored into this grade. We’re judging how much rookie talent was acquired relative to draft slots used. And in that metric, the Saints killed it. Possessing only two top-175 picks and three top-230 picks, New Orleans left the draft process with seven guys I ranked inside the top-205.

That’s nifty thrift store shopping. Each pick was sound, and the Chauncey Gardner-Johnson and Alizé Mack picks in particular were enormous values. Then, the Saints turned around and weaponized their lack of picks into an advantage during the UDFA process, convincing three of my top-30 UDFAs (Ozigo, Granderson aka “The Grandy Man”, and old man Chase Hansen to take their talents to the French Quarter).

5. Arizona Cardinals | Draft: 4, UDFA: 25 | 2019 HAUL grade: A

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.1 Kyler Murray QB2 20 n/a n/a Boom/bust Vick 5'10 207
2.33 Byron Murphy CB2 24 46.1 6.44 Brent Grimes 5'11 189
2.62 Andy Isabella WR7 60 50.6 7.03 Marquise Goodwin 5'9 188
3.65 Zach Allen DL8 55 54.2 5.17 Brett Keisel 6'4 281
4.103 Hakeem Butler WR1 15 80.7 9.48 Plaxico Burress 6'5 227
5.139 Deionte Thompson S7 75 n/a n/a Tashaun Gipson 6'1 195
6.174 KeeSean Johnson WR23 185 26.8 3.2 Cecil Shorts 6'1 201
6.179 Lamont Gaillard OC5 129 8.7 4.84 Rodney Hudson 6'3 305
7.248 Joshua Miles OG12 159 85.0 5.43 Greg Senat 6'5 315
7.249 Michael Dogbe DL18 189 59.4 9.03 Lawrence Thomas 6'3 284
7.254 Caleb Wilson TE11 209 29.3 5.7 Jacob Tamme 6'4 240
PFA William Sweet OT23 262 45.1 6.08 Conor McDermott 6'6 313
PFA Brian Peavy CB34 292 5.3 2.02 Shaq Wiggins 5'8 192
PFA Ryan Pulley CB36 316 2.6 1.52 Treston Decoud 5'11 209
PFA Drew Anderson QB17 374 70.5 8.14 HM's Josh Allen 6'4 217
PFA Tariq Cole OT37 401 24.7 5.1 Tyrell Crosby 6'6 315

I didn’t care for Arizona’s decision to sell low on Josh Rosen in order to facilitate what I believe was an overdraft of Kyler Murray. The Rosen trade wasn’t factored into the numbers, but the Murray pick significantly docked Arizona’s overall grade. Despite that, and despite a meager UDFA haul, the Cardinals still left the draft with top-4 talent value at the slots they picked in. That’s because Arizona absolutely annihilated every pick from 2.33 Byron Murphy through to Mr. Irrelevant Caleb Wilson. Hakeem Butler with the first pick in the fourth round was the best pick in the draft. You think I'm abandoning Hakeem Island because the NFL whiffed on him? Please. He's going to do damage in this offense.

I’ve consistently crushed the Kliff Kingsbury hiring. So allow me to give full credit where it’s due: Kliff’s intimate knowledge of this year’s draft class — he either recruited, coached, or coached against every player in the class, or was buddy’s with somebody who had — shined through on Draft weekend with a dominant showing. If Kyler Murray becomes the NFL superstar most already assume him to be, the Cardinals ship is going to turn around quickly. If he doesn’t, one heck of a draft class may get squandered due to the decision to trade Josh Rosen and Quinnen Williams (or Nick Bosa) for Kyler Murray and Andy Isabella.

6. Los Angeles Rams | Draft: 6, UDFA: 20 | 2019 HAUL grade: A-

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
2.61 Taylor Rapp S5 56 31.9 5.65 Mike Brown 6'0 208
3.70 Darrell Henderson RB5 77 66.9 7.74 Tevin Coleman 5'8 208
3.79 David Long CB4 36 91.2 9.22 Jaire Alexander 5'11 196
3.97 Bobby Evans OT11 90 45.2 7.36 Daryl Williams 6'4 312
4.134 Greg Gaines DL12 121 40.2 6.29 David Parry 6'1 312
5.169 David Edwards OT17 167 10.0 4.78 Roderick Johnson 6'6 308
7.243 Nick Scott S28 372 95.0 9.21 Joshua Kalu 5'11 200
7.251 Dakota Allen LB19 197 65.0 6.03 Alex Anzalone 6'0 232
PFA Brandon Hitner OC11 285 64.9 n/a Jon Toth 6'6 305
PFA Keenen Brown HB5 321 26.2 3.96 Clive Walford 6'2 250
PFA Boogie Roberts DL30 342 8.4 1.64 Ken Bishop 6'0 298
PFA Vitas Hrynkiewicz OC15 358 33.6 4.69 Brandon Vitabile 6'3 303
PFA Marquise Copeland DL33 364 18.1 5.98 Joey Ivie 6'2 281
PFA Kendall Blanton TE19 383 12.3 5.28 Rico Gathers 6'6 262
PFA Landis Durham ED36 394 16.7 4.57 Kasim Edebali 6'2 249
PFA Matt Colburn II RB44 490 22.2 6.68 Khalfani Muhammad 5'8 204

Like the Saints, the Rams didn’t have a ton of draft equity to play with. But they made of what they had, snapping up a value pick basically every time they submitted a card.

My favorite pick was Michigan CB David Long at 3.79. A highly-underrated player, Long looks poised to outplay his draft slot.

7. Buffalo Bills | Draft: 7, UDFA: 26 | 2019 HAUL grade: A-

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.9 Ed Oliver DL2 3 99.5 9.87 John Randle 6'2 287
2.38 Cody Ford OT4 23 35.6 6.33 Brandon Brooks 6'4 329
3.74 Devin Singletary RB3 69 7.8 1.74 Devonta Freeman 5'8 203
3.96 Dawson Knox TE6 123 84.4 9.26 Dustin Keller 6'4 254
5.147 Vosean Joseph LB12 140 n/a 0.21 Jerome Baker 6'1 230
6.181 Jaquan Johnson S18 237 7.7 3.47 Quandre Diggs 5'10 191
7.225 Darryl Johnson ED28 305 19.7 6.75 Aaron Lynch 6'6 253
7.228 Tommy Sweeney TE14 280 23.4 5.91 Nick Vannett 6'4 251
PFA Tyree Jackson QB9 182 94.6 9.95 Logan Thomas 6'7 249
PFA David Sills V WR31 263 57.3 7.29 Chad Hansen 6'3 211
PFA Tyrel Dodson LB32 339 29.8 6.56 Corey Nelson 6'0 237

I’m sorry, Buffalo. It appears I was a bit too harsh when I assigned a “B” to your class in my “Snap Grades” column written immediately after the draft concluded. I wrote: “The Bills absolutely crushed their first three picks. Buffalo is going to love Ed Oliver, or as I call him, John Randle 2.0. I thought the rest of the haul was pretty weak.”

The methodology used for these rankings rewarded teams who got tremendous value in the first two rounds in particular, and that’s where Buffalo shined as bright as any team in the NFL. Oliver was a top-10 value pick in the entire draft (my No. 3 prospect at 1.9), and the model judged Ford to be a top-50 value pick (my No. 23 prospect at 2.38).

8. Cleveland Browns | Draft: 8 UDFA: 24 | 2019 HAUL grade: B+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
2.46 Greedy Williams CB1 14 68.6 8.5 Dominique R-C 6'2 185
3.80 Sione Takitaki LB8 99 73.4 9.08 Todd Davis 6'1 238
4.119 Sheldrick Redwine S9 110 89.4 8.61 Jimmie Ward 6'0 196
5.155 Mack Wilson LB4 58 30.5 5.25 C.J. Mosley 6'1 240
5.170 Austin Seibert K2 295 n/a n/a Cairo Santos 5'9 213
6.198 Drew Forbes OG26 290 69.8 9.79 Kyle Kosier 6'4 308
7.221 Donnie Lewis CB44 439 n/a n/a Charles Gaines 6'0 195
PFA Wyatt Ray ED26 240 42.1 7.6 Jeremy Mincey 6'3 257
PFA Trevon Tate OC13 332 29.9 6.3 Austin Blythe 6'2 293
PFA Jamie Gillan P3 371 n/a n/a Shane Tripucka 6'2 203
PFA Brian Fineanganofo OT34 377 78.6 9.7 Jylan Ware 6'6 304
PFA David Blough QB19 392 19.6 2.78 Logan Woodside 6'0 200
PFA Darrin Hall RB41 469 60.9 9.5 Devontae Booker 6'0 217

The Browns made like the Saints and Rams and successfully Moneyballed the draft after trading a first-round pick. In Cleveland’s case, that sacrifice led to the acquisition of Odell Beckham, which you can feel free to mentally bake into this grade. Two picks stand out, both from the SEC. The NFL soured on Greedy Williams because of a mysterious injury concern and the prospect’s aversion to tackling. But he’s the only corner in this class that you can project to stick with NFL WR1s of all shapes and athletic profiles, so to get him at 2.46 is highway robbery.

I felt the same about the Mack Wilson pick at 5.155. The NFL effectively passed along a verdict to Mack that he should have returned to school. He’s raw, sure, but Wilson will be a good NFL backup and an ace special-teamer at the very minimum. And he’s got the tools to potentially develop into a plus starter at linebacker as well. He's not a top-150 prospect in this class? C'mon, what are we doing here?

9. Philadelphia Eagles | Draft: 10, UDFA: 8 | 2019 HAUL grade: B+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.22 Andre Dillard OT1 6 96.9 9.81 Terron Armstead 6'5 315
2.53 Miles Sanders RB4 70 72.9 9.5 Cadillac Williams 5'11 211
2.57 JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR12 89 33.7 6.17 Eric Decker 6'2 225
4.138 Shareef Miller ED20 166 9.7 6.19 Andre Branch 6'4 254
5.167 Clayton Thorson QB11 193 n/a n/a Ricky Stanzi 6'4 222
PFA T.J. Edwards LB18 194 4.6 2.8 B.J. Goodson 6'0 230
PFA Ryan Bates OG14 196 71.8 9.6 Nick Martin 6'4 306
PFA Iosua Opeta OG18 234 96.8 9.2 Aviante Collins 6'4 301
PFA Nate Herbig OG21 251 4.5 2.8 Deuce Lutui 6'3 335
PFA Anthony Rush DL40 432 n/a n/a Matt Elam 6'5 350
PFA Nico Evans RB39 458 30.4 5.7 Terrelle Sutton 5'9 199
PFA Casey Tucker OT45 494 13.4 4.7 Toby Weathersby 6'5 313

The gambit to move up the board to steal Andre Dillard from the Texans was one of the best moves in all of the draft this year. The model also called the Dillard pick the third-best best value selection in the entire draft.

The rest of Philly’s draft crop was solid, if unremarkable. But the Eagles did what they do and brought in some hidden value in the UDFA ranks, which bumped Philly from a No. 10 draft value ranking to a No. 9 total haul ranking.

10. Washington Redskins | Draft: 9, UDFA: 27 | 2019 HAUL grade: B+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.15 Dwayne Haskins QB1 9 12.8 3.49 Better Jameis 6'3 231
1.26 Montez Sweat ED4 13 97.1 9.9 Danielle Hunter 6'6 260
3.76 Terry McLaurin WR13 94 87.8 9.58 Nate Burleson 6'0 208
4.112 Bryce Love RB7 113 n/a n/a Dion Lewis 5'9 200
4.131 Wes Martin GX UR 52.6 7.82   6'3 311
5.153 Ross Pierschbacher OC7 207 2.1 4.93 Matt Skura 6'4 307
5.173 Cole Holcomb LB33 340 97.8 9.64 Nathan Gerry 6'1 235
6.206 Kelvin Harmon WR11 78 20.7 4.92 Laquon Treadwell 6'2 221
7.227 Jimmy Moreland CB18 136 47.7 6.18 Danny Johnson 5'10 179
7.253 Jordan Brailford ED24 227 77.9 8.48 Charles Hayes 6'3 252
PFA Chidi Okeke OT28 307 36.9 7.34 Julien Davenport 6'5 317
PFA Jojo McIntosh S27 337 5.6 4.17 Siran Neal 6'1 204
PFA Juwann Bushell-Beatty OG32 351 n/a 1.78 Bobby Hart 6'5 315
PFA Ryan Bee DL39 407 13.0 6.39 Isaac Rochell 6'6 282
PFA Kano Dillon TE22 451 58.2 8.43 Jeremy Sprinkle 6'5 256
PFA BJ Blunt LB47 457 0.5 0.58 Duke Riley 6'0 220

I was higher on the Redskins’ draft than the model ended up being — I assigned Washington’s draft one of the two A+’s I gave out. But while Washington drew a ton of value out of the Haskins and Sweat picks (and to a lesser extent the Harmon and Moreland picks), the model baked in penalties for early Day 3 reaches on interior linemen Wes Martin and Ross Pierschbacher.

Also, Cole Holcomb. On top of that, Washington got dinged one slot for its poor UDFA crop. But let's be real: This draft was an enormous win for the Redskins. Nobody in their right mind would have envisioned one team coming out of the draft with both Haskins and Sweat even one month ago.

11. Baltimore Ravens | Draft: 11, UDFA: 11 | 2019 HAUL grade: B

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.25 Marquise Brown WR3 29 n/a n/a DeSean Jackson 5'9 166
3.85 Jaylon Ferguson ED7 39 8.9 5.46 Marcus Davenport 6'4 256
3.93 Miles Boykin WR9 66 99.9 9.94 Kenny Golladay 6'4 220
4.113 Justice Hill RB8 132 88.5 9.35 Phillip Lindsay 5'10 198
4.123 Ben Powers OG8 115 n/a 4.74 Ted Karras 6'4 307
4.127 Iman Marshall CB26 203 12.9 5.26 Gary Baxter 6'1 207
5.160 Daylon Mack DL20 206 29.6 4.17 Dan Williams 6'1 336
6.197 Trace McSorley QB16 333 77.3 8.3 Connor Shaw 6'0 202
PFA Gerald Willis III DL16 180 7.9 2.6 Devon Still 6'2 302
PFA Evan Worthington S20 270 12.1 5.1 Antonio Allen 6'2 212
PFA Antoine Wesley WR33 274 10.6 3.3 Lestar Jean 6'4 206
PFA LJ Scott RB27 282 18.9 6.1 Jeremy Hill 6'0 227
PFA Patrick Mekari OG31 349 7.3 4.3 Ian Silberman 6'5 308
PFA Otaro Alaka LB39 385 56.8 7.3 John Bostic 6'3 239
PFA Jaylen Smith WR47 411 42.6 6.4 Michael Floyd 6'2 219
PFA Darian Roseboro ED41 430 1.2 2.8 Jalen Wilkerson 6'4 288
PFA Markus Jones ED44 484 n/a 6.4 Anthony Winbush 6'3 249

The Ravens had a bonanza of a Round 3, stealing the all-time FBS sack leader Jaylon Ferguson and SPARQ darling WR Miles Boykin. Baltimore didn’t reach with the rest of their picks (except for Trace McSorley lol), and they complimented their class with a nice crop of UDFAs.

12. New England Patriots | Draft:12, UDFA: 16 | 2019 HAUL grade: B

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.32 N'Keal Harry WR2 22 75.4 8.42 Dez Bryant 6'2 228
2.45 Joejuan Williams CB9 74 68.2 8.08 Ahkello Witherspoon 6'4 211
3.77 Chase Winovich ED8 41 67.8 8.63 Markus Golden 6'3 256
3.87 Damien Harris RB6 83 45.5 6.43 Frank Gore 5'10 216
3.101 Yodny Cajuste OT10 82 n/a n/a Jermon Bushrod 6'5 312
4.118 Hjalte Froholdt OG4 84 44.7 9.07 Isaac Seumalo 6'5 306
4.133 Jarrett Stidham QB10 187 37.7 5.49 Matt Barkey 6'2 218
5.159 Byron Cowart DL31 345 7.1 6.44 Willie Henry 6'3 298
5.163 Jake Bailey P2 299 n/a n/a Ryan Winslow 6'1 200
7.252 Ken Webster CB25 201 99.1 9.83 EJ Gaines 5'11 203
PFA Malik Gant S15 202 5.6 3.03 DeAndre H-C 6'0 209
PFA Jakobi Meyers WR27 215 52.0 6.37 Chris Conley 6'2 203
PFA Calvin Anderson OT25 277 83.5 8.7 Desmond Harrison 6'4 292
PFA Andrew Beck HB4 287 71.0 8.82 Rhett Ellison 6'3 255
PFA Tyree St. Louis OT30 344 13.1 2.9 Andrew Datko 6'5 314
PFA Nick Brossette RB32 387 8.6 3 HM's Knowshon 5'11 209
PFA Terez Hall LB44 441 26.5 5.92 Bryce Hager 6'1 230
PFA Ryan Davis WR55 472 20.8 3.22 Curtis Samuel 5'10 189

I liked the Patriots class a bit more than the model did, mostly because I thought New England smoked their first six picks. But the three picks after that were head-scratchers, beginning with the fingernail-biting Jarrett Stidham, and the Pats didn’t do much in the UDFA portion of the show, drawing penalties.

13. Denver Broncos | Draft: 13, UDFA: 15 | 2019 HAUL grade: B

 Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt 1.20 Noah Fant TE2 25 98.4 9.89 Jimmy Graham 6'4 249 2.41 Dalton Risner OG2 33 42.0 7.69 Cody Whitehair 6'6 312 2.42 Drew Lock QB5 68 75.6 9.36 Blaine Gabbert 6'4 228 3.71 Dre'Mont Jones DL7 34 20.7 6.16 Nick Fairley 6'3 281 5.156 Justin Hollins ED14 117 74.2 9.69 Lorenzo Carter 6'5 248 6.187 Juwann Winfree WR65 UR 39.3 7.18 HM's Crabtree 6'1 210 PFA Brett Rypien QB7 139 50.2 5.78 Nick Mullens 6'2 210 PFA Alijah Holder CB35 306 47.6 5.99 Neiko Thorpe 6'1 191 PFA George Aston HB6 313 60.0 8.2 Joey Iosefa 6'0 252 PFA Brian Wallace OT32 366 n/a 8.16 Jake Rodgers 6'5 326 PFA Joe Dineen Jr. LB38 376 32.5 7.43 Tyler Matakevich 6'2 230 PFA Kelvin McKnight WR44 384 17.2 2.68 Daniel Braverman 5'8 185 PFA John Leglue OG41 450 27.4 6.12 Sam Tevi 6'6 311 PFA Malik Reed LB46 453 28.5 5.23 Lerentee McCray 6'1 237

Strong, workmanlike showing out of the Broncos here, with a solid value-minded draft and a good UDFA crop headlined by the criminally-underrated Brett Rypien (who I’ve postulated has a chance to have a longer career than R2 pick Drew Lock). The Dre'Mont Jones pick at 3.71 was robbery, and getting Dalton Risner at 2.41 was a stroke of good fortune.

14. Houston Texans | Draft: 15, UDFA: 12 | 2019 HAUL grade: B-

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.23 Tytus Howard OT7 62 28.8 6.34 Terron Armstead 6'5 322
2.54 Lonnie Johnson CB8 61 92.6 9.4 Chris McCalister 6'2 213
2.55 Max Scharping OT5 46 n/a 8.83 Ricky Wagner 6'6 327
3.86 Kahale Warring TE4 80 79.3 9.41 Dallas Goedert 6'5 252
5.161 Charles Omenihu DL9 79 50.2 6.22 Romeo Okwara 6'5 280
6.195 Xavier Crawford CB21 164 57.5 4.74 Greg Stroman 5'11 187
7.220 Cullen Gillaspia HBX UR 54.3 8.4   6'2 235
PFA Albert Huggins DL23 217 19.4 5.5 Sylvester Williams 6'3 305
PFA Karan Higdon RB19 226 53.1 8.3 Zac Stacy 5'9 206
PFA Drew Lewis LB27 244 77.5 8.9 Jonathan Casillas 6'2 229
PFA Jamal Davis II ED27 304 79.2 9.4 J.T. Jones 6'3 236
PFA Derrick Baity CB38 343 48.8 6.4 Biddy Reh-Welscon 6'2 197
PFA Jesse Aniebonam ED38 404 44.2 n/a AQ Muhammad 6'3 256
PFA Johnnie Dixon WR51 444 36.2 6.3 Devon Wylie 5'10 201
PFA Javier Edwards DL42 460 23.7 4.8 Taylor Stallworth 6'2 323

I liked the Texans draft more than most. It was pure horror watching the Eagles swoop in and steal Dillard. That forced Houston to reach for Tytus Howard. That was a rough sequence of events. But from there on, Houston had a tremendous draft and signed a decent crop of UDFAs. It was enough to avert disaster after a horror show of a Thursday night.

15. Chicago Bears | Draft: 16, UDFA: 6 | 2019 HAUL grade: B-

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
3.73 David Montgomery RB1 40 36.4 5.24 Kareem Hunt 5'10 222
4.126 Riley Ridley WR22 172 15.4 4.58 James Jones 6'1 199
6.205 Duke Shelley CBX UR 7.1 3.18   5'9 180
7.222 Kerrith Whyte Jr. RB33 402 83.5 8.6 Jordan Todman 5'10 197
7.238 Stephen Denmark CB24 186 98.7 9.36 Brian Allen 6'4 220
PFA Emanuel Hall WR15 105 99.4 9.88 Tedd Ginn 6'2 201
PFA Alex Bars OG15 198 n/a n/a Parker Ehinger 6'6 312
PFA Dax Raymond TE13 254 29.2 5.21 Orson Charles 6'5 255
PFA Mathieu Betts ED29 308 46.5 7.86 Dylan Donahue 6'3 258
PFA John Baron K4 336 n/a n/a Brandon Coutu 5'9 189
PFA Joe Lowery OG29 338 8.0 4.36 K.C. McDermott 6'6 300
PFA Marquez Tucker OG30 347 22.6 n/a Chase Roullier 6'3 300
PFA Clifton Duck CB41 417 3.6 n/a Tramaine Brock 5'9 180
PFA Sam Mustipher OC16 426 2.3 0.86 David Molk 6'2 305
PFA Jonathan Harris DL44 473 17.6 n/a R.J. McIntosh 6'5 282

The Bears scarcely had draft equity to play with, but they made the most of their first pick by stealing David Montgomery (or as I call him, “Kareem Hunt with a heart of gold.”). Consider setting aside a \$20 spot to drop on Montgomery at long odds for Rookie of the Year. He's got a real shot. He's better than the NFL thinks he is. The rest of the draft crop was forgettable, but the Bears made up for it with a big showing during the UDFA free-for-all.

16. Minnesota Vikings | Draft: 14, UDFA: 30 | 2019 HAUL grade: C+

Pick Name Pos Rk SPQ RAS Comp Ht Wt
1.18 Garrett Bradbury OC1 18 91.7 9.96 Max Unger 6'3 306
2.50 Irv Smith Jr. TE5 98 21.7 4.82 Trey Burton 6'2 242
3.102 Alexander Mattison RB9 137 63.4 6.88 Mike Gillislee 5'11 221
4.114 Dru Samia OG3 63 18.1 7.65 James Hurst 6'5 305
5.162 Cameron Smith LB13 155 77.5 8.35 Blake Martinez 6'2 238
6.190 Armon Watts DL13 158 n/a 3.73 Shamar Stephen 6'5 300
6.191 Marcus Epps S-UR UR 78.4 8.5   6'0 197
6.193 Olisaemeka Udoh OT15 133 60.6 8.16 David Sharpe 6'5 323
7.217 Kris Boyd CB17 134 78.8 9.15 Darqueze Dennard 5'11 201
7.239 Dillon Mitchell WR16 108 57.0 7.96 Steve Breaston 6'1 197
7.247 Olabisi Johnson WR50 433 69.1 8.19 Leonte Carroo 6'0 204
7.250 Austin Cutting LSX UR n/a n/a   6'4 243
PFA John Keenoy OC10 276 5.1 2.81 Andy Gallik 6'3 299
PFA Jake Browning QB18 386 35.1 5.74 Kellen Moore 6'2 211
PFA Khari Blasingame RB36 431 96.6 9.73 John Kelly 6'0 232

A strong pick in Round 1, a highly regrettable Day 2, an enormous Day 3, and an asleep-at-the-wheel UDFA class led to a perfectly league-average Draft Haul ranking. Garrett Bradbury is such a perfect fit, and he allowed the Vikings to kick Pat Elflein to guard, which made the pick a hidden 2-for-1 special from a schematic standpoint.

Thor Nystrom

Thor Nystrom is NBC Sports Edge’s lead CFB writer. The 2018 FSWA College Sports Writer of the Year, Nystrom’s writing has also been honored by Rolling Stone magazine and The Best American Essays series. Say hi to him on Twitter @thorku!