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Bryson DeChambeau
AP
FanDuel Strategy

FanDuel Fit: TOUR Championship

by Josh Culp
Updated On: September 1, 2020, 8:55 pm ET

The FedExCup Playoffs are coming to a conclusion this week at East Lake Golf Club. 

It's the TOUR Championship with 30 players currently lined up for duty. 

Thinking about heading to the DFS streets this week? There will be plenty of strategy to consider with starting strokes being part of the equation this week. Check the early-week preview if you want to see where all 30 golfers will begin the week. 

Before we think too hard on that finish-position strategy, let's take a step back and just look at what golfers might like the layout in Atlanta. 

Bermudagrass Greens

East Lake has zoysia fairways but it's bermuda in the rough and on the greens. A welcomed site for many that grew up in the Southeast. Let's see who has performed best on courses with bermuda greens over the last three years: 

Webb Simpson
Rory McIlroy
Dustin Johnson
Justin Thomas
Jon Rahm
Bryson DeChambeau
Marc Leishman
Sungjae Im
Xander Schauffele
Collin Morikawa

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Marc Leishman
Webb Simpson
Brendon Todd
Sungjae Im
Sebastian Munoz
Ryan Palmer
Kevin Kisner
Harris English
Rory McIlroy
Bryson DeChambeau

Overlap List: golfers that appear on both lists include Webb Simpson, Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau, Marc Leishman, and Sungjae Im

Webb Simpson ($11,300) has the reputation for crushing it on bermuda and the numbers support that claim. Perhaps he'd be World No. 1 if the tour kept things in the Southeast. 

 

Fast Greens

The greens at East Lake are prepped to run at 12 feet on the stimpmeter which is only slightly on the fast side. However, based on history we know that these greens can become lightning fast. Let's go back to the fast-green performers: 

Rory McIlroy
Justin Thomas
Jon Rahm
Tony Finau
Dustin Johnson
Bryson DeChambeau
Webb Simpson
Hideki Matsuyama
Patrick Reed
Brendon Todd

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Mackenzie Hughes
Tony Finau
Marc Leishman
Rory McIlroy
Sebastian Munoz
Ryan Palmer
Lanto Griffin
Bryson DeChambeau
Patrick Reed
Hideki Matsuyama

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Rory McIlroy, Tony Finau, Bryson DeChambeau, Hideki Matsuyama, and Patrick Reed

 

 

FanDuel Focus 

Bryson DeChambeau ($10,500): All the protein-shake hype has worn off and Bryson has started to look human over the last month. His results are shaky, his tee-to-green play in particularly. However, you may have noticed that he landed on both of the overlap lists above. This might just be a course that allows him to get back into contention. Historically, he's gained strokes over the field in five of his last six rounds played at East Lake (lost strokes in each of his first two rounds). DeChambeau will start the week on 4-under which puts him in a share of sixth place out of the gate. 

Rory McIlroy ($10,200): I talked about Bryson cracking both overlap lists above, and Rory is the only other golfer to accomplish that. It probably comes as no surprise to anyone that East Lake would be a course that fits his eye. He has some of the best course history in the field, winning in two of his last three trips to Atlanta and finishing T2 in one of his other four visits. The caveat with McIlroy is that he and his wife are expecting the delivery of their first child any day now. He's already made it clear that he'll leave right away if he gets that call. So, when you plug in Rory you are taking on a lot of WD risk. One positive of that is that he'll come in at low ownership because many will avoid him for that very reason. Keep an eye on this situation because it might not even be relevant if he gets the call over the next three days and just WDs from the event before it starts. 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.