"The Fantasy Usage Model" was a new project at Rotoworld this season that converted targets, air yards, carries, red zone touches, and other variables into one number -- Expected PPR Points. This metric is how many fantasy points the average player in the average offense would score with that opportunity. I hate to brag, but it did very well in 2020. My expected PPR points model predicted future PPR points far better than actual PPR points did at every position. Because it did well, I figured it's worth recapping the entire 2020 season.
Like always, I'm definitely on team "per game numbers" rather than "total numbers" when looking back at previous seasons. Some players miss time due to random events, and I don't want to knock them down rankings just because they didn't play all 16 games. To take that theory up a notch, I removed Week 17, games when players left early, and games played with Kendall Hinton at quarterback. This is as close as how each player actually did in normal circumstances, so I'll be referencing this page often for my 2021 offseason research. I hope you do as well.
PPR Points Over Expected Per Game - WRs
To qualify, a receiver had to play in six healthy games and average at least 5.0 expected PPR points per game. There were 105 qualifiers.
| Player | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| GB Davante Adams | 28.1 (WR1) | 21.4 (WR1) | +6.7 (WR1) |
| KC Tyreek Hill | 21.9 (WR2) | 16.3 (WR8) | +5.6 (WR3) |
| ATL Julio Jones | 21.4 (WR3) | 16.6 (WR7) | +4.8 (WR4) |
| BUF Stefon Diggs | 20.9 (WR4) | 17.7 (WR5) | +3.3 (WR10) |
| ATL Calvin Ridley | 20.1 (WR5) | 17.8 (WR4) | +2.3 (WR15) |
| LAC Keenan Allen | 19.5 (WR6) | 19.2 (WR2) | +0.3 (WR63) |
| ARI DeAndre Hopkins | 19.0 (WR7) | 16.3 (WR9) | +2.7 (WR12) |
| HOU Will Fuller | 18.9 (WR8) | 12.8 (WR27) | +6.1 (WR2) |
| SEA DK Metcalf | 17.9 (WR9) | 14.2 (WR13) | +3.7 (WR9) |
| PIT Diontae Johnson | 17.5 (WR10) | 18.1 (WR3) | -0.6 (WR85) |
| MIN Adam Thielen | 17.3 (WR11) | 13.6 (WR19) | +3.8 (WR6) |
| CHI Allen Robinson | 17.1 (WR12) | 16.7 (WR6) | +0.4 (WR55) |
| TEN A.J. Brown | 16.8 (WR13) | 12.4 (WR34) | +4.4 (WR5) |
| MIN Justin Jefferson | 16.5 (WR14) | 12.8 (WR28) | +3.8 (WR7) |
| TB Mike Evans | 16.1 (WR15) | 13.2 (WR23) | +2.9 (WR11) |
| LA Robert Woods | 16.0 (WR16) | 14.0 (WR15) | +1.9 (WR19) |
| SEA Tyler Lockett | 15.5 (WR17) | 13.4 (WR21) | +2.1 (WR17) |
| SF Brandon Aiyuk | 15.2 (WR18) | 14.9 (WR11) | +0.3 (WR64) |
| DAL Amari Cooper | 15.0 (WR19) | 13.7 (WR18) | +1.4 (WR28) |
| WAS Terry McLaurin | 14.9 (WR20) | 15.1 (WR10) | -0.2 (WR75) |
| TB Chris Godwin | 14.6 (WR21) | 12.2 (WR38) | +2.4 (WR13) |
| CIN Tyler Boyd | 14.6 (WR22) | 14.6 (WR12) | +0.0 (WR68) |
| CAR Robby Anderson | 14.5 (WR23) | 14.1 (WR14) | +0.3 (WR61) |
| NYJ Jamison Crowder | 14.5 (WR24) | 12.5 (WR30) | +2.0 (WR18) |
| PIT JuJu Smith-Schuster | 14.4 (WR25) | 13.4 (WR22) | +1.0 (WR39) |
| CLE Odell Beckham | 14.4 (WR26) | 13.7 (WR17) | +0.7 (WR45) |
| TEN Corey Davis | 14.2 (WR27) | 10.5 (WR53) | +3.7 (WR8) |
| CIN Tee Higgins | 14.0 (WR28) | 13.1 (WR24) | +1.0 (WR40) |
| CAR D.J. Moore | 14.0 (WR29) | 13.0 (WR25) | +1.0 (WR41) |
| LA Cooper Kupp | 14.0 (WR30) | 13.5 (WR20) | +0.4 (WR56) |
| CAR Curtis Samuel | 13.8 (WR31) | 12.5 (WR32) | +1.4 (WR30) |
| HOU Brandin Cooks | 13.7 (WR32) | 12.3 (WR36) | +1.4 (WR26) |
| DAL CeeDee Lamb | 13.5 (WR33) | 12.1 (WR39) | +1.3 (WR32) |
| BUF Cole Beasley | 13.4 (WR34) | 11.8 (WR44) | +1.6 (WR23) |
| PIT Chase Claypool | 13.0 (WR35) | 12.3 (WR35) | +0.7 (WR43) |
| DET Marvin Jones | 12.7 (WR36) | 12.1 (WR41) | +0.6 (WR46) |
| MIA DeVante Parker | 12.3 (WR37) | 13.0 (WR26) | -0.7 (WR88) |
| NYG Sterling Shepard | 12.2 (WR38) | 12.8 (WR29) | -0.5 (WR83) |
| NO Michael Thomas | 12.0 (WR39) | 14.0 (WR16) | -2.0 (WR100) |
| LV Nelson Agholor | 11.9 (WR40) | 9.7 (WR58) | +2.3 (WR16) |
| DEN Tim Patrick | 11.9 (WR41) | 10.0 (WR56) | +1.9 (WR20) |
| JAX D.J. Chark | 11.8 (WR42) | 12.5 (WR31) | -0.7 (WR87) |
| CLE Jarvis Landry | 11.8 (WR43) | 12.1 (WR40) | -0.3 (WR79) |
| TB Antonio Brown | 11.5 (WR44) | 11.0 (WR49) | +0.5 (WR50) |
| BUF John Brown | 11.4 (WR45) | 11.5 (WR47) | -0.1 (WR73) |
| IND T.Y. Hilton | 11.4 (WR46) | 10.8 (WR50) | +0.5 (WR49) |
| LAC Mike Williams | 11.1 (WR47) | 12.2 (WR37) | -1.1 (WR91) |
| JAX Laviska Shenault | 11.1 (WR48) | 10.0 (WR55) | +1.0 (WR38) |
| NO Emmanuel Sanders | 11.0 (WR49) | 9.7 (WR57) | +1.4 (WR29) |
| DAL Michael Gallup | 11.0 (WR50) | 11.5 (WR46) | -0.5 (WR81) |
| BAL Marquise Brown | 10.8 (WR51) | 10.7 (WR52) | +0.1 (WR67) |
| ARI Christian Kirk | 10.5 (WR52) | 10.3 (WR54) | +0.1 (WR66) |
| GB Allen Lazard | 10.5 (WR53) | 8.1 (WR78) | +2.4 (WR14) |
| ATL Russell Gage | 10.4 (WR54) | 11.9 (WR43) | -1.5 (WR97) |
| HOU Randall Cobb | 10.2 (WR55) | 9.1 (WR65) | +1.1 (WR37) |
| KC Sammy Watkins | 9.7 (WR56) | 11.3 (WR48) | -1.6 (WR98) |
| TEN Adam Humphries | 9.6 (WR57) | 9.2 (WR63) | +0.4 (WR58) |
| JAX Keelan Cole | 9.6 (WR58) | 9.2 (WR64) | +0.4 (WR59) |
| NYG Darius Slayton | 9.5 (WR59) | 10.8 (WR51) | -1.3 (WR94) |
| PHI Travis Fulgham | 9.5 (WR60) | 9.4 (WR61) | +0.0 (WR69) |
| DEN Jerry Jeudy | 9.3 (WR61) | 12.4 (WR33) | -3.1 (WR103) |
| NE Jakobi Meyers | 9.3 (WR62) | 9.5 (WR60) | -0.2 (WR76) |
| NE Julian Edelman | 9.1 (WR63) | 11.6 (WR45) | -2.5 (WR102) |
| LV Hunter Renfrow | 9.1 (WR64) | 8.0 (WR79) | +1.1 (WR36) |
| MIA Preston Williams | 8.9 (WR65) | 8.4 (WR75) | +0.5 (WR53) |
| IND Zach Pascal | 8.7 (WR66) | 8.5 (WR73) | +0.2 (WR65) |
| IND Michael Pittman | 8.7 (WR67) | 9.4 (WR62) | -0.7 (WR89) |
| CHI Darnell Mooney | 8.7 (WR68) | 9.6 (WR59) | -1.0 (WR90) |
| PHI Greg Ward | 8.6 (WR69) | 8.2 (WR77) | +0.4 (WR57) |
| NYJ Breshad Perriman | 8.5 (WR70) | 8.6 (WR72) | -0.1 (WR74) |
| SF Richie James | 8.4 (WR71) | 7.0 (WR85) | +1.4 (WR27) |
| DEN KJ Hamler | 8.3 (WR72) | 8.7 (WR70) | -0.4 (WR80) |
| SF Kendrick Bourne | 8.2 (WR73) | 7.9 (WR80) | +0.3 (WR62) |
| GB Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 8.1 (WR74) | 6.8 (WR86) | +1.3 (WR33) |
| CLE Rashard Higgins | 8.1 (WR75) | 6.3 (WR93) | +1.8 (WR22) |
| LA Josh Reynolds | 8.1 (WR76) | 8.6 (WR71) | -0.5 (WR82) |
| DET Danny Amendola | 8.1 (WR77) | 8.4 (WR76) | -0.3 (WR78) |
| KC Mecole Hardman | 8.0 (WR78) | 6.5 (WR90) | +1.5 (WR25) |
| CIN A.J. Green | 8.0 (WR79) | 11.9 (WR42) | -4.0 (WR105) |
| SEA David Moore | 7.9 (WR80) | 6.0 (WR96) | +1.8 (WR21) |
| BUF Gabriel Davis | 7.9 (WR81) | 7.4 (WR82) | +0.5 (WR52) |
| PHI Jalen Reagor | 7.8 (WR82) | 9.1 (WR66) | -1.3 (WR95) |
| ARI Larry Fitzgerald | 7.8 (WR83) | 8.9 (WR68) | -1.2 (WR93) |
| CHI Anthony Miller | 7.7 (WR84) | 8.9 (WR69) | -1.2 (WR92) |
| NE Damiere Byrd | 7.6 (WR85) | 7.7 (WR81) | -0.1 (WR72) |
| NYJ Braxton Berrios | 7.6 (WR86) | 7.1 (WR84) | +0.5 (WR51) |
| NO Tre'Quan Smith | 7.4 (WR87) | 6.1 (WR95) | +1.3 (WR34) |
| NYG Golden Tate | 7.3 (WR88) | 7.3 (WR83) | +0.0 (WR70) |
| LV Henry Ruggs | 7.3 (WR89) | 5.9 (WR97) | +1.3 (WR31) |
| BAL Willie Snead | 7.2 (WR90) | 6.7 (WR88) | +0.5 (WR48) |
| NYJ Denzel Mims | 7.0 (WR91) | 9.0 (WR67) | -1.9 (WR99) |
| WAS Cam Sims | 7.0 (WR92) | 6.6 (WR89) | +0.3 (WR60) |
| HOU Keke Coutee | 6.9 (WR93) | 5.4 (WR103) | +1.5 (WR24) |
| TB Scotty Miller | 6.7 (WR94) | 5.5 (WR101) | +1.2 (WR35) |
| PIT James Washington | 6.6 (WR95) | 6.2 (WR94) | +0.4 (WR54) |
| KC Demarcus Robinson | 6.5 (WR96) | 5.8 (WR99) | +0.7 (WR44) |
| LAC Jalen Guyton | 6.5 (WR97) | 5.7 (WR100) | +0.8 (WR42) |
| NE N'Keal Harry | 6.0 (WR98) | 8.4 (WR74) | -2.4 (WR101) |
| JAX Chris Conley | 6.0 (WR99) | 6.5 (WR91) | -0.5 (WR84) |
| MIA Jakeem Grant | 5.8 (WR100) | 6.4 (WR92) | -0.6 (WR86) |
| NO Deonte Harris | 5.5 (WR101) | 5.0 (WR105) | +0.6 (WR47) |
| NE Isaiah Ford | 5.4 (WR102) | 6.8 (WR87) | -1.4 (WR96) |
| WAS Steven Sims | 5.3 (WR103) | 5.2 (WR104) | +0.0 (WR71) |
| DEN DaeSean Hamilton | 5.0 (WR104) | 5.4 (WR102) | -0.3 (WR77) |
| SF Trent Taylor | 2.3 (WR105) | 5.9 (WR98) | -3.5 (WR104) |
The top 10 receivers in expected PPR points over expected per game:
GB Davante Adams, HOU Will Fuller, KC Tyreek Hill, ATL Julio Jones, TEN A.J. Brown, MIN Adam Thielen, MIN Justin Jefferson, TEN Corey Davis, SEA DK Metcalf, and BUF Stefon Diggs.
The bottom 10 receivers in expected PPR points over expected per game:
CIN A.J. Green, SF Trent Taylor, DEN Jerry Jeudy, NE Julian Edelman, NE N'Keal Harry, NO Michael Thomas, NYJ Denzel Mims, KC Sammy Watkins, ATL Russell Gage, and MIA Isaiah Ford.
PPR Points Over Expected Per Game - RBs
To qualify, a running back had to play in six healthy games and average at least 5.0 expected PPR points per game. There were 74 qualifiers.
| Player | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| NO Alvin Kamara | 25.2 (RB1) | 21.0 (RB1) | +4.1 (RB2) |
| MIN Dalvin Cook | 24.1 (RB2) | 20.9 (RB2) | +3.2 (RB3) |
| TEN Derrick Henry | 19.9 (RB3) | 17.5 (RB9) | +2.3 (RB5) |
| CLE Nick Chubb | 18.8 (RB4) | 14.2 (RB22) | +4.7 (RB1) |
| GB Aaron Jones | 18.6 (RB5) | 17.4 (RB10) | +1.2 (RB9) |
| LAC Austin Ekeler | 18.2 (RB6) | 19.2 (RB4) | -1.0 (RB49) |
| JAX James Robinson | 17.9 (RB7) | 16.5 (RB12) | +1.4 (RB7) |
| SEA Chris Carson | 17.2 (RB8) | 14.7 (RB18) | +2.6 (RB4) |
| CHI David Montgomery | 16.9 (RB9) | 17.8 (RB8) | -0.9 (RB48) |
| CIN Joe Mixon | 16.8 (RB10) | 19.2 (RB6) | -2.4 (RB66) |
| MIA Myles Gaskin | 16.7 (RB11) | 19.3 (RB3) | -2.6 (RB69) |
| WAS Antonio Gibson | 16.3 (RB12) | 14.6 (RB19) | +1.7 (RB6) |
| LV Josh Jacobs | 15.9 (RB13) | 19.1 (RB7) | -3.2 (RB72) |
| HOU David Johnson | 15.9 (RB14) | 16.1 (RB15) | -0.2 (RB26) |
| DAL Ezekiel Elliott | 15.5 (RB15) | 19.2 (RB5) | -3.7 (RB73) |
| IND Jonathan Taylor | 15.5 (RB16) | 14.8 (RB17) | +0.7 (RB15) |
| CAR Mike Davis | 14.9 (RB17) | 16.8 (RB11) | -1.9 (RB63) |
| DET D'Andre Swift | 14.8 (RB18) | 13.6 (RB26) | +1.2 (RB10) |
| PHI Miles Sanders | 14.7 (RB19) | 15.3 (RB16) | -0.6 (RB38) |
| CLE Kareem Hunt | 14.2 (RB20) | 14.2 (RB21) | +0.0 (RB21) |
| DEN Melvin Gordon | 14.0 (RB21) | 13.1 (RB28) | +0.9 (RB13) |
| TB Ronald Jones | 13.6 (RB22) | 14.3 (RB20) | -0.7 (RB40) |
| KC Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 13.5 (RB23) | 16.2 (RB14) | -2.7 (RB70) |
| ARI Kenyan Drake | 13.3 (RB24) | 16.4 (RB13) | -3.1 (RB71) |
| PIT James Conner | 12.8 (RB25) | 14.1 (RB23) | -1.3 (RB53) |
| SF Raheem Mostert | 12.7 (RB26) | 11.8 (RB31) | +0.9 (RB12) |
| WAS J.D. McKissic | 12.4 (RB27) | 14.1 (RB24) | -1.7 (RB61) |
| SF Jeff Wilson | 12.3 (RB28) | 11.1 (RB35) | +1.2 (RB8) |
| IND Nyheim Hines | 12.0 (RB29) | 12.4 (RB30) | -0.4 (RB32) |
| ATL Todd Gurley | 11.9 (RB30) | 13.4 (RB27) | -1.5 (RB58) |
| NE Rex Burkhead | 11.6 (RB31) | 10.5 (RB37) | +1.1 (RB11) |
| TB Leonard Fournette | 11.6 (RB32) | 12.7 (RB29) | -1.2 (RB51) |
| ARI Chase Edmonds | 10.9 (RB33) | 11.5 (RB34) | -0.6 (RB35) |
| CIN Giovani Bernard | 10.6 (RB34) | 11.7 (RB32) | -1.1 (RB50) |
| HOU Duke Johnson | 9.8 (RB35) | 10.1 (RB38) | -0.4 (RB30) |
| BAL J.K. Dobbins | 9.8 (RB36) | 9.2 (RB42) | +0.5 (RB16) |
| GB Jamaal Williams | 9.7 (RB37) | 10.9 (RB36) | -1.2 (RB52) |
| LAC Kalen Ballage | 9.6 (RB38) | 13.9 (RB25) | -4.3 (RB74) |
| BUF Devin Singletary | 9.6 (RB39) | 11.6 (RB33) | -2.0 (RB64) |
| NE Damien Harris | 9.1 (RB40) | 9.4 (RB41) | -0.3 (RB29) |
| NO Latavius Murray | 9.1 (RB41) | 8.6 (RB47) | +0.5 (RB17) |
| NYG Wayne Gallman | 9.1 (RB42) | 9.2 (RB43) | -0.1 (RB24) |
| LA Darrell Henderson | 8.8 (RB43) | 9.4 (RB40) | -0.6 (RB37) |
| SEA Carlos Hyde | 8.5 (RB44) | 8.4 (RB49) | +0.1 (RB19) |
| SF Jerick McKinnon | 8.3 (RB45) | 8.5 (RB48) | -0.2 (RB27) |
| BUF Zack Moss | 8.2 (RB46) | 9.1 (RB45) | -0.9 (RB46) |
| LA Cam Akers | 8.2 (RB47) | 9.1 (RB44) | -0.9 (RB47) |
| BAL Gus Edwards | 8.1 (RB48) | 8.1 (RB51) | +0.1 (RB20) |
| NE James White | 8.0 (RB49) | 8.0 (RB52) | -0.1 (RB25) |
| DAL Tony Pollard | 7.7 (RB50) | 7.7 (RB56) | +0.0 (RB22) |
| DET Adrian Peterson | 7.5 (RB51) | 9.0 (RB46) | -1.5 (RB59) |
| LAC Justin Jackson | 7.4 (RB52) | 7.9 (RB54) | -0.5 (RB34) |
| NYJ Frank Gore | 7.3 (RB53) | 9.9 (RB39) | -2.6 (RB68) |
| LA Malcolm Brown | 7.2 (RB54) | 7.9 (RB55) | -0.7 (RB39) |
| CIN Samaje Perine | 6.7 (RB55) | 7.0 (RB59) | -0.3 (RB28) |
| NE Sony Michel | 6.6 (RB56) | 5.7 (RB67) | +0.9 (RB14) |
| DEN Phillip Lindsay | 6.4 (RB57) | 7.9 (RB53) | -1.5 (RB60) |
| JAX Chris Thompson | 6.1 (RB58) | 5.8 (RB66) | +0.3 (RB18) |
| KC Le'Veon Bell | 5.9 (RB59) | 8.1 (RB50) | -2.2 (RB65) |
| NYJ Ty Johnson | 5.9 (RB60) | 6.5 (RB60) | -0.6 (RB36) |
| PHI Boston Scott | 5.7 (RB61) | 6.1 (RB62) | -0.4 (RB31) |
| LAC Joshua Kelley | 5.7 (RB62) | 7.1 (RB58) | -1.4 (RB55) |
| LV Devontae Booker | 5.6 (RB63) | 5.6 (RB69) | +0.0 (RB23) |
| NYJ La'Mical Perine | 5.4 (RB64) | 6.2 (RB61) | -0.9 (RB45) |
| ATL Brian Hill | 5.4 (RB65) | 5.9 (RB65) | -0.5 (RB33) |
| SEA DeeJay Dallas | 5.3 (RB66) | 6.0 (RB64) | -0.7 (RB41) |
| BAL Mark Ingram | 5.2 (RB67) | 6.0 (RB63) | -0.8 (RB43) |
| PIT Benny Snell | 5.1 (RB68) | 7.6 (RB57) | -2.5 (RB67) |
| SF JaMycal Hasty | 4.4 (RB69) | 5.2 (RB72) | -0.8 (RB42) |
| MIN Alexander Mattison | 4.4 (RB70) | 5.3 (RB70) | -0.8 (RB44) |
| CAR Rodney Smith | 4.2 (RB71) | 5.6 (RB68) | -1.5 (RB57) |
| WAS Peyton Barber | 3.9 (RB72) | 5.2 (RB71) | -1.4 (RB54) |
| ATL Ito Smith | 3.6 (RB73) | 5.1 (RB73) | -1.5 (RB56) |
| JAX Dare Ogunbowale | 3.1 (RB74) | 5.0 (RB74) | -1.8 (RB62) |
The top 10 running backs in expected PPR points over expected per game:
CLE Nick Chubb, NO Alvin Kamara, MIN Dalvin Cook, SEA Chris Carson, TEN Derrick Henry, WAS Antonio Gibson, JAX James Robinson, SF Jeff Wilson, GB Aaron Jones, and DET D'Andre Swift.
The bottom 10 running backs in expected PPR points over expected per game:
LAC Kalen Ballage, DAL Ezekiel Elliott, LV Josh Jacobs, ARI Kenyan Drake, KC Clyde Edwards-Helaire, MIA Myles Gaskin, NYJ Frank Gore, PIT Benny Snell, CIN Joe Mixon, and KC Le'Veon Bell.
PPR Points Over Expected Per Game - TEs
To qualify, a tight end had to play in six healthy games and average at least 4.0 expected PPR points per game. There were 43 qualifiers.
| Player | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| KC Travis Kelce | 20.8 (TE1) | 17.0 (TE1) | +3.9 (TE2) |
| SF George Kittle | 17.0 (TE2) | 13.2 (TE3) | +3.8 (TE3) |
| LV Darren Waller | 16.9 (TE3) | 16.0 (TE2) | +0.9 (TE11) |
| BAL Mark Andrews | 12.6 (TE4) | 12.0 (TE6) | +0.7 (TE14) |
| PHI Dallas Goedert | 12.5 (TE5) | 11.5 (TE11) | +0.9 (TE10) |
| DEN Noah Fant | 11.4 (TE6) | 11.6 (TE9) | -0.3 (TE27) |
| DET T.J. Hockenson | 11.3 (TE7) | 11.8 (TE7) | -0.5 (TE30) |
| GB Robert Tonyan | 11.1 (TE8) | 6.8 (TE25) | +4.3 (TE1) |
| WAS Logan Thomas | 10.9 (TE9) | 12.1 (TE4) | -1.2 (TE39) |
| MIA Mike Gesicki | 10.8 (TE10) | 10.1 (TE13) | +0.6 (TE15) |
| TEN Jonnu Smith | 10.5 (TE11) | 9.4 (TE15) | +1.0 (TE7) |
| PIT Eric Ebron | 10.5 (TE12) | 11.6 (TE8) | -1.2 (TE36) |
| LAC Hunter Henry | 10.4 (TE13) | 11.6 (TE10) | -1.2 (TE37) |
| TB Rob Gronkowski | 9.6 (TE14) | 8.8 (TE19) | +0.9 (TE13) |
| CHI Jimmy Graham | 9.4 (TE15) | 9.4 (TE16) | +0.0 (TE21) |
| NYG Evan Engram | 9.3 (TE16) | 12.0 (TE5) | -2.7 (TE42) |
| ATL Hayden Hurst | 9.1 (TE17) | 9.1 (TE17) | +0.0 (TE24) |
| DAL Dalton Schultz | 9.0 (TE18) | 8.9 (TE18) | +0.1 (TE20) |
| LA Tyler Higbee | 8.7 (TE19) | 6.7 (TE26) | +2.0 (TE4) |
| CLE Austin Hooper | 8.3 (TE20) | 9.5 (TE14) | -1.2 (TE38) |
| NO Jared Cook | 8.2 (TE21) | 7.3 (TE23) | +0.9 (TE12) |
| MIN Irv Smith | 7.6 (TE22) | 6.6 (TE27) | +1.0 (TE8) |
| SF Jordan Reed | 7.3 (TE23) | 8.4 (TE20) | -1.1 (TE35) |
| PHI Zach Ertz | 7.1 (TE24) | 11.3 (TE12) | -4.2 (TE43) |
| IND Trey Burton | 6.9 (TE25) | 7.5 (TE22) | -0.5 (TE31) |
| HOU Jordan Akins | 6.8 (TE26) | 6.9 (TE24) | -0.0 (TE22) |
| MIN Tyler Conklin | 6.2 (TE27) | 5.1 (TE34) | +1.1 (TE6) |
| JAX Tyler Eifert | 6.2 (TE28) | 8.1 (TE21) | -1.9 (TE41) |
| ARI Dan Arnold | 6.1 (TE29) | 5.1 (TE35) | +1.0 (TE9) |
| LA Gerald Everett | 6.0 (TE30) | 5.5 (TE32) | +0.5 (TE16) |
| IND Mo Alie-Cox | 5.9 (TE31) | 4.7 (TE37) | +1.2 (TE5) |
| MIN Kyle Rudolph | 5.6 (TE32) | 5.4 (TE33) | +0.2 (TE19) |
| BUF Dawson Knox | 5.5 (TE33) | 5.7 (TE31) | -0.2 (TE25) |
| TEN Anthony Firkser | 5.3 (TE34) | 6.1 (TE29) | -0.7 (TE33) |
| CIN Drew Sample | 5.2 (TE35) | 5.9 (TE30) | -0.7 (TE32) |
| SEA Greg Olsen | 4.9 (TE36) | 6.2 (TE28) | -1.3 (TE40) |
| IND Jack Doyle | 4.7 (TE37) | 4.4 (TE40) | +0.3 (TE17) |
| MIA Durham Smythe | 4.5 (TE38) | 4.2 (TE41) | +0.3 (TE18) |
| SEA Jacob Hollister | 4.5 (TE39) | 4.8 (TE36) | -0.4 (TE28) |
| CLE Harrison Bryant | 4.4 (TE40) | 4.4 (TE39) | +0.0 (TE23) |
| NYJ Chris Herndon | 3.9 (TE41) | 4.1 (TE42) | -0.2 (TE26) |
| JAX James O'Shaughnessy | 3.7 (TE42) | 4.1 (TE43) | -0.4 (TE29) |
| CHI Cole Kmet | 3.5 (TE43) | 4.5 (TE38) | -1.0 (TE34) |
The top 10 tight ends in expected PPR points over expected per game:
GB Robert Tonyan, KC Travis Kelce, SF George Kittle, LA Tyler Higbee, IND Mo Alie-Cox, MIN Tyler Conklin, TEN Jonnu Smith, MIN Irv Smith, ARI Dan Arnold, and PHI Dallas Goedert.
The bottom 10 tight ends in expected PPR points over expected per game:
PHI Zach Ertz, NYG Evan Engram, JAX Tyler Eifert, SEA Greg Olsen, WAS Logan Thomas, CLE Austin Hooper, LAC Hunter Henry, PIT Eric Ebron, SF Jordan Reed, and CHI Cole Kmet.
PPR Points Over Expected Per Game - QBs
To qualify, a quarterback had to play in six healthy games and average at least 1.0 expected PPR points per game. There were 35 qualifiers. Note these are rushing and receiving stats only, not passing numbers.
| Player | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| ARI Kyler Murray | 9.8 (QB1) | 6.4 (QB3) | +3.4 (QB1) |
| BAL Lamar Jackson | 9.5 (QB2) | 7.5 (QB2) | +2.0 (QB3) |
| NE Cam Newton | 9.0 (QB3) | 8.7 (QB1) | +0.3 (QB16) |
| NO Taysom Hill | 7.1 (QB4) | 6.1 (QB4) | +0.9 (QB11) |
| BUF Josh Allen | 6.5 (QB5) | 5.4 (QB5) | +1.1 (QB7) |
| PHI Carson Wentz | 4.8 (QB6) | 3.2 (QB10) | +1.6 (QB4) |
| CAR Teddy Bridgewater | 4.1 (QB7) | 3.1 (QB12) | +1.0 (QB9) |
| TEN Ryan Tannehill | 4.1 (QB8) | 1.9 (QB23) | +2.2 (QB2) |
| HOU Deshaun Watson | 4.1 (QB9) | 4.2 (QB6) | -0.1 (QB26) |
| SEA Russell Wilson | 4.0 (QB10) | 3.0 (QB14) | +1.1 (QB8) |
| NYG Daniel Jones | 3.9 (QB11) | 2.6 (QB20) | +1.4 (QB5) |
| MIA Tua Tagovailoa | 3.7 (QB12) | 3.6 (QB7) | +0.1 (QB18) |
| LAC Justin Herbert | 3.3 (QB13) | 3.1 (QB13) | +0.2 (QB17) |
| PHI Jalen Hurts | 3.3 (QB14) | 2.9 (QB15) | +0.4 (QB14) |
| KC Patrick Mahomes | 3.3 (QB15) | 3.2 (QB9) | +0.1 (QB19) |
| CIN Joe Burrow | 3.2 (QB16) | 3.2 (QB8) | +0.0 (QB21) |
| MIA Ryan Fitzpatrick | 3.1 (QB17) | 3.1 (QB11) | +0.0 (QB24) |
| NYJ Sam Darnold | 3.0 (QB18) | 1.7 (QB25) | +1.3 (QB6) |
| DEN Drew Lock | 3.0 (QB19) | 2.7 (QB18) | +0.4 (QB15) |
| IND Jacoby Brissett | 2.5 (QB20) | 1.5 (QB28) | +1.0 (QB10) |
| CHI Mitchell Trubisky | 2.3 (QB21) | 2.8 (QB16) | -0.4 (QB30) |
| LV Derek Carr | 2.3 (QB22) | 2.2 (QB22) | +0.1 (QB20) |
| LA Jared Goff | 2.3 (QB23) | 2.3 (QB21) | +0.0 (QB23) |
| JAX Gardner Minshew | 2.2 (QB24) | 1.8 (QB24) | +0.5 (QB13) |
| GB Aaron Rodgers | 2.2 (QB25) | 1.6 (QB26) | +0.6 (QB12) |
| WAS Dwayne Haskins | 1.5 (QB26) | 2.7 (QB17) | -1.2 (QB33) |
| CLE Baker Mayfield | 1.3 (QB27) | 2.6 (QB19) | -1.3 (QB35) |
| TB Tom Brady | 1.2 (QB28) | 1.4 (QB29) | -0.2 (QB28) |
| NO Drew Brees | 1.2 (QB29) | 1.2 (QB32) | +0.0 (QB22) |
| MIN Kirk Cousins | 1.0 (QB30) | 1.2 (QB33) | -0.1 (QB27) |
| ATL Matt Ryan | 1.0 (QB31) | 1.1 (QB34) | -0.1 (QB25) |
| DAL Andy Dalton | 0.8 (QB32) | 1.5 (QB27) | -0.7 (QB32) |
| DET Matthew Stafford | 0.7 (QB33) | 1.3 (QB31) | -0.6 (QB31) |
| CHI Nick Foles | 0.7 (QB34) | 1.1 (QB35) | -0.4 (QB29) |
| PIT Ben Roethlisberger | 0.1 (QB35) | 1.3 (QB30) | -1.2 (QB34) |
PPR Points Per Game - All Offense
| Team | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| KC | 90.0 (1) | 84.1 (2) | +5.9 (7) |
| GB | 87.8 (2) | 74.6 (21) | +13.2 (1) |
| BUF | 85.9 (3) | 80.7 (7) | +5.2 (8) |
| TB | 85.5 (4) | 82.1 (5) | +3.3 (10) |
| SEA | 84.9 (5) | 75.6 (19) | +9.3 (4) |
| ARI | 84.5 (6) | 81.6 (6) | +2.9 (11) |
| NO | 83.8 (7) | 77.2 (15) | +6.6 (6) |
| TEN | 81.9 (8) | 71.9 (26) | +10.1 (3) |
| MIN | 81.5 (9) | 71.2 (27) | +10.3 (2) |
| DAL | 80.6 (10) | 83.0 (4) | -2.4 (22) |
| LAC | 80.5 (11) | 83.3 (3) | -2.9 (24) |
| LV | 79.7 (12) | 78.2 (12) | +1.5 (14) |
| LA | 79.5 (13) | 77.5 (13) | +2 (13) |
| SF | 78.8 (14) | 77.3 (14) | +1.4 (15) |
| PIT | 78.6 (15) | 85.3 (1) | -6.7 (30) |
| ATL | 78.5 (16) | 80.4 (9) | -1.9 (20) |
| IND | 78.4 (17) | 78.3 (11) | +0.0 (17) |
| HOU | 77.9 (18) | 70.7 (28) | +7.2 (5) |
| CLE | 75.8 (19) | 72.2 (25) | +3.6 (9) |
| DET | 75.7 (20) | 76.7 (18) | -1.0 (18) |
| CHI | 74.2 (21) | 80.7 (8) | -6.5 (29) |
| CAR | 73.9 (22) | 72.8 (24) | +1.1 (16) |
| PHI | 73.1 (23) | 74.5 (22) | -1.5 (19) |
| CIN | 72.2 (24) | 79.6 (10) | -7.4 (31) |
| WAS | 71.5 (25) | 77.0 (17) | -5.5 (27) |
| BAL | 71.3 (27) | 68.9 (30) | +2.4 (12) |
| JAX | 71.3 (26) | 73.4 (23) | -2.0 (21) |
| DEN | 71.1 (29) | 75.2 (20) | -4.1 (25) |
| MIA | 71.1 (28) | 77.1 (16) | -6.0 (28) |
| NE | 62.4 (30) | 65.2 (31) | -2.8 (23) |
| NYG | 60.8 (31) | 69.1 (29) | -8.3 (32) |
| NYJ | 56.6 (32) | 61.1 (32) | -4.5 (26) |
PPR Points Per Game - Passing Only
| Team | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| KC | 73.6 (1) | 67.1 (2) | +6.4 (6) |
| TB | 70.0 (2) | 66.5 (3) | +3.5 (9) |
| BUF | 69.3 (3) | 62.9 (8) | +6.5 (5) |
| GB | 68.2 (4) | 56.2 (22) | +12.0 (1) |
| SEA | 66.8 (5) | 58.8 (14) | +8.0 (4) |
| LAC | 65.5 (6) | 64.4 (6) | +1.1 (16) |
| PIT | 65.4 (7) | 68.2 (1) | -2.8 (23) |
| HOU | 65.2 (8) | 56.4 (21) | +8.8 (3) |
| ATL | 64.3 (9) | 64.1 (7) | +0.2 (19) |
| DAL | 64.1 (10) | 65.0 (4) | -0.9 (21) |
| LV | 62.2 (11) | 58.0 (17) | +4.2 (8) |
| ARI | 61.1 (12) | 58.4 (15) | +2.7 (11) |
| DET | 60.6 (13) | 60.5 (11) | +0.1 (20) |
| MIN | 59.9 (14) | 50.8 (29) | +9.1 (2) |
| IND | 59.7 (15) | 58.4 (16) | +1.2 (15) |
| CHI | 59.5 (17) | 64.6 (5) | -5.2 (29) |
| SF | 59.5 (16) | 59.2 (13) | +0.3 (17) |
| LA | 59.1 (18) | 57.0 (20) | +2.2 (12) |
| NO | 58.2 (19) | 55.2 (24) | +3.0 (10) |
| JAX | 57.9 (20) | 61.0 (10) | -3.1 (25) |
| TEN | 57.1 (21) | 51.3 (28) | +5.9 (7) |
| CIN | 57.0 (22) | 62.3 (9) | -5.4 (30) |
| CAR | 55.8 (23) | 54.1 (25) | +1.7 (14) |
| MIA | 55.1 (24) | 56.1 (23) | -1.0 (22) |
| WAS | 54.3 (26) | 59.3 (12) | -5.0 (28) |
| PHI | 54.3 (25) | 58.0 (18) | -3.8 (27) |
| CLE | 53.7 (27) | 51.6 (27) | +2.1 (13) |
| DEN | 51.4 (28) | 57.7 (19) | -6.3 (31) |
| NYG | 45.0 (29) | 53.7 (26) | -8.6 (32) |
| BAL | 44.7 (30) | 44.4 (31) | +0.3 (18) |
| NYJ | 42.9 (31) | 46.2 (30) | -3.3 (26) |
| NE | 39.8 (32) | 42.8 (32) | -3.0 (24) |
PPR Points Per Game - Rushing Only
| Team | PPR | Expected PPR | PPR Over Expected |
| BAL | 26.6 (1) | 24.4 (1) | +2.1 (5) |
| NO | 25.7 (2) | 22.0 (4) | +3.7 (2) |
| TEN | 24.8 (3) | 20.6 (6) | +4.2 (1) |
| ARI | 23.4 (4) | 23.2 (2) | +0.2 (13) |
| NE | 22.5 (5) | 22.4 (3) | +0.2 (14) |
| CLE | 22.1 (6) | 20.6 (7) | +1.5 (6) |
| MIN | 21.6 (7) | 20.4 (9) | +1.2 (8) |
| LA | 20.3 (8) | 20.6 (8) | -0.2 (16) |
| DEN | 19.7 (9) | 17.5 (19) | +2.2 (4) |
| GB | 19.6 (10) | 18.4 (14) | +1.2 (9) |
| SF | 19.2 (11) | 18.1 (15) | +1.1 (10) |
| PHI | 18.8 (12) | 16.5 (24) | +2.3 (3) |
| IND | 18.7 (13) | 19.9 (11) | -1.2 (21) |
| CAR | 18.1 (15) | 18.7 (13) | -0.7 (19) |
| SEA | 18.1 (14) | 16.8 (23) | +1.3 (7) |
| LV | 17.5 (16) | 20.2 (10) | -2.7 (29) |
| WAS | 17.3 (17) | 17.7 (18) | -0.5 (17) |
| BUF | 16.6 (18) | 17.8 (17) | -1.3 (23) |
| DAL | 16.5 (19) | 18.0 (16) | -1.5 (25) |
| KC | 16.4 (20) | 17.0 (22) | -0.6 (18) |
| MIA | 16.0 (21) | 21.1 (5) | -5.0 (32) |
| NYG | 15.8 (22) | 15.4 (29) | +0.4 (12) |
| TB | 15.5 (23) | 15.6 (28) | -0.1 (15) |
| CIN | 15.3 (24) | 17.3 (20) | -2.0 (27) |
| DET | 15.1 (25) | 16.2 (26) | -1.0 (20) |
| LAC | 15.0 (26) | 18.9 (12) | -4.0 (31) |
| CHI | 14.7 (27) | 16.0 (27) | -1.4 (24) |
| ATL | 14.2 (28) | 16.3 (25) | -2.1 (28) |
| NYJ | 13.7 (29) | 14.9 (30) | -1.2 (22) |
| JAX | 13.4 (30) | 12.3 (32) | +1.1 (11) |
| PIT | 13.2 (31) | 17.1 (21) | -3.9 (30) |
| HOU | 12.7 (32) | 14.3 (31) | -1.6 (26) |
Winks' Offseason Columns
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