* These rankings are fluid and subject to significant change as NFL transactions affect player outlooks and I do more research and alter projections.
* These rankings have a 0.5 PPR lean and are presently intended for best-ball leagues.
* These rankings are better used as a rough draft or guideline than a bible.
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1. Aaron Rodgers – Has finished No. 1 or 2 among fantasy quarterbacks in 7 of the past 10 years.
2. Tom Brady – Entering his age-41 season. Led NFL in passing yards per game (286.1) at age 40.
3. Russell Wilson – Top-3 fantasy QB in 3 of last 4 years. Led NFL in touchdown passes (34) in ’17.
4. Drew Brees – Ceiling lowered in 2017, but still led NFL in completion rate (72.0) and YPA (8.1).
5. Cam Newton – Top-4 fantasy QB in 5-of-7 seasons. How will Norv Turner fare as Newton’s OC?
6. Deshaun Watson – In Weeks 2-8, outscored all QBs by 6.0 PPG (!). Has torn ACL twice since ‘14.
7. Carson Wentz – Last year’s overall QB2 before Week 15 ACL/LCL tear. Questionable for Week 1.
8. Marcus Mariota – Easy bounce-back QB under Matt LaFleur with positive TD regression coming.
9. Matthew Stafford – Top-10 fantasy QB in 4 of last 5 years with arrow up on pass-catcher corps.
10. Jimmy Garoppolo – Was QB7 in Weeks 13-17 with little help. Shredded Bears, Jags, and Rams.
11. Ben Roethlisberger – Ben has quietly been a top-8 fantasy QB just once in the last ten years.
12. Jared Goff – Broke out as last year’s QB12 with room for growth in year two with Sean McVay.
13. Philip Rivers – High-floor option has finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in 8 of the last 10 seasons.
14. Matt Ryan – Good LRQB bounce-back bet after getting hit hard by 2016-to-2017 regression.
15. Kirk Cousins – Landing spot is everything. Best-case scenario: Minnesota with Thielen & Diggs.
16. Dak Prescott – Top-10 fantasy QB in each of first two years took concerning late-season slide.
17. Jameis Winston – Shoulder injury ruined 2017 before fast finish. All key pass catchers are back.
18. Patrick Mahomes – Arm-athleticism phenom offers high-end QB1 upside in Andy Reid offense.
19. Derek Carr – Good bet for positive TD regression. 2015-16 TD Rate: 5.4%. 2017 TD Rate: 4.3%.
20. Alex Smith – Regression lock regardless of team after career year. Solid QB2 in Washington.
21. Blake Bortles – QB1 overall in Weeks 12-16. Jags embraced using Bortles as a running threat.
22. Mitchell Trubisky – Inconsistent rookie year but “flashed.” Bears need to get Trubisky WR help.
23. Andy Dalton – Has settled in as mid/late QB2. Needs everything around him perfect to excel.
24. Andrew Luck – Will rise if confidence builds in his arm. Risk outweighs his reward for now.
25. Joe Flacco – Top-12 fantasy QB once in 10 years. BAL needs another pass-catcher overhaul.
26. Tyrod Taylor – Acquired by Browns for No. 65 pick. Will almost certainly be paired with rookie.
27. Eli Manning – If Giants draft quarterback at No. 2, only matter of time before Eli gets benched.
28. Ryan Tannehill – Tannehill’s knee health, Dolphins commitment to him are ongoing concerns.
29. Case Keenum -- Best-case scenario is return to Vikings. Has scary-low floor anywhere else.
30. Sam Darnold – Early fave for No. 1 overall pick. Would be youngest Week 1 starting QB ever.
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Other Considerations: Josh McCown, Josh Rosen, A.J. McCarron, Sam Bradford, Nick Foles, Teddy Bridgewater, Jacoby Brissett, Trevor Siemian, Nathan Peterman